Experts predict Mo'Nique to win supporting actress at Oscars
While all six of these Oscar pundits said the supporting actress Oscar will go to Mo'Nique from "Precious," they were surveyed before Gold Derby broke the news that she was skipping the New York Film Critics Circle soiree. Such shenanigans could cost this Hollywood outsider the ultimate prize. Below, the rankings of Edward Douglas (Comingsoon.net), Dave Karger (Entertainment Weekly), Mark Olsen (The Envelope), Richard Rushfield (Gawker), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and me. See experts' predictions of the best actor race here, best actress race here, best supporting actor here and best picture here. Contenders are ranked according to their likelihood of winning.
| SUPPORTING ACTRESS | Douglas |
Karger |
Olsen |
O'Neil | Rushfield |
Travers |
| Mo'Nique, 'Precious' |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Anna Kendrick, 'Up in the Air' |
2 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
| Vera Farmiga, 'Up in the Air' |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
| Julianne Moore, 'A Single Man' |
4 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
|
| Penelope Cruz, 'Nine' |
|
|
4 |
|
|
4 |
| Melanie Laurent, 'Inglourious Basterds' |
|
|
|
4 |
|
5 |
| Samantha Morton, 'The Messenger' |
5 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| Emma Thompson, 'An Education' |
|
|
|
|
5 |
|
Photo: Lionsgate









She was excellent and should win...REGARDLESS...as to whether or not she campaigns for the award.
A Superb Performance!!!
Posted by: ykw | December 26, 2009 at 11:33 PM
Kendrick and Farmiga will likely split the "Up in the Air" vote and allow Mo'Nique to breeze to the finish line. It would be good to see Morton get a nod, however: she's far more deserving than any of the ladies the Weinsteins are pushing (including surprise SAG candidate Diane Kruger). And why isn't anyone talking up Sigourney Weaver for "Avatar"? She's at least as overdue as Moore and has a much larger role.
Posted by: stu freeman | December 26, 2009 at 10:32 PM
I'm not afraid Mo'Nique will win in the supporting category, only of her acceptance speech.
Posted by: swf | December 25, 2009 at 11:45 AM
I don't think the NYFCC will affect Mo'Nique; she's too far in front of the others for campaigning to matter. Now, if she unleashes a ton of F-bombs at some show (a la Russell Crowe at the BAFTAs some years back)...
Posted by: RBBrittain | December 22, 2009 at 11:08 AM
She played a loud lady
Posted by: phillp | December 21, 2009 at 05:33 PM
Frankly, I'd like to see a real underdog/dark horse win in this category. Maybe Julianne Moore, who's way overdue for Oscar recognition.
Posted by: Jerry | December 21, 2009 at 05:04 PM
Mo'Nique's so-called snub of the NYFCC and the ridiculous controversy surrounding it should have no bearing on her winning any awards. The performance should speak for itself and I hope signals a new trend in Oscar non-campaigning.
If she doesn't win, the relevancy of SAG, the GG, all the critic's awards and the Oscar itself will be called into question.
Posted by: Terrence Moss | December 21, 2009 at 04:03 PM