Gold Derby

The inside track on Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and all the award shows.

« Previous Post | Gold Derby Home | Next Post »

Oscars predictions: Sean Penn and Mickey Rourke in a real heavyweight bout

February 15, 2009 |  9:39 pm

Oscar_predictions_academy_awards_ne

Check out The Envelope's Buzzmeter, where our shrewd Oscar seers are posting updated predix. Below is a random sampling with a few surprises. While Sean Penn ("Milk") leads among all of our pundits, Mickey Rourke ("The Wrestler") gets the backing of most of these leading Oscarologists for best actor.

Prognosticators featured in our chart below: Thelma Adams (Us Weekly), Pete Hammond (Notes on a Season, The Envelope), Mark Olsen (The Envelope), Sasha Stone (AwardsDaily.com), Kris Tapley (InContention.com), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere.com).

BEST PICTURE Adams Hammond Olsen Stone Tapley Wells
'Benjamin Button'

3

2

3

2

3

4

'Frost/Nixon'

5

5

4

4

5

5

'Milk'

2

5

2

3

2

2

'The Reader'

4

3

5

5

4

3

'Slumdog Millionaire'

1

1

1

1

1

1

BEST ACTOR Adams Hammond Olsen Stone Tapley Wells

Richard Jenkins, 'The Visitor'

4

4

5

5

4

3

Frank Langella, 'Frost/Nixon'

3

3

3

3

3

4

Sean Penn, 'Milk'

1

1

2

2

2

2

Brad Pitt, 'Benjamin Button'

5

5

4

4

5

Mickey Rourke, 'The Wrestler'

2

2

1

1

1

1

BEST ACTRESS Adams Hammond Olsen Stone Tapley Wells

Anne Hathaway, 'Rachel Getting Married'

4

5

3

3

3

3

Angelina Jolie, 'Changeling'

5

3

5

5

5

5

Melissa Leo, 'Frozen River"

3

4

4

4

4

4

Meryl Streep, 'Doubt'

2

2

2

2

2

1

Kate Winslet, 'The Reader'

1

1

1

1

1

2

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Adams Hammond Olsen Stone Tapley Wells

Josh Brolin, 'Milk'

4

3

2

3

4

2

Robert Downey Jr. 'Tropic Thunder'

3

2

5

2

2

5

Philip Seymour Hoffman, 'Doubt'

2

4

3

4

5

3

Heath Ledger, 'The Dark Knight'

1

1

1

1

1

1

Michael Shannon, 'Revolutionary Road'

5

5

4

5

3

4

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Adams Hammond Olsen Stone Tapley Wells

Amy Adams, 'Doubt'

5

4

5

5

5

Penelope Cruz, 'Vicky Cristina Barcelona'

1

1

1

1

1

1

Viola Davis, 'Doubt'

2

2

2

4

2

2

Taraji P. Henson, 'Benjamin Button'

4

5

4

3

3

4

Marisa Tomei, 'The Wrestler'

3

3

3

2

4

3

Photos: Focus Features, Fox Searchlight


Advertisement