Oscars guided by guild awards in nominations

This year, 19 of the 20 SAG acting nominees are contending at the Academy Awards. The only one not to make the cut was SAG supporting actress contender Diane Kruger ("Inglourious Basterds"), who was replaced on the Oscars ballot by Maggie Gyllenhaal ("Crazy Heart"). Last year, 18 of the 19 SAG acting nominees repeated at the Academy Awards. As double SAG nominee Kate Winslet was bumped up by the Oscars from supporting to lead for "The Reader," she was denied a lead nod for "Revolutionary Road." However, that film's Michael Shannon managed to knock SAG nominee Dev Patel of "Slumdog Millionaire" out of the supporting race. Two years ago, 15 of the 20 SAG nominees...

Oscars welcome dozen first-time acting nominees, including Sandra Bullock

This year's 20 acting nominees include five previous Oscar acting winners, another three previous Oscar contenders and 12 newcomers. "Julie & Julia" star Meryl Streep is the only two-time Academy Award-winner contending this year. She widened the gap for the most total acting nominations by earning her 16th nod today. And she broke Katharine Hepburn's record of an even dozen Oscar nominations in the lead race, landing what she must hope will he her lucky 13th bid. Streep's already staggering total of 15 previous bids exceeds the track record of the other four Oscar winners by four nominations. She has a supporting actress win for "Kramer vs. Kramer" (1979) and a lead actress win for...

My fearless, peerless, 100% perfect Oscar nomination predictions

Oscar nominations will be unveiled Tuesday morning. Here's what the derby track looks like in my crystal ball. BEST PICTURE "Avatar" "District 9" "An Education" "The Hurt Locker" "Inglourious Basterds" "Invictus" "Precious" "A Serious Man" "Up" "Up in the Air" Vulnerable on the list above are "District 9," "Invictus" and "A Serious Man," which can be bumped by "The Hangover," "The Messenger," "A Single Man" or "Star Trek." BEST DIRECTOR Kathryn Bigelow, "The Hurt Locker" James Cameron, "Avatar" Lee Daniels, "Precious" Jason Reitman, "Up in the Air" Quentin Tarantino, "Inglourious Basterds" These seem to be set in stone. BEST ACTOR Jeff Bridges, "Crazy Heart" George Clooney, "Up in the Air" Colin Firth, "A Single Man"...

Oscars' best-actress clawfest: Meryl Streep vs. Sandra Bullock

We pooled the predix of the following pundits to get their take on the Oscars' best-actress derby: Scott Feinberg (AndTheWinnerIs), Pete Hammond (Notes on a Season, the Envelope), Peter Howell (Toronto Star), Steve Pond (the Odds, theWrap), Nathaniel Rogers (Film Experience) and Peter Travers (Rolling Stone). As the box below reveals, Meryl Streep gets four votes; Sandra Bullock, two. (The rest are ranked according to their likelihood of winning.) Check out how these Oscar pundits size up the best-picture contest here. See who they predict will win the SAG Awards here. BEST ACTRESS Rogers Feinberg Hammond Howell Pond Travers Meryl Streep, "Julie & Julia" 1 1 2 1 1 2 Carey Mulligan, "An Education" 3...

Oscars derby update: Can 'Avatar' triumph at Golden Globes and Critics' Choice Awards to emerge as official front-runner?

Now that "Avatar" has proven its enduring might with fans ($440 million at the U.S. box office after four consecutive weeks at No. 1) and film critics (82 score at RottenTomatoes), and "The Hurt Locker" just swept the film critics trifecta -- wining best picture from the journos in New York, Los Angeles and in the National Society of Film Critics -- they both must battle "Up in the Air," "Precious" and "Inglourious Basterds" this weekend at the Critics Choice Awards and Golden Globes. Those five films recently established themselves officially as the most serious rivals to win the top prize at the Oscars by reaping nominations from the Directors' Guild of America -- the...

Forum posters predict Meryl Streep as best actress Oscars champ

Six of our top forum posters are showing the so-called experts how it is done. Tuesday, they predicted the best picture winner, with four of them favoring "Up in the Air" to prevail while two prefer the chances of "Avatar." Today, they turn to the hotly contested best actress race, and five of the six -- Bocaboy7, Dr. McPhearson, Kams, Pacinofan, and seanflynn -- believe Meryl Streep will finally win Oscar No. 3 for "Julie and Julia." Fittingly, it is Atypical who is the lone holdout for Carey Mulligan ("An Education"), who placed second with nearly all the other pundits. Contenders are ranked according to their likelihood of winning. BEST ACTRESS Atypical Bocaboy7 Dr. McPhearson...

Experts split on who'll win Oscar's best actress derby

The Oscars' lead actress race is wide open, according to Brad Brevet (RopeOfSilicon), Michael Musto (Village Voice), Mark Olsen (The Envelope), Richard Rushfield (Gawker), Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today) and me. Check out pundits' predictions for best actor here and best picture here. Contenders are ranked according to their likelihood of winning. BEST ACTRESS Brevet Musto Olsen O'Neil Rushfield Wloszczyna Meryl Streep, 'Julie & Julia' 2 4 2 2 1 1 Carey Mulligan, 'An Education' 1 1 3 4 2 2 Gabourey Sidibe, 'Precious' 3 3 1 1 3 3 Sandra Bullock, 'The Blind Side' 4 5 5 3 4 Helen Mirren, 'The Last Station' 5 2 4 5 4 5 Abby Cornish, 'Bright Star' 5...

Behind the scenes of the Gotham film critics awards

Our good pal Lou Lumenick, film critic for the New York Post, has written a must-read item detailing the results of various rounds of balloting by the New York Film Critics Circle. As Lou notes, "the NYFCC and the Los Angeles Film Critics Assn. rarely agree on their top choices" and yet "the New Yorkers almost exactly duplicated the L.A. list." And unlike previous years when compromises seemed to be commonplace, this year only the best documentary award went to a contender ("Time and the City") that was not leading either alone or in a tie on the first ballot. The first round of voting was a single choice by the 21 members present and...

Gold Derby nuggets: Mo'Nique reveals 'Precious' moment | Ricky Gervais toasts Golden Globes | Marvin Hamlisch scores again

• Time magazine film critic Richard Corliss delivers a top 10 movie list -- animated films "The Princess and the Frog," "Up" and "Fantastic Mr. Fox" top the chart -- as well as a roster of the top 10 performances which is led off by "Precious" supporting player Mo'Nique. TIME • Pete Hammond wonders whether Mo'Nique can win the Oscar without playing the game. Writes Pete, "with a five-night-a-week talk show that tapes in Atlanta, some things just aren't gonna happen. Believe me, her presence is felt at every Q&A director Lee Daniels and the other cast members do. I happened to moderate one with Daniels, Gabourey Sidibe and Paula Patton last night at the...

Gold Derby nuggets: 'Up in the Air' wins with D.C. critics | Kennedy Center kudos | 'Race' results poor, say critics

• "Up in the Air" won best picture from the D.C. area film critics, and George Clooney was named best actor on Sunday. Best actress went to Carey Mulligan ("An Education"), while Christoph Waltz ("Inglourious Basterds") and Mo'nigue ("Precious") took the supporting awards. "The Hurt Locker" won for both director Kathryn Bigelow and ensemble performance, and "Precious" leading lady Gabby Sidibe won for her "breakthrough performance." WAFCA • Carey Mulligan also won the best actress gong at the 12th annual British Independent Film Awards in London on Sunday. "Moon" took the top award, and helmer Duncan Jones picked up the debut director prize. Tom Hardy ("Bronson") won best actor, while Andrea Arnold was named best...

Inside track: Golden Globes' race for best drama actress

At the Golden Globes, Gabourey "Gabby" Sidibe may finally see her "Precious" dream realized – to be fawned over by frenzied paparazzi in Hollywood. But, like in "Precious," she also may get her heart crushed, this time in the fierce diva smackdown over best drama actress. Globers love to crown ingenues, but often they prefer the chic, sexy kind – like Carey Mulligan ("An Education"). This race is too close to call. BEST DRAMA ACTRESS FRONT-RUNNERS Brenda Blethyn, "London River" Emily Blunt, "The Young Victoria" Sandra Bullock, "The Blind Side" Helen Mirren, "The Last Station" Carey Mulligan, "An Education" Gabourey Sidibe, "Precious" POSSIBLE Shohreh Aghdashloo, "The Stoning of Soraya M." Abbie Cornish, "Bright Star" Penelope...

Oscars predix: Who's ahead in the best-actress derby

After piping in with their Oscars predix for best pix on Tuesday, our forums' moderators now stick out their thin, tender, trembling necks to forecast the best-actress race. Chris "Boomer" Beachum, Matthew "Boidiva02" Cormier, Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch, Robert "Rob L" Licuria, Andrew "andrew" Pickett and Paul Sheehan. Only two actresses get the bets of all of these pundits: Carey Mulligan ("An Education") and Helen Mirren ("The Last Station"). Yeah, I'm sure they're right about that duo. Those not putting their derby dollars down on Gabourey Sidibe ("Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire") and Saoirse Ronan ("The Lovely Bones") will regret it later. Personally, my fifth pick is Marion Cotillard ("Nine"). Check out our...


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