Gold Derby nuggets: Dave Karger predix Oscars | So does Sasha Stone | Oscars marketing gambits

• Before revealing that he is sticking with "The Hurt Locker" for the best picture Oscar, Dave Karger recaps the derby parallels between that film and "Brokeback Mountain" four years ago: "'Brokeback' managed the rare feat of winning Best Picture and Best Director at both the New York and Los Angeles film critics awards; so did 'Hurt Locker.' 'Brokeback' also picked up those two big prizes at the Broadcast Film Critics Awards; so did 'Hurt Locker.' 'Brokeback' won the trifecta of PGA, DGA, and WGA trophies; so did 'Hurt Locker. 'Brokeback' won 4 BAFTAs, including Best Film, Director, and Screenplay; 'Hurt Locker' picked up 6 awards, including Best Film, Director, and Screenplay. And of course,...

Psssst … Here's who will win the Golden Globes (Good news, 'Avatar' fans!)

We asked more than two dozen "experts" who will triumph when Golden Globes are bestowed tonight (see their predictions here), but they based forecasts on whim, personal likes and dislikes, history, whatever — not real inside dish. So let's add up all the spy reports we have on actual Golden Globe balloting. I've spoken to some of the 80 voting members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. So have lots of my industry pals and award consultants, who have shared their tattle with us. Pulling everything together, here's how the top races stack up. "Avatar" will probably win best drama picture, although "Up in the Air" could pull off an upset. Ditto "Inglourious Basterds." "Avatar"...

Fun trivia: How big is the Golden Globes' red carpet? How much bubbly will flow?

There's more red carpet rolled out in front of the Golden Globes ceremony (30,000 square feet) than any other awards show I know. That's because the Beverly Hilton has such a huge, sprawling, U-shaped driveway. Here are more fun facts: • This is the 41st time that the Golden Globes will be held at the Beverly Hilton. Dates: 1961, 1962, 1971-72, 1974-2010. • The International Ballroom holds about 1,300 guests for the Golden Globes banquet. Nearly 3,000 additional guests will attend viewing parties throughout the hotel. • More than 1,200 media members cover the Golden Globes in person for 185 outlets. Among them: 58 camera crews, 65 still photographers. • Service to all 4,300 party...

Golden Globes red carpet: Saturday morning

Here's what the Golden Globes' red carpet looked like around 11 a.m. one day before the big show at the Beverly Hilton Hotel. Below, a chap touched up the gold paint on one of the signs below the empty bleachers. Here and there, TV crews shot segments to air later that day and rehearsed while dodging workers who were setting up the carpet area. There are more photos after the jump — click the "Continue Reading" link. Photos: Tom O'Neil Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.

Poll: What will win best comedy/musical picture at the Golden Globes?

Each of the five Golden Globe nominees for best comedy/musical picture -- "(500) Days of Summer," "The Hangover," "It's Complicated," "Julie & Julia," and "Nine" -- is predicted to win by some of our pundits panel. Normally, Golden Globe voters automatically choose successful musicals in the race for best comedy/musical picture. Past champs include "Sweeney Todd," "Dreamgirls," "Walk the Line," "Chicago," "Moulin Rouge," "Evita," etc. However, box office blockbuster "Mamma Mia" lost last year to "Vicky Cristina Barcelona," probably because film critics weren't dancing in the aisles alongside crazed moviegoers. That means "Nine" might be in trouble at the Golden Globes this year, if it doesn't rally soon with reviewers. It's only scoring 26% at...

Poll: Who'll win the Golden Globe for best drama actor? George Clooney? Jeff Bridges?

The reason that "Up in the Air" soared off with the most Golden Globe nominations is obvious: Everybody's gone Clooney-crazy this year. So doesn't that mean that George will automatically win best drama actor? Hold your horses, Derbyites! Golden Globe voters like to spread their gold around. As things stand now, most pundits predict that "Up in the Air" will win best drama picture. Sometimes voters give out a best-actor bookend with the Globe prize (Leo DiCaprio won for best picture champ "The Aviator," Russell Crowe won for best pic "A Beautiful Mind"), but often they don't (Crowe didn't win for best pic "Gladiator"). Globe voters like big, hambone performances, the showier the better, like...

Pssst ... Here's who is ahead to win the Golden Globes

Now that nominations are out, I'll have to resume snooping amidst Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. members soon and count up Golden Globe votes to give you the best spy report. Till then, here's my handicapping of the top film categories. Winners will be announced Jan. 17. BEST DRAMA PICTURE Forget "Avatar." Normally the HFPA scorns popcorn pix, so it's a miracle that the Golden Globes nominated it. "Precious" is probably out of it, too. Voters love it, but they're not bonkers about it like some other Hollywood insiders. They didn't nominate Lee Daniels for best director. "The Hurt Locker" has momentum coming off its double victories at the voting conclaves of the New York and...

Biggest snubs at the Golden Globe nominations: Hey, where's 'Invictus,' 'A Serious Man' and poor Bryan Cranston?

When Golden Globe nominations were unveiled this morning, Clint Eastwood was nominated for best director and Morgan Freeman and Matt Damon scored bids as thespians, but "Invictus" was snubbed in the race for best drama picture. This same odd split occurred in 2006 when Eastwood was nominated TWICE for best director for "Flags of Our Fathers" and "Letters From Iwo Jima," but "Flags" was snubbed for best drama picture. ("Iwo Jima" wasn't eligible for that category but ended up contending for best foreign-lingo film.) Speaking of that directors' category: where's Lee Daniels ("Precious")? Other Golden Globe oddities: "A Serious Man" wasn't taken too seriously in the race for best comedy/musical picture. It got skunked, but...

Inside track: Golden Globes nominations

Before Justin Timberlake, John Krasinski and Diane Kruger read out the nominees for the 67th annual Golden Globe awards on Tuesday morning, be sure to read all the previews listed below: Inside track: Golden Globes' race for best drama picture Inside track: Golden Globes' race for best comedy/musical picture Inside track on the Golden Globes' race for best drama actor Inside track: Golden Globes' race for best drama actress Inside track: Golden Globes' race for best comedy/musical actor Inside track: Golden Globes' race for best comedy/musical actress Inside track: TV drama series races at the Golden Globes Inside track: TV comedy races at the Golden Globes Photo: Golden Globe telecast Credit: NBC

Gold Derby nuggets: Mo'Nique reveals 'Precious' moment | Ricky Gervais toasts Golden Globes | Marvin Hamlisch scores again

• Time magazine film critic Richard Corliss delivers a top 10 movie list -- animated films "The Princess and the Frog," "Up" and "Fantastic Mr. Fox" top the chart -- as well as a roster of the top 10 performances which is led off by "Precious" supporting player Mo'Nique. TIME • Pete Hammond wonders whether Mo'Nique can win the Oscar without playing the game. Writes Pete, "with a five-night-a-week talk show that tapes in Atlanta, some things just aren't gonna happen. Believe me, her presence is felt at every Q&A director Lee Daniels and the other cast members do. I happened to moderate one with Daniels, Gabourey Sidibe and Paula Patton last night at the...

Inside track: TV drama series races at the Golden Globes

Unlike the Emmys, you can always count on the Golden Globes to nominate the hottest new TV series. That means "FlashForward" and "The Good Wife" are a cinch to get in next Tuesday morning when bids are unveiled. But what else? Here's our handicapping. * = nominated last year ** = won last year BEST DRAMA SERIES FRONT-RUNNERS "Breaking Bad" "Damages" * "Dexter" "FlashForward" "The Good Wife" ** "Mad Men" * "House M.D." * "In Treatment" "Sons of Anarchy" * "True Blood" "The Mentalist" SPOTLIGHT: "True Blood" almost won last year. It was nominated, and Anna Paquin won best actress. Now can the vampire-mania whipped up by "Twilight: New Moon" help it to swoop in...

Gold Derby nuggets: Can Jeff Bridges win with sentiment? | Greg Ellwood: 'Avatar' wows HFPA | Oscarcast producer takes to Twitter

• Robert Abele looks at the role of sentiment in the awarding of Oscars. As he writes, "compassion for those who have never won and who find their work again in the running becomes an issue once more. For instance, four-time nominee Jeff Bridges has a lauded turn as an alcoholic country singer in the December release 'Crazy Heart.' Is this his year, finally? Might he win because he's 'due'?" Vogue film critic John Powers thinks, "He's the great actor of that generation. Actors want to act with him. Directors want him because he has weight. He's the kind of person you could imagine the sentiment for, if it weren't for the fact that the...


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