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Gutsy Envelope gurus predict Oscar's best picture nominees

October 27, 2009 |  7:46 am

Avatar lovely bones

I asked members of The Envelope's editorial team to predict the Oscar nominees for best picture and here's who rose to the challenge — our bloggers Pete Hammond (Notes on a Season) and Paul Gaita (The Circuit) and editor of our print edition Elena Howe.

I let Pete get away with a bit of waffling. One of his predictions is "a Meryl Streep comedy directed by a woman — 'It's Complicated' or 'Julie & Julia.' " He adds these comments, "Yes, 'Avatar,' 'Serious Man' booster, kill me now. 'Last Station' and 'An Education' remain possibilities too, but are more likely in acting and screenplay, although certainly in the mix for best picture. Keep in mind this is still a very fluid situation, still very much up in the air and the average academy member has yet to see precious few, in some cases as many as nine of these top ten contenders, so it's complicated."

There's no front-runner to win yet. At this point, "Precious" has the most passionate support, but it may be too gritty, grim and indie to take the top prize. Since there are only 10 spots for nominees, I regret having to leave off "Up," "An Education" and "The Last Station," but I think they're also strong rivals.

Check out these additional predictions from our other Oscar experts.

BEST PICTURE Gaita Hammond Howe O'Neil
"Avatar"

X

 

 

X

"Bright Star"    

X

 
"An Education"

X

 

X

 
"Hurt Locker"

X

X

X

X

"Inglourious Basterds"  

X

 

X

"Invictus"

X

X

X

X

"Lovely Bones"

X

X

X

X

"It's Complicated" or "Julie & Julia"  

X

   
"Nine"  

X

X

X

"Precious"

X

X

X

X

"The Road"

X

 

X

X

"A Serious Man"      

X

"Up"

X

X

X

 
"Up in the Air"

X

X

X

X

"Young Victoria"  

X

   
"Where the Wild Things Are"

X

     

Photos: 20th Century Fox, Paramount, Lionsgate

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