Our two best Emmy gurus — forum moderators Robert "Rob L" Licuria (AwardsHeaven.net) and Chris "Boomer" Beachum — clash on what show will win best drama series (see HERE), but agree on what'll prevail as best comedy: "30 Rock." And this time I agree with them.
Last year's champ will not only repeat for all of the reasons they outline in their text below, but one more. "30 Rock" is a show about the lunacy of the TV biz and that probably proves irresistible to TV academy members who must cope with that craziness in their daily jobs. Sure, one of Emmy's biggest losers — "The Larry Sanders Show" — was about the late-show biz, but it was brilliantly creepy and off-putting and it didn't showcase superstars like Alec Baldwin and Tina Fey.
Boomer and Rob agree with what's in second place too ("The Office"), but thereafter their rankings diverge. Boomer holds out some hope for "Entourage," but not Rob. Very interesting. But here I tend to agree with Boomer.
QUICK EARLY CALL — Unlike the drama series race, this is a very easy category to predict. "30 Rock" has all the industry buzz, the hip cool factor with Tina Fey at the helm, and is the defending champ. It doesn't hurt that the show has far more than six excellent episodes to submit too.
The only other show even close is "The Office," but even its greatest fans would say that the show slipped a little this last season. The producers can certainly assemble a great package of episode submissions, but I just don't think it will win this time. Much like the drama series race, it is extremely rare for a series to win this category without a directing or writing nomination (the only time in the last 25-plus years was "Friends"), so I think it is safe to say that "Men" and "Curb" are out. "Entourage" has a slim hope, but it also fell in quality this last season. It is a real shame that "Pushing Daisies" did not make this race after claiming so many other nominations.
QUICK EARLY CALL — If "30 Rock" submits "Rosemary's Baby," then it's a shoo-in. With "Cooter," it is vulnerable, because although it's a clever and entertaining episode, the laughs are not there as much. Ditto for "The Office," which looks to have submitted unwisely. That being said, it's a two-horse race, with the two NBC comedies dominating the buzz and positive cult-like reviews of the media and fans alike.
A win by "Curb" or "Men" would be a surprise, but probably not completely out of the ball park. Only "Entourage" has no hope, in a fourth season almost entirely devoid of laughs (well, almost). Look for "30 Rock" to sweep the main categories this year. I won't be changing my mind on this one either.