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My 100% perfect, peerless Emmy Award predictions

September 18, 2009 | 11:29 pm

I give you permission to tune in to the Emmy Awards telecast this Sunday to see the parade of stars on the red carpet, to watch the scripted entertainment segments and to catch any Kanye West-type improvisations at a kudocast, but don't bother sitting through the whole three-hour show just to see who wins. Below is my fool-proof list of predictions from a seasoned Emmy pundit who's proved to be a fool often in the past. Compare these noodlings to the forecasts made by other Emmy prophets.

Emmy awards predictions news 2

By the way, if I'm correct in some top categories, this will be the first time in Emmy history that the winners in all major series races from one year (best comedy and drama series plus lead actor and actress) returned together. That could turn out to be tragic. Read more here.

The closest the Emmys came to repeating in the past occurred in 1968 when all of the victorious lead series actors returned from 1967: Bill Cosby ("I Spy"), Barbara Bain ("Mission: Impossible"), Don Adams ("Get Smart"), and Lucille Ball ("The Lucy Show"). "Mission: Impossible" won best drama series both years, but there were different winners of best comedy. "The Monkees" won in 1967, "Get Smart" in 1968.

Below is my quick, easy list of predictions. Read my in-depth analysis of top races here.

DRAMA SERIES –  "Mad Men"
COMEDY SERIES –  30 Rock"
TV MOVIE – "Grey Gardens"
MINI-SERIES – "Generation Kill" (very close contest with "Little Dorrit")
REALITY-COMPETITION PROGRAM – "Amazing Race"
VARIETY SERIES – "Saturday Night Live" (yes, I'm daring to vote against "The Daily Show," which has won this category for the past six years)
REALITY HOST – Jeff Probst, "Survivor"
DRAMA ACTOR – Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad" (Gabriel Byrne of "In Treatment" is in close second place)
DRAMA ACTRESS – Glenn Close, "Damages"
SUPPORTING DRAMA ACTOR – Aaron Paul, "Breaking Bad" (Michael Emerson of "Lost" may usurp)
SUPPORTING DRAMA ACTRESS – Rose Byrne, "Damages" (last year's champ, and double Oscar victor, Dianne Wiest of "In Treatment" can prevail here again)
COMEDY ACTOR – Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock" (Steve Carell of "The Office" and Jim Parsons of "The Big Bang Theory" have an outside shot)
COMEDY ACTRESS – Tina Fey, "30 Rock" (Toni Collette could easily win for portraying four personalities in "United States of Tars" -- voters are suckers for actors playing multiple roles)
SUPPORTING COMEDY ACTOR – Neil Patrick Harris, "How I Met Your Mother"
SUPPORTING COMEDY ACTRESS – Kristin Chenoweth, "Pushing Daisies"


TV MOVIE/MINI ACTOR – Ian McKellan, "King Lear"
TV MOVIE/MINI ACTRESS – Sigourney Weaver, "Prayers for Bobby" (if one of the "Grey Gardens" gals pulls through, it'll be Jessica Lange, not Drew Barrymore)
TV MOVIE/MINI SUPPORTING ACTOR – Tom Courtenay, "Little Dorrit"
TV MOVIE/MINI SUPPORTING ACTRESS – Marcia Gay Harden, "The Courageous Heart of Irena Sendler"

RELATED POSTS

Gutsy Emmy Award predictions from TV's smartest experts

Uh, oh! Beware: Last year's top Emmys winners may repeat

Podcast: We dig up Emmy's dirty little secrets

Photo: Academy of Television Arts & Sciences

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Comments

As always Tom,  great predictions,   I have a feeling though that Shoreh Aghdashloo is going to upset in the supporting actress catagory for Mini/Tv Movie.  Glad to see you picked Weaver,  most sites are predicting one of the gals from Grey Gardens. And though I predicted Chenowith also, I really hope Elizabeth Perkins upsets. She is the best thing on Weeds and still continually makes me laugh on a weekly basis!

30 Rock may repeat but Mad Men won't

I hope that there are a few surprises or this year's emmys will be a total snoozefest. I'm pulling for Toni Collette, Steve Carrell, The Office and Vanessa Williams who should of won the year Jamie Pressley did.

I think Kyra Sedgwick is going to win this year for Drama Series-Actress. I think it's her year. I also hope Vanessa Williams pulls off a LOOOONG overdue Emmy for playing the nasty Wilhelmina Slater on "Ugly Betty." I also think Shohreh Aghdashloo is going to win Best Supporting Actress in a Mini-Series. I'd like to see Hugh Laurie FINALLY win an Emmy. He was incredible this season. And as great as Elisabeth Moss is on "Mad Men," I really think the nomination should have gone to the very impressive January Jones as Betsy Draper and a supporting nod for Christina Hendricks' outstanding work as Joan on the same show. My two cents.

I think it'll be very similar to last year's show. "Mad Men" and "30 Rock" were strong as ever, so I can't imagine they'll fall from the top. For my predictions, check out my blog: http://bit.ly/6ek6F

Hey,
sorry for writing just to ask here, but since I'm not from the US, is there any possibility for me to watch the Emmys live online? There's still no information on justin.tv. This is the first year no broadcaster here is presenting the show live, so I'd like to find a place to watch them. Thanks!

I wish Aaron Paul would win this year but I am more inclined to go with Michael Emerson from "Lost". Would not be surprised to see Paul go off with that statuette though.

Sorry Tom but have to go for Hugh Laurie for Best Actor in a Drama and House for Best Drama. Also I think Tony Shaloub should get best Actor in a Comedy for Monk but then I am also leaning toward Charlie Sheen. UGG decisions, decisions. Oh well, it is still fun to watch

Hot tip - 'Little Dorrit' for Mini-Series.

Gutsy supporting actress picks, Tom! I personally don't think any of them are going to win, but all 3 are all extremely talented ladies and would be deserving winners!

When you say Aaron Paul takes best supporting Drama actor, for Damages, do you mean Breaking Bad?

Tom i honestly have to agree with you here and you may win a prize for your predictions. The the voting team did a bad job of nominations this year so they can't get mad at the outcome. They really need to change the system.There will be backlash i am sure.


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