Globe + SAG = Oscar Game Over?
Statistically speaking, the odds are overwhelming that the four recent winners of Screen Actors Guild Awards and Golden Globes — Forest Whitaker, Helen Mirren, Eddie Murphy and Jennifer Hudson — will repeat their victories at the Oscars on Feb. 25.
Over the past 12 years of the mutual existence of SAG and Globe kudos, there have occurred only 3 cases of a star winning both prizes, then failing to go on to nab Oscar gold next.
One case: Russell Crowe ("A Beautiful Mind") probably would've won the Oscar after sweeping those earlier kudos except for that, well, little, you know, incident at the BAFTAs where Russell got all physical with a TV producer who had the nerve to cut short his gawdawful recital of Russell-written poetry at the podium after winning another best-actor award that year (his last).
Another case — Lauren "Betty" Bacall ("The Mirror Has Two Faces") — can be explained away several ways. One possibility: Oscar voters actually watched the movie. Another: Betty's tabloid reputation for being something that rhymes with witch finally caught up with her after traveling 3,000 miles from New York (where she lives) to L.A. (where she started to win awards that year).
The third case is Renee Zellweger in "Chicago." Does the Golden Globe for comedy/musical really count in this equation? Nicole Kidman ("The Hours") won the drama Globe in 2002, then lost to Renee at SAG, but rebounded at the Oscars.
All of these other stars won Oscars after sweeping up Globes and SAGS: Martin Landau ("Ed Wood"), Tim Robbins ("Mystic River"), Dianne Weist ("Bullets Over Broadway"), Kim Basinger ("L.A. Confidential"), Angelina Jolie ("Girl, Interrupted"), Renee Zellweger ("Cold Mountain"), Rachel Weisz ("The Constant Gardener"), Jack Nicholson ("As Good As It Gets"), Tom Hanks ("Forrest Gump"), Nicolas Cage ("Leaving Las Vegas"), Geoffrey Rush ("Shine"), Jamie Foxx ("Ray"), Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Capote"), Helen Hunt ("As Good As It Gets"), Gwyneth Paltrow ("Shakespeare in Love"), Julia Roberts ("Erin Brockovich"), Charlize Theron ("Monster"), Hilary Swank ("Million Dollar Baby"). Benicio del Toro ("Traffic") won supporting at the Globes, then lead actor at SAG, then the Oscar for supporting.




