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Dueling Grammy predix: record of the year

October 26, 2006 |  8:49 pm

Recordofyear

I asked our Grammy forums moderators David Schnelwar ("Guru") and Darrin Dortch ("Double D") to duke it out over who they expect will be nominated for record of the year when Grammy bids are unveiled on Dec. 7.

Looks like they're in sync on three tunes: James Blunt's "You're Beautiful," Gnarls Barkley's "Crazy" and Shakira's "Hips Don't Lie." David expects the last two nominee slots to be filled by the Dixie Chicks' "Not Ready to Make Nice" (I hope he's right) and Madonna's "Hung Up" (I hope he's wrong). Darrin foresees the inclusion of Mary J. Blige's "Be Without You" (she's overdue for her first bid in this category — this tune's fine by me) and Justin Timberlake's "SexyBack" (I hope he's wrong — that thang ain't even a song!)

Below are each of their views on the top race. First, David since his predix arrived before Darrin's:

RECORD OF THE YEAR
(Likely)
James Blunt - "You're Beautiful"
Dixie Chicks - "Not Ready To Make Nice"
Gnarls Barkley - "Crazy"
Madonna - "Hung Up"
Shakira featuring Wyclef Jean - "Hips Don't Lie"

(Runners-Up)
Nelly Furtado featuring Timbaland - "Promiscuous"
Justin Timberlake featuring Timbaland - "SexyBack"
Corinne Bailey Rae - "Put Your Records On"
Snow Patrol - "Chasing Cars"
KT Tunstall - "Black Horse and the Cherry Tree"

"You're Beautiful," "Crazy" and "Hips Don't Lie" were released in the first half of this year and have been ubiquitous and universally praised throughout the year.

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Photo: Shakira shakes those hips, James Blunt rests his and Gnarls Barkley shakes up reality to prove how crazy they are!
(Sony/ Atlantic/ Wea)

I have often referred to a parallel between the Grammys and VH1. If "Not Ready to Make Nice" receives nominations in the General Field, it will once again show the impact of that music channel, since VH1 was the only outlet playing this song.

Madonna opened the 2005 Grammy Awards telecast performing "Hung Up" with Gorillaz. This song was not yet eligible in 2005. Previously, both Celine Dion ("My Heart Will Go On") and Alan Jackson ("Where Were You When The World Stopped Turning") performed those songs a year before they were eligible. The following year they were nominated in the General Field. In the past 10 years, Madonna has been nominated for record of the year for "Ray of Light" and "Music."

"SexyBack" is the #1 song of 2006, but I would be surprised if a song with such repetitive lyrics gets nominated.

The Grammys love singer/songwriters like KT Tunstall and Corinne Bailey Rae. They are both from the UK. Will that help them or hurt them?

Will Nelly Furtado's "Promiscuous" be this year's "Hollaback Girl"? Could Snow Patrol's "Chasing Cars" be this year's "Clocks"? Unfortunately there is no big Hip-Hop record this year that will make the cut.

*********


Now Darrin's predix:

RECORD OF THE YEAR
(Likely)
"Be Without You," Mary J. Blige
"You're Beautiful," James Blunt
"Crazy," Gnarls Barkley
"Hips Don't Lie," Shakira featuring Wyclef Jean
"SexyBack," Justin Timberlake

(Runners-Up)
"How to Save A Life," or "Over My Head," The Fray
"Promiscuous," Nelly Furtado featuring Timbaland
"Hung Up," Madonna
"Bad Day," Daniel Powter
"Chasing Cars," Snow Patrol
"Black Horse and the Cherry Tree," KT Tunstall

Record of the year is usually a doozy to predict, but I feel confident that Blige, Blunt, Gnarls Barkley, Shakira and JT will be our final five. Last year, NARAS only threw one wrench into the nominations (the Gorillaz's "Feel Good Inc."), but otherwise the best-record nominees were very predictable. Unless the blue-ribbon panel decides to snub mainstream hits, this year shouldn't be much different. R&B and hip-hop music were fairly low-key this year, but I can't imagine NARAS totally snubbing the genres in the general field; I'd be surprised if Blige isn't nominated for the biggest R&B hit of the year. Blunt is one of those singer-songwriters that NARAS loves and, unless "You're Beautiful" splits votes with Powter's equally successful "Bad Day," then Blunt should easily make it in here. "Hips Don't Lie" and "SexyBack" are the two biggest songs of the year and Shakira and Timberlake are two of the biggest pop stars on the planet this year, so they're in. Gnarls Barkley will get the indie/rock slot.


The comments to this entry are closed.

Comments

Madonna's Hung Up deserves to win, and her album Confessions On A Dancefloor deserves a few nominations.

At the same time, "One" is a cover and wasn't a hit this year. Radio pretty much ignored it.

Though, it's U2.

However, U2 and Green Day, I believe, are eligible with their hurricane Katrina charity single "The Saints Are Coming." Charity + Katrina + U2 + Green Day = at least noms in the rock categories.

The Dixie Chicks nomination for Record of the Year, if earned, would be a symbolic gesture. But, it will be intriguing to see how many noms they get in the country categories. The country field is already kooky, often ignoring populist choices and going for offbeat "heritage" acts.

Hee, forgot to give you PROPS for your opinion on that horrible song SEXY BACK.The Derbytes unfortunately seem to think it is great but I don't agree it 's awful...how many times do you think he repeats that stupid line GO HEAD BE GONE WITH IT. Anyway you ROCK!!!!!!!!

Tom O' Neil the CHICKS should get nommed for "Not Ready to Make Nice" in both record and song of the year categories...it is one of the best songs and the fact that Vh1 had it at number one for so long and I am talking about the exposure it brought makes me feel confident that it will be recognized.
Aren´t YOU going to post your own predictions yet????

Shakira, Gnarls Barkley, and Blunt are shoo-ins...Mary J. Blige and especially the Dixie Chicks will be better choices. But don't forget Red Hot Chili Pepper's "Dani California" or the somewhat annoying "Had a Bad Day" song. A Justin Timberlake nom seems likely. But if NARAS had any lick of sense it would snub this dreck of a song. JT's material is just like N Sync--mediocre to awful--not Grammy worthy. Well he can always compete in the Best Dance Recording category along with Madonna, Christina Aguilera and Shakira.

Album of year choices: "Modern Times" - Bob Dylan; "Taking the Long Way" - Dixie Chicks; Stadium Arcadium - Red Hot Chili Peppers; "The Seeger Sessions" - Bruce Springsteen; "St. Elsewhere" - Gnarls Barkley

K-Fed?!?

Don't forget that Mary J. Blige had the duet with U2 "One", that was on her album AND they performed it last year at the Grammys. It is a good record and I would think that considering A) U2 is a Record of the Year staple, B) Mary had a breakout album with "The Breakthrough" and C) they performed it to thunderous applause in front of the voters last year, that it will be nominated this year.


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