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Oscars predix: Richard Jenkins, Sally Hawkins and Will Smith zoom forward | Leo DiCaprio and Clint Eastwood fall back

November 4, 2008 |  1:08 pm

What a difference a day and a new gang of Oscar gurus make! Proof of how wide open the derby is can be tracked in the vast differences between our newest pundit predix (below) and the rundown we published yesterday (CLICK HERE). Six seers participated in both juries. Our new group: Patrick Day (LATimes.com), Kevin Lewin (World Entertainment News Network), Michael Musto (Village Voice), T.L. Stanley (Gold Rush, Hollywood Reporter), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere.com).

Oscarsnoop154

Richard Jenkins ("The Visitor") proves to be a dramatic dark horse, zooming from far beyond the pack of best-actor rivals (no votes yesterday) to leading it, being tied with Sean Penn ("Milk") and Mickey Rourke ("The Wrestler") for reaping unanimous support now.

Another notable leap ahead: Sally Hawkins ("Happy-Go-Lucky") from 3 votes to 5. Darting onto the derby track after no support yesterday: Melissa Leo ("Frozen River") and Will Smith ("Seven Pounds").

Notable fallbacks: Clint Eastwood ("Gran Torino") dropped from 5 votes to 2 and Leonardo DiCaprio ("Revolutionary Road") from 4 to 1. Falling out completely: Nicole Kidman ("Australia") and Benicio Del Toro ("Che").

BEST PICTURE Day Lewin Musto Stanley Travers Wells
'Australia'  

X

 

  

   
'Benjamin Button'

X

X

 

X

X

X

'Changeling'

 

X

       
'Dark Knight'

X

 

X

X

X

 

'Doubt'

     

X

 

 
'Frost/Nixon'

X

X

 

 

X

X

'Gran Torino'    

X

     
'Milk'

X

 

X

X

X

 

'Revolutionary Road'

 

X

 

 

X

'Slumdog Millionaire'

X

 

X

X

X

X


BEST ACTOR Day Lewin Musto Stanley Travers Wells
Leo DiCaprio, 'Revolutionary Road  

 

 

 

 

X

Clint Eastwood, 'Gran Torino'

 

 

X

 

X

 

Richard Jenkins,

'The Visitor'

X

X

X

X

X

X

Frank Langella, 'Frost/Nixon'

X

X

X

X

X

 

Sean Penn, 'Milk'

X

X

X

X

X

X

Brad Pitt, 'Benjamin Button'

 

 

 

X

 

X

Mickey Rourke, 'The Wrestler'

X

X

X

X

X

X

Will Smith, 'Seven Pounds'

X

X

       

BEST ACTRESS Day Lewin Musto Stanley Travers Wells
Cate Blanchett, 'Benjamin Button'

 X

 

     

 

Anne Hathaway, 'Rachel Getting Married'

 

X

X

X

X

X

Sally Hawkins, 'Happy-Go-Lucky'

X

X

X

X

 

X

Angelina Jolie, 'Changeling'

X

X

 

  

X

 

Melissa Leo, 'Frozen River'          

X

Meryl Streep, 'Doubt'

X

X

X

X

X

X

Kristin Scott Thomas, 'I've Loved You So Long'

 

 

X

X

X

X

Kate Winslet, 'Revolutionary Road'

X

X

X

X

 


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Comments

I don't care if it's a popcorn picture, has there been a better, more dazzling performance this year than Robert Downey Jr. in "Iron Man"?

I also hope Academy members will take a look at "In Bruges," a film with great acting and a wonderful script.


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