In the past 62 years, 47 of the Oscars' best picture winners previously won best pic at the Golden Globes, but that doesn't equal a 75% rubber-stamp rate. The Globes, remember, have two best pic prizes — for drama and comedy/musical — so that befuddles the math. Still, the overlap is clear and impressive.
Of special interest is only considering films that won best picture, director and screenplay, as "Brokeback Mountain" did last night. Over the past 40 years 14 films have swept all of those races at the Globes. Six have not gone on to win the top Oscar: "Born on the Fourth of July," "The Exorcist," "Chinatown," "Love Story," "Anne of the Thousand Days" and "Doctor Zhivago."
All of the other triple Globe champs prevailed on Oscar night: "American Beauty," "Schindler's List," "The Last Emperor," "Dances with Wolves," "Amadeus," "The Godfather," "One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest" and "A Man for All Seasons."
Over the past 20 years about two-thirds of Oscar's best actors and actresses won Globes for the same roles. The overlap percentage drops dramatically in the supporting-acting races and the directors' category.