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Experts predict Kathryn Bigelow could be first female director to win at Oscars

December 23, 2009 |  3:29 pm

Kathryn Bigelow The Hurt Locker
Four of these Oscar pundits -- Brad Brevet (Rope of Silicon), Erik Davis (Cinematical), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily) and Jeff Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere) -- predict Kathryn Bigelow will become the first female director to take home an Oscar for her helming of "The Hurt Locker." However, Richard Rushfield (Gawker) thinks Jason Reitman ("Up in the Air") will win while I maintain Quentin Tarantino will prevail for directing best picture winner "Inglourious Basterds." See experts' predictions of the best actor race here, best actress race here, best supporting actor here, best supporting actress here and best picture here. Contenders are ranked according to their likelihood of winning.

DIRECTOR Brevet Davis O'Neil Rushfield Stone Wells
Kathryn Bigelow, 'The Hurt Locker'

1

1

3

2

1

1

James Cameron, 'Avatar'

2

2

2

4

2

3

Jason Reitman, 'Up in the Air'

3

5

4

1

3

2

Quentin Tarantino, 'Inglourious Basterds'

5

 

1

 

4

 

Clint Eastwood, 'Invictus'

4

3

 

 

5

 

Lee Daniels, 'Precious'

 

 

5

3

 

 

Peter Jackson, 'The Lovely Bones'

 

 

 

 

 

4

Rob Marshall, 'Nine'

 

4

 

 

 

 

Tom Ford, 'A Single Man'

 

 

 

 

 

5

Photo: Director Kathryn Bigelow and cinematographer Barry Ackroyd on location for "The Hurt Locker." Credit: Summit Entertainment

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Comments

I'm guessing that this will be one of those infrequent occurrences when BP and Best Director go to two different films (I'd bet on "Up in the Air" and Bigelow). I think the AMPAS membership is looking forward to making history this year with respect to the directing award but it will be hard to ignore the relatively puny box-office returns for "Hurt Locker." There's always a possibility that the Weinsteins can mount a campaign for "Basterds" that could bring in both Best Picture AND Best Director (perhaps Elie Wiesel will make himself available again seeing as how Meyer Kahane is dead) but my suspicion is that Bigelow is going to kick ass.


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