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'The Envelope' team tops at predicting SAG Awards winners

January 29, 2009 |  1:04 pm

Our panel of 18 pro pundits did far better at predicting the winners of the SAG Awards than we did with the Golden Globe Awards. While we scored only 53% when foreseeing the Globe movie results, a collective 64% (69/108) of our predictions coincided with the SAG winners. And we bettered our Globe TV score by 1%, with 75% (88/117) of our SAG picks winning.

Sag_awards_predix_results1

The overall champs were Scott Feinberg (Feinberg Files, The Envelope) and me with 13 out of 15 correct. Scott edged me out on the movie side by correctly picking "Slumdog Millionaire" for the ensemble prize (as did five others), and being the only pundit to score a perfect 6/6. On the TV front, I foresaw Sally Field winning lead actress in a drama series for "Brothers & Sisters" to score 8/9. However, only Kevin Lewin (World Entertainment News Network) pulled off a perfect 9/9 on the TV front, as he was the only pundit to predict Hugh Laurie winning lead actor in a drama series for "House."

A quartet of us got five of our six movie picks right: Greg Ellwood (HitFix.com), Pete Hammond (Notes on a Season, The Envelope), Dave Karger (Entertainment Weekly) and me. Another five of us got four correct: Brad Brevet (RopeOfSilicon.com), Marshall Fine (Star magazine, HollywoodAndFine.com), Peter Howell (Toronto Star), Michael Musto (Village Voice) and T.L. Stanley (Gold Rush, Hollywood Reporter).

Everyone else — Edward Douglas (Comingsoon.net), Elena Howe (The Envelope), Kevin Lewin (World Entertainment News Network, Kris Tapley (InContention.com), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Bob Tourtellotte (Reuters) and Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today) — scored three out of six, with the exception of Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere.com) who got two right.

Brad Brevet, Elena Howe, Michael Musto, Kris Tapley and Jeffrey Wells did not offer TV picks. I followed right behind Kevin Lewin with eight correct while Edward Douglas, Scott Feinberg, Pete Hammond, Dave Karger, Peter Travers and Susan Wloszczyna all scored seven apiece. Those with six right were Greg Ellwood, Marshall Fine, Peter Howell and T.L. Stanley while Bob Tourtellotte got five correct.

The overall scores of the 13 pundits who dared to predict all 15 categories at the SAG Awards were can be seen in the chart at right.

All of us, with the exception of Kris Tapley, also offered a prediction of the top winner at last Saturday's PGA Awards. A dozen of us -- Brevet, Douglas, Fine, Howell, Karger, Lewin, Musto, O'Neil, Tourtellotte, Travers, Wells, Wloszczyna -- went with the winner "Slumdog Millionaire" while the rest backed "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button."

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