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Will the Oscars nominate Amy Adams for best actress?

November 22, 2007 |  1:12 pm

Unless you have a heart of stone, you will certainly be wowed utterly by Amy Adams' charm, exuberance and 200-watt performance in "Enchanted." Many Oscar gurus believe she'll be nominated for best actress. In fact, 12 of The Envelope's 26 pundits think so, including such notable seers as Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Enchanted_amy_adams_2Pete Hammond (The Envelope, Maxim), Greg Ellwood (MSN Movies), Anne Thompson (Variety), Sasha Stone (AwardsDaily.com), Kris Tapley (Variety.com, InContention.com), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon.net), Clay Smith ("E.T.," "The Insider"), Peter Howell (Toronto Star), Carrie Rickey (Philadelphia Inquirer) and Claudia Puig and Susan Wloszczyna of USA Today.

To see our latest Buzzmeter predix, CLICK HERE — then click on the link for "Individual Panelist's Rankings."

Adams will certainly be nominated at the Golden Globes, which have those separate categories for comedies/musicals. She might even be nominated by the Screen Actors Guild. Both groups use a weighted ballot, which distributes points based upon where the contender falls on a voter's nomination list. Typically, weighted ballots give a first-ranked contender five points, second-placed four points, third-placed three points, fourth-placed two points and fifth-placed one point. Accountants tally up the points and the five contenders with the most receive nominations.

But that's not how the Oscar process works. The motion-picture academy employs a peculiar preferential ballot that was drafted back in the 1930s and is used rarely by other groups. Peculiar because there are other forms of preferential-ballot voting employed worldwide, but the Oscar version is an odd, largely ignored duck.

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Simply put, only number-one and sometimes number-two and number-three votes really count. Occasionally, lower rankings come into play, but rarely.

Adams will certainly get lots of votes, but because her performance is comedic and musical, those notorious snobs in the academy's acting branch may not be prone to rank her first or second. Sure, she'll land in third, fourth or fifth place often, but higher up, too? See my post below, which explains in detail how Oscar voting works. Or CLICK HERE!

(Photo: Disney)

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OK this is an old threadt but still. It was a DISNEY movie that got rave reviews b/c it was a reminder of what Disney used to be and who doesn't love a fairy tale. Amy did an excellent live action job of what an animated character usually portrays. The women she mentioned had to start somewhere. Also, did she see Hairspray?

A lot of things are aligning in Adams' favor right now: her film is a hit (and with family films like this, a $50 million opening and good WoM could mean a VERY substantial hit), and her performance is drawing some really impressive raves. The other factor that will help her is that she's unlikely to suffer the "let's-wait-and-see-if-she's-a-one-trick-pony" mentality that can harm other ingenues on their breakthrough performances, since this is really Adams' second--I'll call it her "commercial"--breakthrough. Oscar voters love re-nominating their old favorites, and there are certainly many (I'm among them) who think she should've won for "Junebug."

Here's to a well-deserved Adams victory. best performance of the year. No Question.

Amen Calirai Hayek , AMEN.

Good old times when we had heavy-weight actresses ready to get an Oscar nomination, now what do we have?
Silly young actresses playing stupid things in order to appear serious but in the deep they're all ordinary, common, stupid, idiot, shameful. Where are Michelle Pfeiffer, Sigourney Weaver, Emily Watson, Helena Bonham Carter, Debra Winger when we need you most?



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