Experts predict who'll win the Golden Globes
We've assembled a team of pro pundits to predict who'll win the Golden Globes: Thelma Adams (Us Weekly), Scott Bowles (USA Today), Peter Howell (Toronto Star), Dave Karger (Entertainment Weekly), Greg Ellwood (HitFix.com), Marshall Fine (Star Magazine, Hollywood and Fine), Kris Tapley (InContention.com), Brad Brevet (Rope of Silicon), Scott Feinberg (Feinberg Files, The Envelope), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Pete Hammond (Notes on a Season, The Envelope), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon.net), T.L. Stanley (Gold Rush, Hollywood Reporter) and me. Read more pundits' predictions at AwardsDaily.com. Check out my detailed analysis of the top categories HERE . Film critic Gene Seymour gives Gold Derby readers his analysis HERE.
BEST DRAMA PICTURE
"The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" — Douglas, Karger, Travers
"Frost/Nixon"
"The Reader"
"Revolutionary Road"
"Slumdog Millionaire" — Adams, Bowles, Brevet, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Howell, O'Neil, Stanley, Tapley
BEST COMEDY-MUSICAL PICTURE
"Burn After Reading"
"Happy-Go-Lucky" — Adams, Brevet, Stanley, Tapley, Travers
"In Bruges"
"Mamma Mia!" — Fine, Howell, O'Neil
"Vicky Cristina Barcelona" — Bowles, Ellwood, Douglas, Feinberg, Hammond, Karger
BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE PICTURE
"The Baader Meinhof Complex"
"Everlasting Moments"
"Gomorrah" — Brevet, Feinberg, Tapley
"I've Loved You So Long" — Adams, Douglas, Fine
"Waltz With Bashir" — Bowles, Ellwood, Hammond, Howell, Karger, O'Neil, Stanley, Travers
BEST DIRECTOR
Danny Boyle, "Slumdog Millionaire" — Adams, Bowles, Brevet, Douglas, Feinberg, Howell, Karger, O'Neil, Stanley, Tapley
Stephen Daldry, "The Reader"
David Fincher, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" — Fine, Ellwood, Hammond, Travers
Ron Howard, "Frost/Nixon"
Sam Mendes, "Revolutionary Road"
BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio, "Revolutionary Road"
Frank Langella, "Frost/Nixon" — Hammond, O'Neil, Tapley
Sean Penn, "Milk" — Adams, Bowles, Brevet, Douglas, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Stanley, Travers
Brad Pitt, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" — Howell
Mickey Rourke, "The Wrestler" — Karger
BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway, "Rachel Getting Married" — Brevet, Douglas, Feinberg, Fine, O'Neil
Angelina Jolie, "Changeling"
Meryl Streep, "Doubt" — Ellwood, Hammond, Howell, Tapley, Travers
Kristin Scott Thomas, "I've Loved You So Long" — Stanley
Kate Winslet, "Revolutionary Road" — Adams, Bowles, Karger
BEST COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR
Javier Bardem, "Vicky Cristina Barcelona" — Brevet, Douglas, Fine, Stanley, Hammond, Howell
Colin Farrell, "In Bruges" — O'Neil
James Franco, "Pineapple Express" — Travers
Brendan Gleeson, "In Bruges"
Dustin Hoffman, "Last Chance Harvey" — Adams, Bowles, Ellwood, Feinberg, Karger, Tapley
BEST COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS
Rebecca Hall, "Vicky Cristina Barcelona" — Bowles
Sally Hawkins, "Happy-Go-Lucky" — Adams, Brevet, Douglas, Ellwood, Fine, Hammond, Howell, Karger, Tapley, Stanley, Travers
Frances McDormand, "Burn After Reading"
Meryl Streep, "Mamma Mia!" — Feinberg, O'Neil
Emma Thompson, "Last Chance Harvey"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Tom Cruise, "Tropic Thunder"
Robert Downey Jr., "Tropic Thunder"
Ralph Fiennes, "The Duchess"
Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Doubt"
Heath Ledger, "The Dark Knight" — Adams, Bowles, Brevet, Douglas, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Howell, Karger, O'Neil, Stanley, Tapley, Travers
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, "Doubt"
Penelope Cruz, "Vicky Cristina Barcelona" — Adams, Brevet, Douglas, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Howell, Karger, Stanley, Tapley, Travers
Viola Davis, "Doubt" — Bowles
Marisa Tomei, "The Wrestler"
Kate Winslet, "The Reader" — O'Neil
ANIMATED FILM
"Bolt"
"Kung Fu Panda"
"Wall-E" — Adams, Bowles, Brevet, Feinberg, Douglas, Ellwood, Fine, Hammond, Howell, Karger, O'Neil, Stanley, Tapley, Travers
SCREENPLAY
Simon Beaufoy, "Slumdog Millionaire" — Adams, Bowles, Brevet, Ellwood, Feinberg, Howell, Stanley, Karger
David Hare, "The Reader"
Peter Morgan, "Frost/Nixon"
Eric Roth, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" — Fine, Hammond, O'Neil, Tapley, Travers
John Patrick Shanley, "Doubt" — Douglas
ORIGINAL SCORE
Alexandre Desplat, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" — Ellwood, Douglas, Feinberg, Hammond, Howell, Karger, O'Neil
Clint Eastwood, "Changeling" — Adams
James Newton Howard, "Defiance"
Hans Zimmer, "Frost/Nixon"
A.R. Rahman, "Slumdog Millionaire" — Brevet, Bowles, Brevet, Fine, Stanley, Tapley
SONG
"Down to Earth" (performed by Peter Gabriel, written by Peter Gabriel and Thomas Newman), "Wall-E" — Adams, Howell
"Gran Torino" (performed by Clint Eastwood, Jamie Cullum, Kyle Eastwood, Michael Stevens, lyrics by: Kyle Eastwood, Michael Stevens), "Gran Torino"
"I Thought I Lost You" (performed by Miley Cyrus and John Travolta, written by Miley Cyrus and Jeffrey Steele), "Bolt" — Hammond
"Once in a Lifetime" (performed by Beyoncé, written by Beyoncé Knowles, Amanda Ghost, Scott McFarnon, Ian Dench, James Dring, Jody Street), "Cadillac Records"
"The Wrestler" (performed by Bruce Springsteen, written by Bruce Springsteen), "The Wrestler" — Bowles, Brevet, Douglas, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Karger, O'Neil, Stanley, Tapley, Travers
GOLDEN GLOBES TELEVISION CATEGORIES
DRAMATIC TV SERIES
"Dexter" — Tapley
"House M.D."
"In Treatment" — Ellwood
"Mad Men" — Bowles, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Karger, O'Neil, Travers
"True Blood"
BEST ACTOR, TV DRAMA
Gabriel Byrne, "In Treatment" — Ellwood
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter" — O'Neil, Tapley
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men" — Bowles, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Karger, Travers
Hugh Laurie, "House M.D."
Jonathan Rhys Meyers, "The Tudors"
BEST ACTRESS, TV DRAMA
Sally Field, "Brothers & Sisters" — Tapley
Mariska Hargitay, "Law & Order: SVU"
January Jones, "Mad Men" — Bowles
Anna Paquin, "True Blood" — Hammond, Ellwood, Karger, O'Neil, Travers
Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer" — Feinberg, Fine
TV SERIES, MUSICAL OR COMEDY
"Californication"
"Entourage"
"The Office"
"30 Rock" — Bowles, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Karger, O'Neil, Tapley, Travers
"Weeds"
BEST ACTOR, TV MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock" — Bowles, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Karger, Tapley, Travers
Steve Carell, "The Office"
Kevin Connolly, "Entourage"
David Duchovny, "Californication"
Tony Shalhoub, "Monk"
BEST ACTRESS, TV MUSICAL OR COMEDY
Christina Applegate, "Samantha Who?" — Tapley
America Ferrera, "Ugly Betty"
Tina Fey, "30 Rock" — Bowles, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Karger, O'Neil, Travers
Debra Messing, "The Starter Wife"
Mary-Louise Parker, "Weeds"
BEST MINISERIES OR TV MOVIE
"Cranford"
"Bernard & Doris"
"John Adams" — Feinberg, Ellwood, Fine, Hammond, Karger, O'Neil, Tapley, Travers
"A Raisin in the Sun"
"Recount" — Bowles
BEST ACTOR IN A TV MINI OR MOVIE
Ralph Fiennes, "Bernard and Doris"
Paul Giammatti, "John Adams" — Bowles, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Hammond, Karger, O'Neil, Tapley, Travers
Kevin Spacey, "Recount"
Kiefer Sutherland, "24: Redemption"
Tom Wilkinson, "Recount"
BEST ACTRESS IN A TV MINI OR MOVIE
Judi Dench, "Cranford"
Laura Linney, "John Adams" — Bowles, Ellwood, Feinberg, Fine, Karger, Travers
Catherine Keener, "An American Crime"
Shirley MacLaine, "Coco Chanel" — Hammond, O'Neil, Tapley
Susan Sarandon, "Bernard & Doris"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TV MINI OR MOVIE
Eileen Atkins, "Cranford"
Laura Dern, "Recount" — Bowles, Ellwood, Fine, Hammond, O'Neil, Travers
Melissa George, "In Treatment"
Rachel Griffiths, "Brothers & Sisters" — Karger, Tapley
Dianne Wiest, "In Treatment" — Feinberg
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN TV MINI OR MOVIE
Neil Patrick Harris, "How I Met Your Mother"
Denis Leary, "Recount"
Jeremy Piven, "Entourage" — Bowles, Feinberg, Fine, Tapley, Travers
Blair Underwood, "In Treatment"
Tom Wilkinson, "John Adams" — Hammond, Ellwood, Karger, O'Neil
Photo: HFPA
I truly hope that Mariska Hargitay wins for her portrayal of Detective Olivia Benson on Law and Order: Special Victims Unit. She has done such a great job this season and her acting is amazing. I did enjoy True Blood but in my opinion, Anna doesn't deserve the award. Sally Field is an amazing actress but this year wasn't her year. Mariska, out of all of the actress' she is up against, deserves this award the most. I hope she can take it home.
Posted by: Mary82 | January 11, 2009 at 04:07 PM
Let me clarify my position.
Harold and Kumar, yes great satire for the Globes and Oscar. ( Laurel and Hardy "The Music Box" (1932).)
Zack and M, great comedy for the Globes (Cary Grant and Katherine Hepburn in The Philadelphia Story)
Tropic ( Platoon in black face) great for the Globes and of course the Oscars ( Birth of a Nation).
Street Kings ( the opening alone makes it a great drama ala Rocky with a better performance and ending with F. Whitaker)
Baby Mama ( The Odd Couple with breast) and of course Zohan ( political comedy ) I loved this quote “ It is also brazenly self-confident in its refusal to pander to the imagined sensitivity of its audience.” Yes, all are Oscar and Globe ready, and they didn’t need 100 million in self promotion to obtain Oscar credibility or a handicap with a supposed A list of character actors.
Posted by: writerdjb | January 10, 2009 at 06:28 PM
I agree about The Duchess and The Boy In Striped Pyjamas. I am so bored with superhero movies.
Posted by: Rob Wills | January 10, 2009 at 02:56 PM
writerdjb, you are certainly entitled to your opinion, but Harold and Kumar, Zac and Miri, Zohan? Really? Oscar worthy? Really? There were some overlooked movies, Boy in the Striped Pajamas and The Duchess being at least 2 of them.
Posted by: Cory | January 10, 2009 at 12:12 PM
Like Big Nikki ( Finke) and little Nikki ( Kidman) I might skip this show ( at least the red carpet walk).
First it’s the limited number ( and their membership requirements)of journalists who nominate these films. It’s not like those journalists who nominate our sport heroes to the hall of fame. Secondly, the HFPA doesn’t recognize real talent or production values in the majority of films that were “great.” The nominees once again appear as another marketing blitz by the studios, which in turn leads to another boring Oscar presentation. Benjamin B was a snore festival, with good lighting. I head someone say it was Forrest Gump part two.
Australia was an epic film that Leo McCarty and Allan Dwain would love, it just didn’t make enough money.
Their were a few great films, Dark Knight, Harold and Kumar, Zack and Miri, Tropic, Street Kings, Baby Mama, Zohan, Burn After Reading, W, Miracle. But only a few highly marketed films are noticed by the HFPA.
I saw Appaloosa yesterday, that great film ignored by everybody was the real dramatic equivalent of the Dark Knight. It should have been nominated for best director, actor, actress and supporting. Shame on you world press. Third, for so much and fluff and stuff the HFPA is less then eighty people voting for the Globes. Is it unbiased with “ free tickets”, why not send a DVD sampler. . Lastly my opinion on those who make us watch the Globes, what the H*** is a reminder list, recognized standing, and a county club vote on HFPA membership. Despite all of the above I will watch the Globes ( hypocrite), and little Nicky if you show up, save me a seat.
Posted by: writerdjb | January 10, 2009 at 06:10 AM
Thanks for including the TV picks!
Posted by: Marcus | January 09, 2009 at 09:40 PM