The Writers Guild Awards went according to script, with victories for "Crash" (best original screenplay) and "Brokeback Mountain" (best adapted) on Saturday night, thus firming up what we already knew: They're the front-runners in the Academy Award race for best picture and the likely winners of the two screenplay Oscars.
Last year the two sets of kudos lined up, but neither of the champs bagged best picture — "Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind" (original) and "Sideways" (adapted) — but that's unusual. The best pic champ usually claims a screenplay Oscar about two-thirds of the time. Only in the past 21 years have the Oscars and WGA had similar, mirror categories. Since then, 25 guild champs snagged one of 42 screenplay Oscars. That's roughly 60%.