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Gold Derby nuggets: Pundits predict top races at Globes and Oscars | Pete Hammond: 'Brothers' has Oscars pedigree | 'Mad Men' recap and forecast

November 10, 2009 |  8:27 am

Nine Day Lewis CotillardSasha Stone offers up her first round of predictions for the always unpredictable Golden Globes: "We know that 'Nine' is assured to enter the race very strongly at that point, if it hadn’t already. This is not to be premature and assume it is in no matter what, but let’s just say it is in. The Globes is really where it will shine first. I think." And, she says, "the Globes is where 'The Hangover' might make an appearance." Before revealing her predix, Sasha cautions, "keep in mind we are all probably going to have some egg on our face when all is said and done, as we are predicting films no one has seen. This cannot be emphasized enough. It does make a difference." Sasha has six flicks in the drama race -- "Invictus," "Up in the Air," "A Serious Man," "The Hurt Locker," "Precious" and "An Education." And on the comedy/musical side she has "500 Days of Summer," "Julie and Julia" and "It's Complicated" in addition to "Nine" and "The Hangover." Awards Daily

Steve Pond wonders, "With four months to go until the 82nd Academy Awards, can we really say with confidence that the Best Picture winner will be 'Up in the Air' or 'Precious' or 'The Hurt Locker,' the acting winners Jeff Bridges, Carey Mulligan, Christoph Waltz and Mo’Nique?" Of the four big contenders yet to be seen, Steve says, "I suspect that 'The Lovely Bones' will work and 'Invictus' will disappoint … though maybe it won’t disappoint enough to knock Clint out of the race. Lots of people thought Eastwood’s trailer was impressive enough to seal the deal; I thought it was awfully by-the-numbers, and got its emotional kick mostly from the song it uses from the South African a capella band Overtone." And Steve admits, "As for the other two, I don’t trust 'Avatar,' and I think the Academy will shy away from its 'Dances With Wolves'-meets-'Pocahontas'-in-space vibe, and its CG-heavy look … but I can’t bring myself to write off James Cameron. So, tentatively, he goes on the list. Then there’s 'Nine.' If it works, it could vault to the top of the list. Marshall turned the trick with 'Chicago,' after all. But I never, ever trust musicals in this category, and I’m not trusting this one until I see it." The Odds

Steven Zeitchik takes an in-depth look at the animated feature Oscars race: "Every major studio besides Warner Bros. has a contender this year, including a few smaller companies not often seen in the race, like IFC, in the mix with 'Mary & Max.' " As Steven explains, "That means we’ll have more than just the usual competition between Pixar-DreamWorks/Lasseter-Katzenberg (juicy as that is). Sony is a real contender with 'Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs,' and Focus is a contender twice over, for Henry Selick’s 'Coraline' and for Shane Acker’s '9.' The race also will also pit classic Disney (the hand-drawn 'The Princess and the Frog') against the new, CG-ized Disney (Pixar’s 'Up')." For Steven, "the prize is, more than ever before in its nine-year history, a referendum on format, at a time when the animation world is seeing technology and opinions proliferate (and create fissures)." Hollywood Reporter

• The Cinema Audio Society will fete filmmaker Henry Selick ("Coraline") at the 46th edition of their kudos on Feb. 27 in Los Angeles. Said CAS President Edward L. Moskowitz, "The Cinema Audio Society is delighted to be honoring one of the vanguards of stop-motion animation as this year’s Filmmaker Recipient and, once again we are thrilled we have synergy between our Career Achievement Recipient Randy Thom and our Filmmaker Honoree through their collaboration on 'Coraline.'" Cinema Audio Society

Brothers PosterPete Hammond analyzes the awards hopes of "Brothers" -- "an American remake of Susanne Bier's acclaimed 2004 Danish film 'Brodre.'" For Pete, "This powerful and timely story of a decorated Marine, presumed dead in Afghanistan, who comes home to great conflict within his family and within his own head, is a poignant and explosive look at the toll that combat exacts from veterans' lives." Pete recaps the awards pedigree of the on-screen talent -- "Tobey Maguire, Oscar nominee and Golden Globe winner Natalie Portman, BAFTA winner and Oscar nominee Jake Gyllenhaal, Oscar nominee Sam Shepard, Oscar nominee Mare Winningham and current awards season 'it' girl for 'An Education,' Carey Mulligan" -- as well as that of director Jim Sheridan -- "his films have earned 16 nominations, including nods for 'In America,' 'In the Name of the Father' and 'My Left Foot.' " As Pete recounts, "Sheridan received a tremendous ovation Sunday afternoon when he was introduced for a Q&A after a very well-received Directors Guild of America screening" and he concludes, "I wouldn't underestimate the Academy's respect for Sheridan, and if Lionsgate can gain any traction for this tough little movie, it could surprise." Notes on a Season

• Before he was a director, "Precious" helmer Lee Daniels produced pictures, including "Monster's Ball" which won Halle Berry the best actress Oscar in 2001. His second film as a producer -- "The Woodsman" in 2004 -- starred Kevin Bacon as a pedophile returning home after 12 years in prison. As Daniels recalls, "they kept talking about it being Oscar-worthy. When it didn’t happen, I was in a fetal position with my down comforter over me for a very long time." Banishing such thoughts of awards this time around, he admits, "I was completely thrown off guard. I was like … Oscar who? Oscar de la Renta?" New York Daily News

• TV Golden Globe winner James Franco ("James Dean") -- who picked up a movie Globe nod last year for "Pineapple Express" as well as an Indie Spirit nom for "Milk" -- recounts to Joshua Stein the challenges of acting on TV soap "General Hospital." Says Franco, "They gave me a script for the day that was as thick as a film script and that's what we planned to shoot in a single day. No ad-libbing. If I needed it, they said they had a TelePrompTer, but the regulars didn't use it so I didn't want to use it, either." And he gives a sneak peek at his upcoming appearance on "30 Rock" saying, "I play myself but a very strange version. I don't think it has anything to do with who I actually am." While there is no guest acting category at the daytime Emmys, "30 Rock" guest stars have earned 13 prime-time Emmy nods with wins for Elaine Stritch (2007) and Tim Conway (2008). New York

Matthew Weiner Emmys Mad MenJace Lacob talks to "Mad Men" creator Matthew Weiner about the just-wrapped third season of the two-time Emmy champ. "My intention from the beginning of the season was to accentuate the corporate nonsense that is unrelated to work: the acquisition by the British, which was done for money and the fact that the British company acquired them with no understanding of why they were doing it. I felt that Don Draper would get sucked into this thing because he wanted his whole life to be that guy in the suit … in the end, the work is what mattered." And Weiner admits, "I don’t know what I am doing next season; I’ve just finished! I’ve made a habit -- and I’m proud of it but it's very scary -- of committing to a story for each season and starting on page one and leading people through and they may think it’s slow at the beginning or may not understand what they are supposed to be paying attention to." Daily Beast

Brian Moylan has fun with a rundown of who may (and may not) be returning to "Mad Men" for a fourth season. As Brian says, "the way that series creator Matthew Weiner left things -- Sterling Cooper as we knew it is dissolved, newly formed Sterling Cooper Draper Pryce may make it out of the Pierre Hotel, and Don's marriage is effectively over -- almost any character could be easily written out." While he thinks Emmy nominee Jon Hamm is certain to return -- "there's no 'Mad Men' without Don Draper" -- he says we may have seen the last of Bryan Batt's character, Sal Romano -- "he is effectively gone, but the way his story line ended, he always seemed like he'd be back for more. Plus his 'gay in the closet' story line has tons of ways it could play out and lots of modern-day implications." Gawker

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Photos, from top: Weinstein Co.; Lionsgate; ATAS

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