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My Golden Globes predix: Mel Gibson will be the big story

December 13, 2006 |  3:32 pm

Apocalyptomel2

"Dreamgirls" will get the most nominations Thursday morning when the Golden Globe bids will be unveiled at 8:35 a.m. ET, but I have a hunch that Mel Gibson will be the big media story.

Look for the Hollywood bad boy to rebound from his recent scandal by being nominated for best director. Or if he's not in that category, he'll nab a bid as best producer if "Apocalypto" pops up in the race for best-foreign language film. Yes, foreign-language film, not best drama picture. Explanation below.

Mel will probably surface in either category (or both) because Gibson is a Golden Globes darling. It was at the Globes of 1995 that he got launched Oscar-bound when he pulled off a shocking upset to win best director for "Braveheart." His Scottish battle epic lost the Globe for best drama picture to "Sense and Sensibility," but it ended up slaying the latter literary sudser when both met up later at the Oscars.

"Apocalypto" is not eligible to be nominated for best drama picture because that category is reserved only for English-language movies. The Globes define their foreign-film category by language, the Oscars by nation. Even though "Apocalypto" is an American movie produced in Hollywood, its spoken language is Mayan, so it must compete in the race for best foreign-language film. Same is true for Clint Eastwood's "Letters of Iwo Jima," which is in Japanese.

And speaking of foreigners and weirdness, watch out for "Borat." Certainly, it'll be nominated for best comedy/musical picture and Sacha Baron Cohen will be up for best actor, but its chances to win may be no laughing matter, even though nominated against superhot "Dreamgirls." Remember: it's about a foreign journalist who feels oddly out of place in America. Now remember who votes for the Globes: the Hollywood Foreign Press Association.

Here's my full list of bold, fearless Globe predix. Right now they may look totally brilliant, but by tomorrow they'll probably look very, very foolish. But I am a true kudos braveheart! Read on:


BEST DRAMA PICTURE
"Babel"
"The Departed"
"Flags of Our Fathers"
"Pursuit of Happyness"
"The Queen"

Runners-Up:
"Blood Diamond"
"Bobby"
"Little Children"
"United 93"

BEST COMEDY/MUSICAL PICTURE
"Borat"
"Dreamgirls"
"Little Miss Sunshine"
"The Devil Wears Prada"
"The Holiday"

Runners-Up:
"Kinky Boots"
"Miss Potter"
"Thank You for Smoking"

BEST DIRECTOR
Bill Condon, "Dreamgirls"
Clint Eastwood, "Flags of Our Fathers"
Mel Gibson, "Apocalypto"
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, "Babel"
Martin Scorsese, "The Departed"

Runners-Up:
Pedro Almodovar, "Volver"
Robert De Niro, "The Good Shepherd"
Stephen Frears, "The Queen"


BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Leo DiCaprio, "The Departed"
Djimon Hounsou, "Blood Diamond"
Peter O'Toole, "Venus"
Will Smith, "The Pursuit of Happyness"
Forest Whitaker, "The Last King of Scotland"

Runners-Up:
Matt Damon, "The Good Shepherd"
Hugh Jackman, "The Fountain"
Toby Jones, "Infamous"
Edward Norton, "The Illusionist"
Ryan Phillipe, "Flags of Our Fathers"
Michael Sheen, "The Queen"
Ken Watanabe, "Letters from Iwo Jima"


BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Penelope Cruz, "Volver"
Judi Dench, "Notes on a Scandal"
Sienna Miller, "Factory Girl"
Helen Mirren, "The Queen"
Kate Winslet, "Little Children"

Runners-Up:
Maggie Gyllenhaal, "Sherrybaby"
Elizabeth Reaser, "Sweet Land"
Naomi Watts, "The Painted Veil"


BEST COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR
S.B. Cohen, "Borat"
Johnny Depp, "Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"
Aaron Eckhart, "Thank You for Smoking"
Will Ferrell, "Stranger Than Fiction"
Jamie Foxx, "Dreamgirls"

Runners-Up:
Chiwetel Ejiofor, "Kinky Boots"
Robin Williams, "Man of the Year"


BEST COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS
Annette Bening, "Running with Scissors"
Abigail Breslin, "Little Miss Sunshine"
Beyonce Knowles, "Dreamgirls"
Meryl Streep, "The Devil Wears Prada"
Renee Zellweger, "Miss Potter"

Runners-Up:
Juliette Binoche, "Breaking and Entering"
Toni Collette, "Little Miss Sunshine"
Cameron Diaz, "The Holiday"
Kate Winslet, "The Holiday"


BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
"Apocalypto" (Mayan language, U.S.)
"Letters from Iwo Jima" (Japanese language, U.S.)
"Lives of Others" (Germany)
"Pan's Labyrinth" (Mexico)
"Volver" (Spain)

Runners-Up:
"Black Book" ("Zwartboek") (Netherlands)
"Children of Glory" (Hungary)
"Curse of the Golden Flower" (China)
"Days of Glory" ("El Benny") (Cuba)
"Golden Door" (Italy/France)
"Nomad" (Kazakhstan)
"Water" (Canada)


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