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Our smartest Tony Awards prophet: AM New York's Matt Windman

June 17, 2008 |  6:08 am

A bakers dozen of pundits predicted winners in the 26 competitive Tony Awards. Matthew Windman of AM New York of was the top prognosticator with a staggering 22 correct. Three pundits tied for second with 21 right — Melissa Bernardo of Entertainment Weekly, Paul Sheehan of, and David Sheward of Back Stage. As a group, we scored an average of 19 correct. To see original predix, CLICK HERE.

All of us predicted "August: Osage County" to win best play and its star, Deanna Dunagan, to take best actress. Everyone thought Patti LuPone would win best actress in a musical for "Gypsy" while only the champ, Matthew Windman, did not choose Paulo Szot for best actor in a musical for "South Pacific (Matthew went for Lin-Manuel Miranda of "In the Heights"). All but two of us thought that show would win best musical.


Only Melissa Bernardo and last year's pundit champ, Linda Winer of Newsday, foresaw "Passing Strange" winning best book and Melissa was only one of two to predict "The 39 Steps" to win the first Tony awarded for sound design of a play. The other big surprise was the win by Rondi Reed for featured actress in a play for "August: Osage County," the choice of only 3 of the pundits.

Below are the final scores were. All numbers apply to 26 categories unless otherwise indicated.

Melissa Bernardo (Entertainment Weekly) - 21
Martin Denton ( - 18
Robert Diamond ( - 20
Elysa Gardner (USA Today) - 13
Susan Haskins (Theater Talk) - 14
Leonard Jacobs (Back Stage) - 17
Brian Lipton ( - 19
Tom O'Neil ( - 19
Tony Phillips (Edge Publications) – 12/21
Michael Riedel (New York Post) – 8/13
Paul Sheehan ( - 21
David Sheward(Backstage) - 21
Linda Winer (Newsday) - 18