Our top Emmy gurus — forum moderators Robert "Rob L" Licuria (AwardsHeaven.net) and Chris "Boomer" Beachum — are split over what will win the Emmy for best TV film. Rob picks the obvious favorite, "Recount," but Boomer calls a longshot: the "Extras" finale.

Like Boomer, I was impressed with the "Extras" wrap-up, but I can't see it beating "Recount." Historically, voters have almost always opted for TV movies based upon real events that are loaded with the most potent political or social message. That's true even when the movies are bad — like "A Lesson Before Dying" (1999).

BEST TV MOVIE: BOOMER'S RANKING
1.  "Extras: Extra Special Series Finale"
2.  "Recount"
3.  "A Raisin in the Sun"
4.  "Bernard and Doris"
5.  "The Memory Keeper's Daughter"

BOOMER'S COMMENTS: For weeks before the nominations were announced, I was sure that "Raisin" would win this award. However, the lack of both directing and writing nominations puts a real damper on its chances now. The smart money would be on a "Recount" win, but I seem to remember that the movie received a good-not-great reception and wasn't really "loved" by anybody. I'll take a shot with recent Emmy favorite Ricky Gervais and say that his series finale picks up a surprise win in this category.

BEST TV MOVIE: ROB'S RANKING
1. "Recount"
2. "Extras Finale"
3. "Bernard and Doris"
4. "A Raisin in the Sun"
5. "The Memory Keeper's Daughter"

ROB'S COMMENTS: This one is not as easy as it looks. Sure, it would be easy to say that "Recount" is the front-runner, with the most nominations, HBO and big Oscar-winning and -nominated stars. And for the time being, I'll go with "Recount." But "Extras" is poised for the upset, and we know how much ATAS loves Ricky Gervais. "Bernard and Doris" and "A Raisin in the Sun" also have decent shots, with a few nods under each movie's belt and high-wattage stars in their casts. I think the only safe thing to say in this race is that Lifetime should probably be happy with the nomination for "Memory Keeper's Daughter."

(Photos: HBO)