Do the math: Globe + SAG = Oscar
The numbers do not lie: Daniel Day-Lewis, Julie Christie, and Javier Bardem should threepeat at the Oscars after winning at both the Globes and SAG. In the 13-year history of the Screen Actors Guild Awards, 23 stars have taken home an Academy Award after winning both the Actor and the Golden Globe while only four have failed to do so. And each of that quartet had factors that put them out of favor.
Last year, Eddie Murphy was riding high with wins for his tour de force performance in "Dreamgirls" but the February release of "Norbit" reminded Oscar voters of his true talent and they gave the supporting actor trophy to veteran Alan Arkin ("Little Miss Sunshine"). Perhaps Murphy can take solace in his recent record five Razzie nominations for "Norbit."
In 2002, Renee Zellweger won the comedy/musical Globe and Actor for "Chicago" but lost the Oscar by a nose to Nicole Kidman ("The Hours") who had won the drama Globe. She fell victim to the longstanding preference of Oscar voters for dramatic performances over those in comedies and musicals but had her revenge the following year when she won all three awards for playing a hillbilly in "Cold Mountain" while that film's star, Kidman, only got a Globe nom.
Back in 2001, Russell Crowe was poised to win a second consecutive best actor Oscar until he let his fingers do the talking with a TV producer who dared to cut him off while accepting his BAFTA for "A Beautiful Mind". Instead, Denzel Washington won his second Oscar for "Training Day." And in 1996, even Lauren Bacall ("The Mirror Has Two Faces") could not turn back the tide of support for "The English Patient" which won nine Oscars including one for supporting actress Juliette Binoche.
The 23 actors who have run the board in the awards derby are:
1994: Tom Hanks ("Forrest Gump"), Martin Landau ("Ed Wood"), Dianne Weist ("Bullets Over Broadway")
1995: Nicolas Cage ("Leaving Las Vegas")
1996: Geoffrey Rush ("Shine")
1997: Jack Nicholson ("As Good As It Gets"), Helen Hunt ("As Good As It Gets"), Kim Basinger ("L.A. Confidential")
1998: Gwyneth Paltrow ("Shakespeare in Love")
1999: Angelina Jolie ("Girl, Interrupted")
2000: Julia Roberts ("Erin Brockovich"), Benicio del Toro ("Traffic") won supporting at the Globes, then lead actor at SAG, then the Oscar for supporting.
2003: Charlize Theron ("Monster"), Tim Robbins ("Mystic River"), Renee Zellweger ("Cold Mountain")
2004: Jamie Foxx ("Ray"), Hilary Swank ("Million Dollar Baby")
2005: Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Capote"), Reese Witherspoon ("Walk the Line"), Rachel Weisz ("The Constant Gardener")
2006: Forest Whitaker ("The Last King of Scotland), Helen Mirren ("The Queen"), Jennifer Hudson ("Dreamgirls")
