Oscars predictions: Highlights from The Envelope's Buzzmeter
January 30, 2009 | 9:10
am
Lots of pundits are piping up with Oscars predix at our Buzzmeter. Here are some select views from these gurus: Mark Harris (Entertainment Weekly), Lou Lumenick (New York Post), Bob Tourtellotte (Reuters), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and me.
| BEST PICTURE | Harris | Lumenick | O'Neil | Tourtellotte | Travers |
| 'Benjamin Button' |
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| 'Dark Knight' |
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| 'Frost/Nixon' |
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| 'Milk' |
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'The Reader' |
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| 'Slumdog Millionaire' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
| BEST ACTOR | Harris | Lumenick | O'Neil | Tourtellotte | Travers |
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Richard Jenkins, 'The Visitor' |
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| Frank Langella, 'Frost/Nixon' |
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| Sean Penn, 'Milk' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
| Brad Pitt, 'Benjamin Button' |
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| Mickey Rourke, 'The Wrestler' |
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| BEST ACTRESS | Harris | Lumenick | O'Neil | Tourtellotte | Travers |
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Anne Hathaway, 'Rachel Getting Married' |
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Angelina Jolie, 'Changeling' |
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| Melissa Leo, 'Frozen River" |
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| Meryl Streep, 'Doubt' |
X |
X |
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X |
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| Kate Winslet, 'The Reader' |
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X |
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X |
| BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | Harris | Lumenick | O'Neil | Tourtellotte | Travers |
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Josh Brolin, 'Milk' |
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Robert Downey Jr. 'Tropic Thunder' |
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Philip Seymour Hoffman, 'Doubt' |
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| Heath Ledger, 'The Dark Knight' |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
| Michael Shannon, 'Revolutionary Road' |
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| BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS | Harris | Lumenick | O'Neil | Tourtellotte | Travers |
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Amy Adams, 'Doubt' |
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Penelope Cruz, 'Vicky Cristina Barcelona' |
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X |
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| Viola Davis, 'Doubt' |
X |
X |
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X |
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Taraji P. Henson, 'Benjamin Button' |
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| Marisa Tomei, 'The Wrestler' |
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X |
I saw "The Reader" and thought Kate was terrific but I've been in love with her since "Titanic" so I guess I'm biased. I thought Meryl chewed the scenery in "Doubt". I think both are due but Kate has never won so I think this is her year.
Posted by: Rick | February 03, 2009 at 02:37 PM
Meryl should win! Really. When she gave the 2nd Oscar, I wasn't born. I wish I can see the moment she gives the 3rd one...and why not in this year? She totally deserve it!
Posted by: Jen | February 03, 2009 at 02:00 AM
I have no idea why people aren't talking more about Anne Hathaway. I think there's a strong possibility that most voters will be torn between Meryl and Kate and the vote will split allowing Hathaway to get more votes than either of them.
Don't forget...
2002 - Jack Nicholson vs. Daniel Day-Lewis... "and the Oscar goes to Adrien Brody for The Pianist"
Posted by: Harvey Lemmings | February 02, 2009 at 01:44 AM
I believe that Meryl Streep gave the best performance this year, Kate's was great, but lacked a certain something, she just went for the sympathy vote, which annoyed me a little. Streep kept me captivated, and I understood where her character was acting from!
Posted by: AliceInWonderland2 | February 01, 2009 at 06:15 PM
MERYL.
CRUZ.
PENN.
LEDGER.
Posted by: arash | February 01, 2009 at 02:28 PM
I would die if Kate wont win. She is so much better than meryl in the reader compared to doubt. And she is also even better than RR than Doubt...2 amazing performances...and they will just snub her? AGAIN? No way!!! We will boycott OSCARS if they will not finally reward her this year. KATE DESERVES THIS!
Posted by: mike | February 01, 2009 at 01:49 PM
That would be so cool if Jenkins and Leo win, it would be a stamp on their overlooked supporting performances and those two terrific lead performances in "The Visitor" and "Frozen River".
Meryl is great but i don't care that she's the biggest loser when it comes to oscars. She's still getting work and she pulls it off wonderfully. But such actors like Jenkins or Leo should get more lead roles(and recognition because they are experienced enough to be humble and stay humble when it comes to acting) and maybe oscars will help them.
Posted by: hanamarris | February 01, 2009 at 01:37 PM
Anne Hathaway deserves Best Actress! She gave the best performance in this catagory.
Posted by: sally p. | February 01, 2009 at 12:47 PM
i think streep should win this yr, among the 5, she is the best, not for the whole career, but the doubt itself, bet she will get her third award
Posted by: bingo | February 01, 2009 at 09:57 AM
Kate Winslet should win Best Actress...the performance was outstanding compared to that of Streep and if anyone is 2nd, it should be Anne Hathaway. It is curious that Benjamin Button was nominated for anything...I found the film to be among the worst and most overrated in the last 10 years. Leonardo Dicaprio or Clint Eastwood should have been nominated in place of Brad Pitt and the film should have been left off entirely. Vicky Christina Barcelona, Gran Torino, Rachel Getting Married, Revolutionary Road and the four other Best Picture nominees were much better.
Posted by: Jon | February 01, 2009 at 07:43 AM
This year I;m not predicting who's gonna win. I'm predicting who's gonna be a surprise winner, just like last year, my jaw drop twice and stunned when marion cotillard and tilda swinton pulled off best actress over the veterans....
for surprise:
best pic: benjamin button
best dir: david fincher
actor: langella
actress: winslet (though she might or might not)
supp. actress: adams
supp. actor: (save this one, ledger is locked i'm sure)
Posted by: deejay | February 01, 2009 at 02:34 AM
WINSLET IS THE BEST OF THEM ALL HANDS DOWN!! KATE ROCKS!!
Posted by: DCDS | January 31, 2009 at 09:40 PM
Steep by far had the most believable performance. I truly saw her as a nun and was so in awe of how she made that character come alive on screen..when you're this good you should get an award! Not that she needs one but lets face it it's way over due.To have a block buster movie like "Mamma Mia" and a performance like the one in "Doubt" at her age.. the way women are cast aside in Hollywood it's a true testament to her brilliant talent!
Posted by: martin | January 31, 2009 at 07:02 PM
meryl streep is amazing in Doubt.......I hope to see her win gold once again!!
Posted by: cosmo | January 31, 2009 at 05:11 PM
eh, please tell me why it has to be winslet?
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Mighty Aphrodite (1995) - Mira Sorvino
Apollo 13 (1995) - Kathleen Quinlan
Georgia (1995) - Mare Winningham
Nixon (1995) - Joan Allen (I)
Sense and Sensibility (1995) - Kate Winslet
Best Actress in a Leading Role
As Good as It Gets (1997) - Helen Hunt (I)
Afterglow (1997) - Julie Christie (I)
Mrs Brown (1997) - Judi Dench
Titanic (1997) - Kate Winslet
Wings of the Dove, The (1997) - Helena Bonham Carter
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Beautiful Mind, A (2001) - Jennifer Connelly
Gosford Park (2001) - Helen Mirren
Gosford Park (2001) - Maggie Smith (I)
In the Bedroom (2001) - Marisa Tomei
Iris (2001/I) - Kate Winslet
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Million Dollar Baby (2004) - Hilary Swank
Being Julia (2004) - Annette Bening
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind (2004) - Kate Winslet
Maria Full of Grace (2004) - Catalina Sandino Moreno
Vera Drake (2004) - Imelda Staunton
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Queen, The (2006) - Helen Mirren
Devil Wears Prada, The (2006) - Meryl Streep
Little Children (2006) - Kate Winslet
Notes on a Scandal (2006) - Judi Dench
Volver (2006/I) - Pen�lope Cruz
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Changeling (2008) - Angelina Jolie
Doubt (2008/I) - Meryl Streep
Frozen River (2008) - Melissa Leo
Rachel Getting Married (2008) - Anne Hathaway (I)
Reader, The (2008) - Kate Winslet
clearly she isn’t the best among the nominees every single time.
come on, you really think the ridiculous reader is worth any prize?????
Posted by: han | January 31, 2009 at 02:54 PM
Go MERYL!!!!!
Go Viola!!!
Go Milk!!!!
Go Sean!!
Posted by: Mike V | January 31, 2009 at 01:52 PM
I like these predictions, though it will be interesting to see the Best Actress announced . I didn't think Meryl was that strong in "Doubt" however, I thought Kate was supporting in "The Reader " . Though Kate is long overdue as well as Streep ( even though she has two statuettes)
Posted by: Drew Williams | January 31, 2009 at 12:30 PM
MERYL STREEP!!! The Reader being nominated for best picture is a big joke
Posted by: MI | January 31, 2009 at 02:05 AM
Winslet is not overdued, and just because it's her best work doesn't mean she deserves to win.
Posted by: timj | January 30, 2009 at 10:36 PM
MERYL STREEP FOR THE WIN!!! This woman gave the most astounding performance among the five. Those who believe otherwise simply don't understand the connection between her character and her milieu. For someone who was battling good vs. evil, tradition vs. modernism, feminism vs. patriarchy ---she played the same to perfection, as large as the war she was waging. Meryl Streep was mesmerizing, and proves that indeed, she is the best all around, bar none!
Posted by: alluhrey | January 30, 2009 at 10:06 PM
streep is the best
Posted by: mhvmhv | January 30, 2009 at 08:17 PM
I cannot believe Benjamin Button has not been given any award yet in any category. It was a great film.
Posted by: Darlene | January 30, 2009 at 06:46 PM
Why is The Dark Knight included in Best Picture? Were these predictions made before the nominations were announced?
Posted by: William | January 30, 2009 at 02:56 PM
I hope Streep wins. She rekindled many memories with her Sister A. portrayal to those that lived that school life in that era. She is tops this year in performance.
Posted by: netshopper | January 30, 2009 at 12:55 PM
While Kate Winslet's performance was good, AMPAS did her no favors putting her in Lead Actress category. If she was in Supporting, correct, it's hers. Lead Actress? Meryl Streep.
Posted by: suz | January 30, 2009 at 11:46 AM