My final Oscar ballot: Please don't try this at home
BEST PICTURE: "The Departed"
BEST DIRECTOR: Marty Scorsese, "The Departed"
BEST ACTOR: Peter O'Toole, "Venus" (but Leo worries me)
BEST ACTRESS: Helen Mirren, "The Queen"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Alan Arkin, "Little Miss Sunshine"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Jennifer Hudson, "Dreamgirls"
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: "The Departed" (but "Borat" worries me)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: "Little Miss Sunshine" (but "Babel" worries me)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: "Cars"
BEST ART DIRECTION: "Pan's Labyrinth"
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: "Children of Men"
BEST COSTUME DESIGN: "Dreamgirls"
BEST DOCUMENTARY: "An Inconvienth Trurth"
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: "Two Hands"
BEST FILM EDITING: "Babel"
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: "Pan's Labyrinth"
BEST MAKEUP: "Pan's Labyrinth"
BEST ORIGINAL MUSIC SCORE: "Babel"
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: "I Need to Wake Up" from "An Inconvenient Truth."
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM: "The Little Matchgirl"
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: "West Bank Story"
BEST SOUND EDITING: "Letters from Iwo Jima"
BEST SOUND MIXING: "Dreamgirls"
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: "Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest"
Good choices, fellow Dreamgirls fan! But I'm shcoked you believe in that Arkin hype. After the SAG and the Globe, I thought we'd be believers here. In any case, 3 out of 4 prognosticators are going with Murphy, who I think has it in the bag. I wish O'Toole had a chance, he gave the best performance, but Whitaker has this won. And you went against Dreamgirls again with that song pick, which seems headed to "Listen." I see Condon's film winding up with 5 for the night. Your picture choice though seeems to be the right one.
Posted by: Sam Juliano | February 25, 2007 at 12:40 PM
Could "Letters" pull out best picture?
Posted by: CDub | February 25, 2007 at 10:39 AM
Murphy for Supporting Actor
Departed for Editing
Dreamgirls for Art Direction
"That's all..."
Posted by: Mike | February 23, 2007 at 05:37 PM
Tom,
Do you think an Eastwood victory for director is a real possibility?
Posted by: Ben | February 23, 2007 at 06:28 AM
Some of these predicts are pretty daring.
The Departed -- I'd pick "Babel" (or "Sunshine") -- Marty's films never seem to win.
Peter O'Toole -- Have Forest Whitaker's acceptance speeches turned off older Academy voters enough to go with sentiment?
Alan Arkin -- I agree he has a shot at an upset, but I can't decide how concerned the voters are about two competing feelings: a good feeling of seeing Arkin onstage vs. a bad feeling over anticipated criticism for snubbing Murphy.
Pan's Labyrinth: Foreign film is the category to watch for an upset (The Lives of Others)
Also, I don't think the Academy can resist the opportunity to give Mel Gibson's Apocalypto an Oscar for makeup.
"West Bank Story" worries me, but I'm going with "Binta."
Pierre's scenario is this:
"Babel" is "best picture" (3 Oscars: picture/screenplay/score)
"Departed" is "best-made picture (3 Oscars: director/screenplay/editing)
How's that for close?
Posted by: Pierre de Plume | February 22, 2007 at 11:17 PM
Shouldn't Forest Whitaker be the one to be worried about? He is the frontrunner and the favorite to win.
Posted by: Josh | February 22, 2007 at 09:58 PM