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Gold Derby nuggets: Dave Karger: Can 'Nine' lose at Globes? | Pete Hammond: Can 'Avatar' win at Oscars?

December 22, 2009 |  3:32 pm

Nine PosterDave Karger takes a closer look at the contenders for best comedy or musical at the Golden Globes. After noting that "Nine" scored the most nominations of any contender in the category, Dave wonders, "Will the Globes voters want to risk being seen as mere star worshipers by anointing a film that was so savaged by the country’s leading critics?" For Dave, "of the four other nominees -- '(500) Days of Summer,' 'The Hangover,' 'It’s Complicated,' and 'Julie & Julia' -- the one with the best shot may just be '(500) Days.'" As he explains, "'The Hangover,' while the biggest hit of the bunch by far, is too crass, while the HFPA’s legion of Meryl Streep fans may find themselves split between her two films. '(500) Days' is quirky, fun, and original, with an ingenious script and a standout performance from Globe nominee Joseph Gordon-Levitt." ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY

• The film branch of the Critics Circle in the United Kingdom has announced the nominees for the 30th annual edition of its awards fest. Prizes will be handed out during a Feb. 18 event at London's Landmark Hotel. Quentin Tarantino -- whose new film "Inglorious Basterds" contends for the top prize -- will be feted with the Dilys Powell award for excellence in cinema. As these kudos are heavily slanted towards British productions -- with several categories reserved exclusively for home-grown talent -- it's not surprising that "An Education" leads with 7 nominations while "Fish Tank" has six. CRITICS CIRCLE

Anne Thompson and Jack Mathews discuss the effect of the Golden Globes on the Oscar race. Says Jack, "I do believe the Globes matter in the Oscar race because they have a higher profile in Academy-land than critics, and their trumpeting in trade paper ads get Oscar voters to begin sorting through their year-end sets of DVDs for ‘the ones to watch.’ I think the Globe show itself is more important because it gives the nominees and winners a direct connection to voters watching on TV." For Anne, "while the Globes may help to aim a spotlight on certain titles in Oscar voters’ DVD piles, the critics hold more sway with Academy voters." THOMPSON ON HOLLYWOOD

Nelson Branco gives us his top 10 daytime Emmy winners of the last decade. Rounding out his list are the long-awaited wins of lead actress Jeanne Cooper ("The Young and the Restless") in 2008 and supporting actress Genie Francis ("General Hospital") the year before and taking the top spot is the victory of the "One Life to Live" writing team in 2008. TV GUIDE CANADA

• The first list of performers appearing on the Jan. 31 Grammycast is topped by 10-time nominee Beyonce and eight-time contender Taylor Swift. Also in the lineup for the 52nd annual music awards are a pair of acts with six nods apiece -- Black-Eyed Peas and Maxwell -- as well as two-time nominee Lady Antebellum. ZAP 2 IT

Avatar PosterPete Hammond calculates the Oscar odds for "Avatar" considering "the successful academy screening, a record $77-million opening weekend gross even with the severe snowstorms in the East, an incredible $235-million-plus overall worldwide gross plus an A rating from Cinemascore rating and an A+ from males younger than 25" and "major Golden Globe and Critics Choice Movie Award nominations." For Pete, "'Avatar' seems strongly positioned to win Oscar's heart with its strong environmental and social messages, its not-so-thinly-veiled Bush bashing and, most important, its technological breakthroughs that present endless new possibilities for the movie industry. Make no mistake about it. It's the industry that is voting in this contest." NOTES ON A SEASON

Matthew Belloni makes an interesting suggestion for the upcoming Oscarcast -- preview the hottest upcoming movies. "At five strategically timed slow points in the ceremony, a major star could appear to introduce a two-minute clip of never-before-seen footage from an upcoming film. Every major studio, mini-major and specialty division would be invited to enter a lottery for the five slots, the only rule being that the winning studios’ clips -- any clip; it can be something from a prestige project or from “Iron Man 2″ -- has never been seen before. Can you imagine what kind of interest there would be if Summit revealed the first glimpse of June’s 'The Twilight Saga: Eclipse' during the telecast?" And, as Matthew notes, "we don’t have to speculate. Exclusive footage of 'New Moon' -- including the first shots of the film’s shirtless werewolves -- aired during the MTV Movie Awards in June, and the show’s ratings shot up 92% in the target demo, its best performance in five years." HOLLYWOOD REPORTER

• No starlet will be walking the red carpet at the next Oscars with her tootsies clad in precious jewel-encrusted shoes. Designer Stuart Weitzman tells Page Six, "There will be no million-dollar shoe for the Oscars this year. With so many people struggling financially, and unemployment at 10%, I don't think it is appropriate. The actresses still want to go for glamor, but this year it will be more understated." NEW YORK POST

Steve Pond takes a listen to some of the 63 songs in contention for the Oscars this year and discovers a collection of silly, saucy, sexy and sassy songs on offer. After reviewing the lyrics of the likes of "Dove of Peace" from "Bruno" and "Stu's Song" from "The Hangover," Steve concludes, "I’d be surprised if any of these songs are nominated, though with precedents like 'Blame Canada' and 'It’s Hard Out Here for a Pimp,' you never know." THE ODDS

Top photo: "Nine" poster. Credit: Weinstein Co. Bottom photo: "Avatar" poster. Credit: Fox

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