Our worst Emmy prediction scores ever!
More so than ever, the Emmys proved that they're the most difficult awards to predict. This time the pundits had their worst scores ever.
The Envelope's seven Emmy Buzzmeter panelists had a cumulative score of only 12 out of 42. Marc Berman of Media Week and I both batted .500, with 3 of our 6 predictions correct. See all of our predictions HERE.
None of us had Ricky Gervais for comedy actor (5 of the 7 predicted Alec Baldwin as the winner) or James Spader for drama actor (6 of 7 had James Gandolfini triumphing).
While five of us had "The Sopranos" winning for drama series, only two of us had "30 Rock" for comedy. Only one of us, Berman, predicted Sally Field would win for drama actress, though four of us foresaw America Ferrera winning for comedy actress.
In my expanded, personal predix, I only scored 7 out of 16.
Our racetrack odds scored 5 out of 13 this year. With surprise winners in most of the acting categories, our predictions were less than perfect.
On the programming side, the odds got "The Sopranos," "Broken Trail," and "Bury My Heart At Wounded Knee" right and had winners "30 Rock" and "The Amazing Race" as very close seconds.
The shockaroos on the acting side were reflected in the odds - actor drama winner James Spader was fifth in his category at 40/1 while actress drama champ Sally Field was a closer fifth at 15/1 and comedy actor winner Ricky Gervais was fourth at 6/1. Among the leads, the odds only had America Ferrara as the winner.
While the odds slated Jeremy Piven to repeat as supporting actor comedy and had winner Terry O'Quinn as a close second in supporting actor drama, they were far off with the supporting women. We had drama winner Katharine Heigl at 40/1 and comedy champ Jaime Pressly at 50/1.
The odds were drafted by David Scott of America's Line (americasline.com) based upon the opinions of The Envelope's Emmy experts, who include TV critics and our forum moderators, who carefully scrutinize the sample video submitted by nominees to Emmy judges.
