Gold Derby

The inside track on Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and all the award shows.

« Previous Post | Gold Derby Home | Next Post »

The Envelope's first Oscars predictions of the 2008 derby

September 29, 2008 | 10:44 am

The Envelope's Buzzmeter is currently being overhauled and redesigned, so let's start featuring Oscars predictions here at Gold Derby.

Below we pooled the views of seven pundits: Anthony Breznican (USA Today), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon.net), Scott Feinberg (AndTheWinnerIs, The Feinberg Files at The Envelope), Pete Hammond (The Envelope), Dave Karger (Entertainment Weekly), Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby, The Envelope), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere.com).

Oscarsgoldbrite154

The result: proof of how wide open the top races are. There is no consensus over a single nomination except a best actor nom for Mickey Rourke in "The Wrestler." The biggest majorities in the best picture race: six of our seven Oscar seers pick "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button," five opt for "Frost/Nixon" and "Revolutionary Road." Only two chaps pooled six pundits in the best actor slugfest: Sean Penn ("Milk") and Frank Langella ("Frost/Nixon").

Only two gals get six votes for best actress: Kate Winslet ("Revolutionary Road") and Angelina Jolie ("Changeling"). Five contenders muster only a single vote: Kate Beckinsale ("Nothing but the Truth"), Cate Blanchett ("The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"), Sally Hawkins ("Happy-Go-Lucky"), Keira Knightley ("The Duchess") and Melissa Leo ("Frozen River"). In the best actor derby, there's only single-vote support, surprisingly, for Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Doubt"), Benicio del Toro ("Che"), Josh Brolin ("W.") and Robert Downey Jr. ("The Soloist").

BEST PICTURE Anthony Breznican Edward Douglas Scott Feinberg Pete Hammond Dave Karger Tom O'Neil Jeffrey Wells
'Australia'            X          X    
'The Curious Case of Benjamin Button'        X          X        X        X        X        X
'Changeling'        X            X      
'Dark Knight'        X        X          
'Doubt'            X          X        X  
'Frost/Nixon'          X        X        X        X        X  
'Gran Torino'                    X
'Milk'          X        X        X            X
'Revolutionary Road'          X          X        X        X        X
'Slumdog Millionaire'          X              X  
'W.'        X            
'The Wrestler'        X                  X

BEST ACTOR Anthony Breznican Edward Douglas Scott Feinberg Pete Hammond Dave Karger Tom O'Neil Jeffrey Wells
Josh Brolin, 'W.'                    X
Benicio del Toro, 'Che'          X          
Leo DiCaprio, 'Revolutionary Road'              X        X        X        X
Robert Downey Jr., 'The Soloist'            X        
Philip Seymour Hoffman, 'Doubt'        X            
Richard Jenkins, 'The Visitor'        X        X          X            X
Frank Langella, 'Frost/Nixon'        X        X        X        X        X        X  
Sean Penn, 'Milk'        X        X        X        X        X        X  
Brad Pitt, 'Benjamin Button'            X          X        X        X
Mickey Rourke, 'The Wrestler'        X        X        X        X        X        X        X

BEST ACTRESS Anthony Breznican Edward Douglas Scott Feinberg Pete Hammond Dave Karger Tom O'Neil Jeffrey Wells
Kate Beckinsale, 'Nothing but the Truth'          X          
Cate Blanchett, 'Benjamin Button'                X    
Anne Hathaway, 'Rachel Getting Married'        X        X            X        X        X
Sally Hawkins, 'Happy-Go-Lucky'                  X  
Angelina Jolie, 'Changeling'        X        X        X        X        X          X 
Nicole Kidman, 'Australia'        X          X        
Keira Knightley, 'The Duchess'              X      
Melissa Leo, 'Frozen River'                    X
Meryl Streep, 'Doubt'            X        X        X        X        X   
Kristin Scott Thomas, 'I've Loved You So Long'          X        X        X          X        X
Kate Winslet, 'Revolutionary Road'        X        X        X        X        X        X  


Advertisement