Actually, two actresses could claim a fifth career Tony this weekend and tie Julie Harris as the biggest winner in the Broadway award's history: Audra McDonald ("110 in the Shade") and Angela Lansbury ("Deuce"). But, let's be honest, Angie has the best shot.

However, can Angie really do it? She's received good reviews in "Deuce," but the play's been slammed by critics. That may not matter, though. It's possible that she's simply unbeatable, even in a lesser play. After all, she's never lost — she's gone four for four at Tonys past.

But one key thing should be noted here. Angie recently returned to Broadway after 25 years. On one hand that should put some sentiment on her side, that's true, but, on the other, the voting base has changed since she went undefeated in the past. Will new voters still automatically check off their ballots for her?

Personally, I think she'll prevail, but I thought it wise to check the logical thinking of another one of our pundits who's picking Angie, too. I asked Martin Denton of the excellent site NYTheatre.com(NYTheatre.com) (CLICK HERE) to share his thoughts with us.

Here's his full analysis of that best actress race — the words below are Martin's:

I'm thinking the main factor here is timing. After "The Little Dog Laughed" opened, my money would have been on Julie White getting some long-overdue recognition for a performance that everybody loved. But then Vanessa Redgrave opened in her solo show, "The Year of Magical Thinking," and after I saw that I thought, "Sorry Julie — you've been outclassed, big-time." (I would still argue that no performance on Broadway this season, male or female, play or musical, came close to Redgrave's in terms of sheer craft.)

Then Eve Best arrived in "A Moon for the Misbegotten," and she got all the attention for a while. But then came Angela Lansbury, capping the season (and, one assumes, a tremendously distinguished career) in "Deuce," showing everybody how it's done and winning plenty of extravagant praise. She's the one folks will remember when they cast their ballots.

(You'll note I haven't mentioned the fifth nominee, Swoosie Kurtz. But it's the same logic: who remembers "Heartbreak House" at this point?)

I can offer a couple more arguments for Lansbury's victory. I would imagine that Best is her strongest competitor. But history tells us that Josie Hogan, great role though it is, doesn't yield Tonys. Only Colleen Dewhurst won for this role (though all the other Broadway Josies have, I believe, been nominated: Wendy Hiller, Kate Nelligan, and Cherry Jones).

Finally, if the Tony voters are interested in great television (and they should be!), Lansbury is the only choice. All you have to do is sit in the Music Box Theatre to know how beloved a figure she has become for American audiences. She delivers star power AND brilliant acting; most TV stars don't manage that (they play themselves, not characters). If anybody deserves to tie Julie Harris as all-time Tony champ, it's Angela Lansbury. And the crowd at the Tonys and the folks watching them at home will be thrilled to see her win (especially after all those years of not winning an Emmy!)