'DoubleD' predicts who'll win the Grammys
Some of the Grammy Awards predictions of our forums' moderator Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch have been included in earlier blog posts that pitted his views against David "Guru" Shnelwar's while they forecasted the victors of the Grammy record, song, album and new artist of the year categories. Now let's look at each pundit's Grammy predictions on a solo basis. Here are DoubleD's noodlings on the top races.
ALBUM OF THE YEAR
Favorite – "Raising Sand," Robert Plant & Alison Krauss
Possible – "Viva la Vida or Death and All His Friends," Coldplay
Robert Plant never won a Grammy while with Led Zeppelin, and he has only two Grammys to date. Krauss is a Grammy favorite (and a past winner here for the "O Brother" soundtrack) and "Raising Sand" got fantastic reviews, so I think Plant/Krauss will easily prevail here. If they lose, it’ll be to Coldplay, which will surely win multiple Grammys this year. Watch out for Lil Wayne’s "Tha Carter III," though. It’s one of the best-reviewed (and best-selling) albums of 2008, but Grammy voters still have a bias against urban music in the General Field.
RECORD OF THE YEAR
Favorite – "Viva la Vida," Coldplay
Possible – "Please Read the Letter," Robert Plant & Alison Krauss
The Coldplay track and Adele’s "Chasing Pavements" are the only songs nominated for Record and Song of the Year. "Viva la Vida" was actually a huge No. 1 hit and a win here will serve as a consolation prize for losing the top award. However, if the love for Robert Plant runs deep, he and Krauss will win here too.
SONG OF THE YEAR
Favorite – "Viva la Vida" (Coldplay)
Possible – "Chasing Pavements" (Adele)
Record and Song usually go together, so it’s foolish to bet against Coldplay here.
BEST NEW ARTIST
Favorite - Adele
Possible – Jonas Brothers
Adele’s exposure from "SNL" garnered her four unexpected Grammy nominations; I think her nods for Record, Song and Pop Female make her a favorite here. Watch out for the Jonas Brothers, though. They are easily the most recognizable name in this category, and they’ve been campaigning hard to win this Grammy.
BEST MALE POP VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – John Mayer, "Say"
Possible – Jason Mraz, "I’m Yours"
Never bet against John Mayer here. He has won this category three times this decade. Mraz’s track is nominated for Song of the Year and is currently in the Top 10, so he could spoil.
BEST FEMALE POP VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Leona Lewis, "Bleeding Love"
Possible – Adele, "Chasing Pavements"
Despite her shocking snub in the Best New Artist category, Lewis’ ubiquitous No. 1 hit will prevail here. Lewis did earn Record of the Year and Pop Album nods, so the support is definitely there. Adele is her biggest competition, but "Chasing Pavements" wasn’t a big enough hit to win here.
BEST POP DUO OR GROUP WITH VOCALS
Favorite – Coldplay, "Viva la Vida"
Possible – Eagles, "Waiting in the Weeds" or Maroon 5, "Won’t Go Home Without You"
Coldplay will easily sweep their genre field nominations. Eagles and Maroon 5 are past winners here, but their tracks weren’t hits.
BEST POP COLLABORATION WITH VOCALS
Favorite – Robert Plant & Alison Krauss, "Rich Woman"
Possible – Alicia Keys f/John Mayer, "Lesson Learned"
As with Coldplay, I fully expect Plant & Krauss to sweep their genre field nominations. If they don’t prevail here, Grammy faves Keys and Mayer will surely win.
BEST POP ALBUM
Favorite – "Long Road Out of Eden," Eagles
Possible – "Detours," Sheryl Crow
Despite their surprising exclusion from the Album of the Year race, the Eagles should have little trouble winning here for their multi-platinum comeback album. Not even Crow, a former Grammy favorite, can stop them.
BEST TRADITIONAL POP ALBUM
Favorite – "Noel," Josh Groban
Possible – "Still Unforgettable," Natalie Cole
Good reviews and astounding sales should put Groban’s Christmas album on top. Beware of Cole, though. She’s a respected Grammy vet.
BEST DANCE RECORDING
Favorite – Lada Gaga, "Just Dance"
Possible – Rihanna, "Disturbia"
"Just Dance" has been the No. 1 song in the country for the last few weeks -- right during the peak of Grammy voting. That’s usually a big help. Rihanna had another big year, so she could win too.
BEST ELECTRONIC/DANCE ALBUM
Favorite – "Bring Ya to the Brink," Cyndi Lauper
Possible – "Alive 2007," Daft Punk
I think Lauper will win here on name recognition alone.
BEST SOLO ROCK VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Bruce Springsteen, "Girls in Their Summer Clothes"
Possible – John Mayer, "Gravity"
I’ve lost count on how many times Springsteen has won here. Don’t bet against him.
BEST ROCK PERFORMANCE BY A DUO OR GROUP
Favorite – Coldplay, "Violet Hill"
Possible – Eagles, "Long Road Out of Eden"
Coldplay wins again.
BEST HARD ROCK PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Rob Zombie, "Lords of Salem"
Possible – Motley Crue, "Saints of Los Angeles"
Rob Zombie’s recent success in films will give him the edge here.
BEST METAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Metallica, "My Apocalypse"
Possible – Slipknot, "Psychosocial"
Metallica should easily win here as a consolation for losing Rock Album.
BEST ROCK SONG
Favorite – "Girls in Their Summer Clothes" (Bruce Springsteen)
Possible – "Violet Hill" (Coldplay)
Springsteen is a favorite here, and I bet this will be the sole genre category that Coldplay loses.
BEST ROCK ALBUM
Favorite – "Viva la Vida or Death and All His Friends," Coldplay
Possible – "Death Magnetic," Metallica
It’ll be another win for Coldplay.
BEST ALTERNATIVE MUSIC ALBUM
Favorite – "In Rainbows," Radiohead
Possible – "Modern Guilt," Beck
This will be Radiohead’s consolation prize for losing Album of the Year.
BEST FEMALE R&B VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Jennifer Hudson, "Spotlight"
Possible – Alicia Keys, "Superwoman," or Beyonce, "Me, Myself and I"
This is a tricky category. I think sympathy votes for her family tragedy will help put Hudson over the top. However, big names almost always win this category, so don’t be surprised if Keys or Beyonce wins here.
BEST MALE R&B VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Ne-Yo, "Miss Independent"
Possible – Usher, "Here I Stand"
Ne-Yo has the only crossover hit here, and he’s a multiple nominee; he’ll win.
BEST R&B PERFORMANCE BY A DUO OR GROUP WITH VOCALS
Favorite – Al Green f/John Legend, "Stay With Me (By the Sea)"
Possible – Jennifer Hudson f/Fantasia, "I’m His Only Woman" or "Never Give You Up"
Green’s critically acclaimed album will sweep every category it’s nominated in.
BEST TRADITIONAL R&B VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Al Green f/Anthony Hamilton, "You’ve Got the Love I Need"
Possible – Raphael Saadiq, "Love That Girl"
This’ll be another win for Green.
BEST URBAN ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Chrisette Michele f/will.i.am, "Be Ok"
Possible – Janelle Monae, "Many Moons"
Name recognition will put Chrisette Michele and will.i.am over the top here.
BEST R&B SONG
Favorite – "Miss Independent" (Ne-Yo)
Possible – "Heaven Sent" (Keyshia Cole)
Ne-Yo has the only crossover hit here; he’ll win.
BEST R&B ALBUM
Favorite – "Lay It Down," Al Green
Possible – "Jennifer Hudson," Jennifer Hudson
Mr. Green has this one all locked up since Alicia Keys was inexplicably snubbed here.
BEST CONTEMPORARY R&B ALBUM
Favorite – "Year of the Gentleman," Ne-Yo
Possible – "Growing Pains," Mary J. Blige
Ne-Yo is up for Album of the Year. 'Nuff said.
BEST RAP SOLO PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Lil Wayne, "A Milli"
Possible – Jay-Z, "Roc Boys (And the Winner Is)"
Lil Wayne will sweep the rap field.
BEST RAP PERFORMANCE BY A DUO OR GROUP
Favorite – T.I. f/Kanye West, Jay-Z & Lil Wayne, "Swagga Like Us"
Possible – Lil Wayne f/Jay-Z, "Mr. Carter"
I assure you a Lil Wayne song will win here.
BEST RAP/SUNG COLLABORATION
Favorite – Estelle f/Kanye West, "American Boy"
Possible – Lupe Fiasco f/Matthew Santos, "Superstar"
"American Boy" is up for Song of the Year, so it’ll have little trouble winning here.
BEST RAP SONG
Favorite – "Lollipop" (Lil Wayne f/Static Major)
Possible – "Swagga Like Us" (T.I. f/Kanye West, Jay-Z & Lil Wayne)
Lil Wayne will win here too.
BEST FEMALE COUNTRY VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – Carrie Underwood, "Last Name"
Possible – Trisha Yearwood, "This Is Me You’re Talking To"
I’m betting on Underwood three-peating here, but watch out for Yearwood. She got a Country Album nod and Underwood didn’t.
BEST MALE COUNTRY VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Favorite – George Strait, "Troubadour"
Possible – Brad Paisley, "Letter To Me"
Country vet Strait shouldn’t have a problem winning in this underwhelming field.
BEST COUNTRY PERFORMANCE BY A DUO OR GROUP WITH VOCALS
Favorite – Sugarland, "Stay"
Possible – Lady Antebellum, "Love Don’t Live Here"
"Stay" is up for Best Country Song. It will win here.
BEST COUNTRY COLLABORATION WITH VOCALS
Favorite – Robert Plant & Alison Krauss, "Killing the Blues"
Possible – George Strait & Patty Loveless, "House of Cards"
This’ll be another win for Plant & Krauss.
BEST COUNTRY SONG
Favorite – "Stay" (Sugarland)
Possible – "I Saw God Today" (George Strait)
Sugarland’s breakout song was the most ubiquitous country song of the eligibility period. Despite its General Field snub, "Stay" will win here.
BEST COUNTRY ALBUM
Favorite – "Troubadour," George Strait
Possible – "Heaven, Heartache and the Power of Love," Trisha Yearwood
Since Sugarland was shockingly snubbed, country vet Strait will take this in a cakewalk.
BEST SHORT FORM VIDEO
Favorite – Radiohead, "House of Cards"
Possible – Erykah Badu, "Honey"
Once again Radiohead will win a genre category to compensate for their Album of the Year loss.
Photos: J Records, Xl Recordings