The Envelope Logo

Gold Derby

Tom O'Neil has the inside track on Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and all the award shows.

« Previous Post | Gold Derby Home | Next Post »

OSCARS POLL - VOTE: Who'll win best actress?

November 16, 2007 |  4:40 am

Let's pretend that I've nailed Oscars' best-actress rundown correctly (oh, come on — when have my predix ever been wrong?). Now you tell me who will win.

Keep in mind that, if I'm right about "Sweeney Todd" being the frontrunner to win the top Oscar, the best-picture champ often claims a lead-acting prize, too. (Russell Crowe in "Gladiator," Hilary Swank in "Million Dollar Baby.") Sure, Johnny Depp would be most likely to nab that trophy since he's got the title role, but on three occasions in the past both best actor and actress joined the top winner ("It Happened One Night," "One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest" and "The Silence of the Lambs").

Best_actress_poll

Therefore, the odds may be remote that Helen Bonham Carter would get that companion Oscar, if only one is bestowed, but it's possible. Both male and female leads (Len Cariou, Angela Lansbury) won Tony Awards for the Broadway production, which won best musical in 1979, but director Tim Burton has trimmed back the role of Sweeney sweetheart wannabe Mrs. Lovett — yes, even though she's played on screen by Burton's own sweetheart in real life — so that must diminish her dramatic impact somewhat. Nonetheless, I'm assured by a source close to the film that she still "breaks your heart."

If not Helena Bonham Carter, then perhaps Marion Cotillard ("La Vie en Rose") has the lead in this race, given that she portrays a real-life character (Edith Piaf) like last year's champ Helen Mirren (Queenie Liz II, of course). Beware: Ellen Page ("Juno") is a knock-out and we know how much voters love ingenues (Charlize Theron, Hilary Swank the first time she won for "Boys Don't Cry"). And veterans — like Julie Christie, who triumphed in 1966 for "Darling." Christie was nominated most recently in 1998 for "Afterglow," which was touted as a big comeback for her then just like "Away from Her" now, but she lost to Helen Hunt ("As Good As It Gets").

If "Atonement" wins best picture, as many pundits predict, then that boosts the hopes of Keira Knightley, of course, but keep in mind that she's got limited screen time. She's only in about half of the film, but, heck, Nicole Kidman wasn't even in a third of "The Hours" and still prevailed.


The comments to this entry are closed.

Comments

Go Helena Bonham Carter! Sweeney Todd is gonna be a huge hit!! :D

I think calling Julie Christie overrated is unfair! She was fantastic in the film. Her performance may be more subtle but it deserves recognition. Ms. Christie has my vote.

I'll go with Marion or Christie, but where is Angelina on your list? The hating is so obvious.

hating on miss kidman again i see.

come on -- no best actress list would be complete without Nikki Blonsky in Hairspray-- a moving performance that stands as one of the best debuts of any actress -- in a great movie that does not work without Blonsky.

am I the only one who thinks that Julie Christie is overrated in Away from her?

I'm not so sure any of these will win. Certainly there is no real excitement in this category so far. If these should turn out to be the nominees, I'd pick Christie, but since so few saw this, that could be a problem, though even less saw the Piaf movie. If Sweeney should be a big hit, I guess we would have to think about Carter since the Oscars are not simply about the best as we all know. But, who knows? Maybe Carter will turn out to be the best. Stranger things have happened, but until that and other things open, Christie is my pick.

I too am wondering where the Hell is Angelina Jolie?! She was amazing in AMH.

What about Angelina Jolie in "A Mighty Heart"?

Respectfully, and coming from a fan of Amy Adams... not a chance in hell.

I'm surprised to see that reviews of Atonement are so favorable. Not only was the film a complete disappointment but the musical score was very distracting and on occasion irritating.

I did think the Briony, Saoirse Ronan, did a fantastic job and that James McAvoy has great range though limited in the film. Keira Knightley was unoriginal and unlovable.

I do agree that the first part of the film was quite good and I hoped it would continue so. But the second and third parts were all over the place and totally disconnected.

I didn't read the book though I've read other McEwan novels. I can't say now that I'm in any way compelled to read Atonement.

None of them will win. It'll be Amy Adams night. Academy will go for spot-on comedic performance this year. And Amy gave the best comedic performance this year and should have win easily!


Connect

Advertisement

In Case You Missed It...

Stay Connected:


About the Blogger


Pop & Hiss



Categories


Archives
 



In Case You Missed It...