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Oscars Buzzmeter: Experts say 'Up in the Air,' 'The Hurt Locker' lead best picture derby

November 24, 2009 |  5:36 pm

Up in the air the hurt locker oscars news

"Up in the Air" and "The Hurt Locker" are the only two films cited as likely Oscar best-picture nominees by all 20 of the pundits contributing to The Envelope's first Buzzmeter of derby season. Participants include Brad Brevet (RopeOfSilicon), Greg Ellwood (HitFix), Erik Davis (Cinematical), Edward Douglas (, Scott Feinberg (AndTheWinnerIs), Paul Gaita (The Circuit, The Envelope), Pete Hammond (Notes on a Season, The Envelope), Peter Howell (Toronto Star), Dave Karger (Entertainment Weekly), Kevin Lewin (World Entertainment News Network), Lou Lumenick (New York Post), Michael Musto (Village Voice), Mark Olsen (Los Angeles Times), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Richard Rushfield (Gawker), Sasha Stone (AwardsDaily), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) and me.

All pundits project 10 nominees for best picture and five in the other top races. Scores cited below represent the total tally of punits' predix of each contender per category. Click here to see a breakdown of what each pundit forecasted. Many thanks to our editor Patrick Day for compiling the Buzzmeter so carefully by hand.

20 – "Up in the Air," "The Hurt Locker" –  received votes from all of our pundits.
19 – "Precious" – Jeff Wells is a holdout
19 –  "Invictus" – Snubbed by Erik Davis
16 –  "Nine"
15 –  "Up"
14 –  "An Education," "Inglourious Basterds," "A Serious Man"

17 –  Colin Firth, "A Single Man"
16 –  George Clooney, "Up in the Air"
14 –  Morgan Freeman, "Invictus"
11 –  Daniel Day-Lewis, "Nine"
10 –  Jeff Bridges, "Crazy Heart"
7 –  Viggo Mortensen, "The Road"

18 –  Carey Mulligan, "An Education"
17 –  Gabourey "Gabby" Sidibe, "Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire"; Meryl Streep, "Julie & Julia"
14 –  Helen Mirren, "The Last Station"
9 –   Abby Cornish, "Bright Star"

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