Gold Derby's Emmy racetrack odds nailed 9 of 11 top races
Considering that the Emmys are widely known to be the most unpredictable of Hollywood's awards, I think our racetrack odds panned out rather well — especially that last-minute Bryan Cranston call! But I got two races dead wrong, giving rather shoddy odds to eventual champs Laura Linney ("John Adams") and Tina Fey ("30 Rock"). Frankly, neither performance was emotionally flashy, which is usually preferred by the judges. To see our original rundown, CLICK HERE. They're also reproduced below with an "X" noting the final winner in each category.
BEST DRAMA SERIES
X — "Mad Men" - 5/4
"Damages" - 7/5
"Lost" - 8/1
"House" - 9/1
"Dexter" - 10/1
"Boston Legal" - 50/1
BEST COMEDY SERIES
X — "30 Rock" - 1/3
"The Office" - 8/5
"Entourage" - 20/1
"Curb Your Enthusiasm" - 30/1
"Two and a Half Men" - 40/1
BEST DRAMA ACTOR
X — Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad" - 2/1
James Spader, "Boston Legal" - 11/5
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men" - 13/5
Hugh Laurie, "House" - 8/1
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter" - 8/1
Gabriel Byrne, "In Treatment" - 35/1
(NOTE: I changed this prediction from James Spader to Bryan Cranston on Sept. 19.)
BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
X — Glenn Close, "Damages" - 2/1
Mariska Hargitay, "Law and Order: S.V.U." - 3/1
Sally Field, "Brothers and Sisters" - 7/2
Holly Hunter, "Saving Grace" - 4/1
Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer" - 9/2
BEST COMEDY ACTOR
X — Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock" - Even
Steve Carell, "The Office" - 5/2
Lee Pace, "Pushing Daisies" - 7/2
Tony Shalhoub, "Monk" - 6/1
Charlie Sheen, "Two and a Half Men" - 50/1
BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
America Ferrera, "Ugly Betty" - 2/1
Christina Applegate, "Samantha Who?" - 7/3
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "New Adventures of Old Christine" - 5/2
X — Tina Fey, "30 Rock" - 3/1
Mary-Louise Parker, "Weeds" - 50/1
BEST MINISERIES
X — "John Adams" - 1/2
"Cranford" - 7/5
"Tin Man" - 30/1
"The Andromeda Strain" - 40/1
BEST MADE-FOR-TV MOVIE
X — "Recount" - 5/4
"Extras: The Extra Special Series Finale" - 7/5
"A Raisin in the Sun" - 8/1
"Bernard and Doris" - 10/1
"The Memory Keeper's Daughter" - 50/1
BEST ACTOR, MINISERIES OR A MOVIE
X — Paul Giamatti, "John Adams" - 7/3
Ricky Gervais, "Extras: The Extra Special Series Finale" - 5/2
Ralph Fiennes, "Bernard and Doris" - 3/1
Kevin Spacey, "Recount" - 4/1
Tom Wilkinson, "Recount" 5/1
BEST ACTRESS, MINISERIES OR A MOVIE
Phylicia Rashad, "A Raisin in the Sun" - 8/5
Susan Sarandon, "Bernard And Doris" - 9/5
X — Laura Linney, "John Adams" - 5/1
Dame Judi Dench, "Cranford" - 6/1
Catherine Keener, "An American Crime" - 8/1
BEST VARIETY SERIES
X — "The Daily Show with Jon Stewart" - 4/5
"Saturday Night Live" - 3/1
"The Colbert Report" - 10/3
"Late Show With David Letterman" - 8/1
"Real Time with Bill Maher" - 40/1
Hey Tom, congratulations on picking Bryan Cranston! I wasn't too sure about your 11th hour change, but clearly you had your hand on Hollywood's pulse.
Posted by: dude | September 22, 2008 at 04:04 PM