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Rob L & Boomer Battle over SAG TV predix, too!

January 21, 2008 | 12:36 am

BEST ACTOR - TV DRAMA SERIES
James Gandolfini, "The Sopranos" (BOOMER)
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter"
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men" (ROB L)
Hugh Laurie, "House"
James Spader, "Boston Legal"

ROB L: If the voters want to give Gandolfini and Laurie a rest, then Hall or Hamm should win this. Michael C. Hall and his show Dexter have become a watercooler smash and quite a ratings hit (for Showtime's standards). Yet, all the buzz at the moment, leading up to the Emmys later this year, seems to be with John Hamm and Mad men, which also received a nod for cast, which Dexter did not. I'd put my money on Hamm by a nose.

BOOMER: This is a very tough decision, but I'll predict Gandolfini since it is their final chance to reward him again for his role as Tony Soprano. All of the other four nominees have a very good chance, with Hall being my runner-up selection.

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BEST ACTRESS - TV DRAMA SERIES
Glenn Close, "Damages" (ROB L, BOOMER)
Edie Falco, "The Sopranos"
Sally Field, "Brothers & Sisters"
Holly Hunter, "Saving Grace"
Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer"

ROB L: Great category - with another white elephant in the room in the form of the almighty Glenn Close. Surely she cannot lose, right??? We do also have Oscar and Emmy winners Field and Hunter, as well as SAG fave Sedgewick and the former First Lady of TV Falco, so it won't be as easy for Close as we might first suspect. In any event, I think voters will follow the Golden Globes and give this one to Glenn Close, who OWNED "Damages."

BOOMER: This field is loaded with lots of awards winners in both the television and film worlds. Since Close just triumphed with a Golden Globe and is the heart and sould of her show, I'll be safe and predict her to win this SAG Award. Edie Falco would be my back-up selection.


BEST ACTOR - TV COMEDY SERIES
Alec Baldwin,"30 Rock" (BOOMER)
Steve Carell, "The Office"
Ricky Gervais, "Extras" (ROB L)
Jeremy Piven, "Entourage"
Tony Shalhoub, "Monk"

ROB L: All due respect to Tony Shalhoub, but enough already!!! OK, now that's out of the way, any of the other four could win this. Carell seems to have lost a lot of steam with awards groups lately, and I keep predicting Baldwin, who has now lost to Gervais at last year's Emmys and the more recent Globes. Piven, usually in a supporting category, could surprise, but I think that Gervais might just take this one as well. However, any voter that actually watches the Baldwin episode of "30 Rock" titled "Rosemary's Baby" would most certainly vote for him in a heartbeat.

BOOMER: Would somebody please tell Tony Shalhoub that he is now embarrassing himself with continued nominations for this show. That said, a strong case can be made for all four other men in this category. There has to be at least one repeat winner Sunday night, so I'll predict Baldwin to win again. However, Carell hasn't won an individual SAG Award before, so he has a real chance.


BEST ACTRESS - TV COMEDY SERIES
Christina Applegate, "Samantha Who?"
America Ferrera, "Ugly Betty" (BOOMER)
Tina Fey, "30 Rock" (ROB L)
Mary-Louise Parker, "Weeds"
Vanessa Williams, "Ugly Betty"

ROB L: This is not an easy one to pick, because I think that the "Ugly Betty" ladies might (gasp) split the vote ever so slightly to put them at a disadvantage, especially becuase America Ferrera will not have as much diehard support as she did in "Ugly Betty's" first season. Applegate and Parker are deserving also rans I think, because Fey should take this one following her Globe win (I hope), for her understated but perfect comic timing in TV's best comedy.

BOOMER: I really think this is a race between last year's winner Ferrera and long-time veteran actress Parker. Fey is more known as a writer than an actress, so I wonder if SAG voters would actually choose her ton win. With her show also nominated in the ensemble category, I assume the support is stronger for Ferrera to win.


BEST ENSEMBLE - TV DRAMA SERIES
"Boston Legal"
"The Closer"
"Grey's Anatomy"
"Mad Men" (ROB L)
"The Sopranos" (BOOMER)

ROB L: The SAG voters really love "The Closer," which makes its second appearance in a row in this category. But I think that, along with "Grey's Anatomy" (which has lost some of its heat from the season before) and "Boston Legal" (which dumbfounds me every time I see it in any awards category - sorry folks) are fillers. This is between The Sopranos' final season and the hot new show "Mad Men." I'm going out on a limb and predicting "Mad Men" here.

BOOMER: Although my personal choice would be the incredibly entertaining "Mad Men," there is no way I could predict against voters having one final opportunity to honor the versatile and powerful cast of "The Sopranos." Don't underestimate a return victory by "Grey's Anatomy" (the SAG voters chose "E.R." several times in its early years).


BEST ENSEMBLE - TV COMEDY SERIES
"30 Rock" (ROB L)
"Desperate Housewives"
"Entourage"
"The Office" (BOOMER)
"Ugly Betty"

ROB L: All worthy ensembles, any of them could easily win this one. I pick 30 Rock here out of complete and utter personal bias.

BOOMER: This is probably the toughest category to predict in the TV categories. Can "Desperate Housewives" mount a comeback victory to win yet another ensemble trophy? Can last year's winner "The Office" repeat? Or can "30 Rock", a show about the behind-the-scenes workings of a network show prevail? Any of these three are strong possibilites, but I am predicting a "The Office" cast to make a return appearance on stage.


BEST ACTOR - TV MOVIE/MINI
Michael Keaton, "The Company" (BOOMER)
Kevin Kline, "As You Like It" (ROB L)
Oliver Platt, "The Bronx is Burning"
Sam Shepard, "Ruffian"
John Turturro, "The Bronx is Burning"

ROB L: Not an easy category to predict, with no Globe or Emmy guidance to assist. I'm going with Kevin Kline.

BOOMER: I really don't have any idea how to predict these two TV Movie categories, but do you realize there will be three Batmen in attendance Sunday night (Michael Keaton, George Clooney, Christian Bale). If they could only get Val Kilmer to present this award, I would have no doubt the winner will be Keaton.


BEST ACTRESS - TV MOVIE/MINI
Ellen Burstyn, "Mitch Albom's For One More Day"
Debra Messing, "The Starter Wife"
Anna Paquin, "Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee"
Queen Latifah, "Life Support" (ROB L, BOOMER)
Gena Rowlands, "What if God Were the Sun?"
Vanessa Redgrave, "The Fever"

ROB L: Toss a coin. Queen Latifah.

BOOMER: I don't think Paquin or Burstyn can win, but the other four are certainly possible. Since she just won the Globe and is very liked in the industry, I am predicting the Queen.


BEST STUNTS - TV SERIES
"24" (BOOMER)
"Heroes"
"Lost"
"Rome" (ROB L)
"The Unit"

ROB L: Great category. 24 and The Unit I'd say are out. That leaves once-hot-but-now-not-so-much Heroes and Lost (both of which were ignored completely in all other categories) and HBO's surprise package from last year's Emmys - Rome. For stunt work, I'd go with Rome to edge out the others, but who knows... right?

BOOMER: Even though the show itself really tanked this past season, "24" seems the most likely to win for all of the many stunt performers on the show.

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Comments

your comment about enough already tony shalhoub i thin was very disrespectful. i am not a fan but it is the actors who nominated the performers for this award so i think tony has a lot of fans to get him in the top five


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