Ah, poor "Little Miss Sunshine" and "Babel" rooters. If only they'd known about a secret new formula to determine which movie will win best picture, they may not have bet the chicken farm on "The Departed" losing. Oscarwatch.com has a nifty link to the page of data by a pundit who claims that he's unearthed the winning formula to predicting the top Oscar outcome.

David Hanks says: "When the Director's Guild (DG) winner AND one of the American Cinema Editors (ACE) winners AND one of the Writers Guild (WG) winners are ALL given awards for the same film, that film has been named Best Picture 6 of 6 times (100%) during the last 46 years (1961-2006).

"When the Director's Guild (DG) winner AND one of the American Cinema Editors (ACE) winners AND one of the Writers Guild (WG) winners are ALL given awards for the same film, that film has been named Best Picture 6 of 6 times (100%) during the last 46 years (1961-2006).

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