Oscars pundits predict noms for 'Frost/Nixon,' Mickey Rourke and Anne Hathaway
Our latest polling of Oscarologists yields less agreement than previous ones. The only consensus picks: "Frost/Nixon" will be nominated for best picture, Mickey Rourke ("The Wrestler") for best actor and Anne Hathaway ("Rachel Getting Married") for best actress.
Our team of gurus: Thelma Adams (Us Weekly), Scott Bowles (USA Today), Erik Davis (Cinematical), Greg Ellwood (MSN Movies), Kevin Lewin (World Entertainment News Network), Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby, TheEnvelope.com).
Even though Warner Bros. is campaigning Heath Ledger in supporting for "Dark Knight," Oscar voters can put him in lead, if they'd like. (Voters don't have that same freedom at the Golden Globes and SAG Awards where eligibility committees determine category placement.) Apparently, Thelma Adams believes they'll pull that switcheroo on Ledger.
| BEST PICTURE | Adams | Bowles | Davis | Ellwood | Lewin | O'Neil |
| 'Australia' |
X |
X |
X |
|||
| 'Changeling' |
X |
| ||||
| 'Benjamin Button' |
X |
X |
X |
|
X | |
| 'Dark Knight' |
X |
X |
X |
|
||
| 'Doubt' |
X |
|
|
|
| |
| 'Frost/Nixon' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
| 'Milk' |
X |
|
|
X | ||
| 'Rachel Getting Married' |
X |
|
|
|||
| 'Revolutionary Road' |
|
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
| 'Slumdog Millionaire' |
X |
X |
X |
|
X | |
| 'The Visitor' |
|
X |
| BEST ACTOR | Adams | Bowles | Davis | Ellwood | Lewin | O'Neil |
| Josh Brolin, 'W.' |
X |
|||||
| Benicio Del Toro, 'Che' |
X |
|
||||
| Leo DiCaprio, 'Revolutionary Road' |
X |
| ||||
| Robert Downey Jr., 'Soloist' |
|
|
|
X |
||
| Clint Eastwood, 'Gran Torino' |
X |
X |
X |
|
X | |
| Philip Seymour Hoffman, 'Doubt' |
|
|
|
X |
| |
| Richard Jenkins, 'The Visitor' |
|
|
|
|
X |
|
| Frank Langella, 'Frost/Nixon' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
| Ben Kingsley, 'The Wackness' |
X |
|||||
| Heath Ledger, 'The Dark Knight' |
X |
|
|
|||
| Sean Penn, 'Milk' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
| Brad Pitt, 'Benjamin Button' |
|
X |
|
X | ||
| Mickey Rourke, 'The Wrestler' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
| BEST ACTRESS | Adams | Bowles | Davis | Ellwood | Lewin | O'Neil |
| Anne Hathaway, 'Rachel Getting Married' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
| Sally Hawkins, 'Happy-Go-Lucky' |
X |
X |
|
|
X |
X |
| Angelina Jolie, 'Changeling' |
|
X |
X |
X |
X | |
|
Melissa Leo, 'Frozen River' |
X |
|
|
|
| |
| Meryl Streep, 'Doubt' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
| Kristin Scott Thomas, 'I've Loved You So Long' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
|
| Kate Winslet, 'Revolutionary Road' |
|
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
Whqqt about Greg Kinnear for Flash of Genius? Clint Eastwood is overrated from the acting perspective...let's give him oscars for directing!
Posted by: Ankur | October 16, 2008 at 11:44 AM
In short dramatic films - I put high odds on my film "My Simple Story" to be one of the five selected nominated films.
Posted by: Izidore K. Musallam | October 14, 2008 at 10:32 PM
how can there be mention of Sally Hawkins without mention of Eddie Marsan in HAPPY GO LUCKY??
Posted by: molly brianne | October 14, 2008 at 10:17 AM
Why is Heath listed for best actor when everyone knows he would be placed in the best supporting actor catagory?
Posted by: Kim | October 13, 2008 at 10:16 PM
Hey Tom - you're the only one holding out on a KST nomination for Best Actress. What gives? Curious why you think a newcomer like Sally Hawkins has an edge over an 'overdue', let alone highly deserved, nom from a v. established and beloved actress?
Posted by: doobiedoo | October 13, 2008 at 09:36 PM