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My fearless, 100% accurate Emmy nominations predictions

July 6, 2010 | 11:35 am
Emmy Awards 12

Here's who I predict will score bids when Emmy Awards nominations are unveiled Thursday morning:

BEST DRAMA SERIES
"Breaking Bad"
"Damages"
"Dexter"
"Mad Men"
"The Good Wife"
"Lost"

ALTERNATES: "Big Love," "Friday Night Lights," "House M.D.," "Sons of Anarchy," "Treme"


BEST COMEDY SERIES
"The Big Bang Theory"
"Curb Your Enthusiasm"
"Family Guy"
"Glee"
"Modern Family"
"30 Rock"

ALTERNATES: "Community," "How I Met Your Mother," "Entourage," "Nurse Jackie," "The Office," "Parks and Recreation," "Weeds"


BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Simon Baker ("The Mentalist")
Bryan Cranston ("Breaking Bad")
Michael C. Hall ("Dexter")
Jon Hamm ("Mad Men")
Hugh Laurie ("House")
Timothy Olyphant ("Justified")

ALTERNATES: Matt Bomer ("White Collar"), Kyle Chandler ("Friday Night Lights"), Matthew Fox ("Lost"), Peter Krause ("Parenthood"), Denis Leary ("Rescue Me"), Bill Paxton ("Big Love"), Wendell Pierce ("Treme"), Kiefer Sutherland ("24")


BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Glenn Close ("Damages")
Mariska Hargitay ("Law & Order: SVU")
January Jones ("Mad Men")
Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife")
Katey Sagal ("Sons of Anarchy")
Kyra Sedgwick ("The Closer")

ALTERNATES: Sally Field ("Brothers and Sisters"), Anna Gunn ("Breaking Bad"), Holly Hunter ("Saving Grace"), Melissa Leo ("Treme"), Anna Paquin ("True Blood")


BEST COMEDY ACTOR
Steve Carell ("The Office")
Alec Baldwin ("30 Rock")
Larry David ("Curb Your Enthusiasm")
Matthew Morrison ("Glee")
Jim Parsons ("The Big Bang Theory")
Tony Shalhoub ("Monk")

ALTERNATES: David Duchovny ("Californication"), Joel McHale ("Community"), Thomas Jane ("Hung"), Charlie Sheen ("Two and a Half Men")

BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
Toni Collette ("United States of Tara")
Edie Falco ("Nurse Jackie")
Tina Fey ("30 Rock")
Lea Michele ("Glee")
Mary-Louise Parker ("Weeds")
Amy Poehler ("Parks and Recreation")

ALTERNATES: Courteney Cox-Arquette ("Cougar Town"), Patricia Heaton ("The Middle"), Felicity Huffman ("Desperate Housewives"), Julia Louis-Dreyfus ("New Adventures of Old Christine"), Sarah Silverman ("The Sarah Silverman Program"), Tracey Ullman ("State of the Union")


BEST SUPPORTING COMEDY ACTOR
Ty Burrell ("Modern Family")
Jon Cryer ("Two and a Half Men")
Neil Patrick Harris ("How I Met Your Mother")
Tracy Morgan ("30 Rock")
Eric Stonestreet ("Modern Family")
Ed O'Neill ("Modern Family")

ALTERNATES: Chris Colfer ("Glee"), Nick Offerman ("Parks & Recreation"), Jeremy Piven ("Entourage"), Rainn Wilson ("The Office")


BEST SUPPORTING COMEDY ACTRESS
Julie Bowen ("Modern Family")
Jane Krakowski ("30 Rock")
Jane Lynch ("Glee")
Sofia Vergara ("Modern Family")
Kristen Wiig ("Saturday Night Live")
Vanessa Williams ("Ugly Betty")

ALTERNATES: Jane Adams ("Hung"), Rosemarie DeWitt ("United States of Tara"), Jenna Fischer ("The Office"), Cheryl Hines ("Curb Your Enthusiasm"), Elizabeth Perkins ("Weeds"), Merritt Wever ("Nurse Jackie")


BEST SUPPORTING DRAMA ACTOR
Michael Emerson ("Lost")
John Goodman ("Treme")
Terry O'Quinn ("Lost")
Aaron Paul ("Breaking Bad")
Martin Short ("Damages")
John Slattery ("Mad Men")

ALTERNATES: Vincent Kartheiser ("Mad Men"), Chris Noth ("The Good Wife"), Dean Norris ("Breaking Bad"), Campbell Scott ("Damages"), Andre Braugher ("Men of a Certain Age")


BEST SUPPORTING DRAMA ACTRESS
Christine Baranski ("The Good Wife")
Rose Byrne ("Damages")
Elisabeth Moss ("Mad Men")
Sandra Oh ("Grey's Anatomy")
Chloƫ Sevigny ("Big Love")
Chandra Wilson ("Grey's Anatomy")

ALTERNATES: Khandi Alexander ("Treme"), Ginnifer Goodwin ("Big Love"), Christina Hendricks ("Mad Men"), S. Epatha Merkerson ("Law & Order"), Monica Potter ("Parenthood")


BEST TV MOVIE
"Georgia O'Keeffe"
"The Special Relationship"
"Temple Grandin"
"When Love Is Not Enough: The Lois Wilson Story"
"You Don't Know Jack"

ALTERNATES: "Amish Grace," "Einstein and Eddington," "Endgame," "Jesse Stone: No Remorse," "A Number," "Who Is Clark Rockefeller?"
 

BEST TV MINISERIES
"The Pacific"
"Return to Cranford"

ALTERNATES: "Alice," "Emma," Occupation," "The Prisoner," "Small Island"


BEST ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE/MINISERIES
Jeff Bridges ("A Dog Year")
Jeremy Irons ("Georgia O'Keeffe")
Dennis Quaid ("The Special Relationship")
Al Pacino ("You Don't Know Jack")
Michael Sheen ("The Special Relationship")

ALTERNATES:
James Badge Dale ("The Pacific"), Chiwetel Ejiofor ("Endgame"), William Hurt ("Endgame"), Ian McKellen ("The Prisoner"), Tom Selleck ("Jesse Stone: No Remorse"), Tom Wilkinson ("A Number")


BEST ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE/MINISERIES
Joan Allen ("Georgia O'Keeffe")
Claire Danes ("Temple Grandin")
Hope Davis ("The Special Relationship")
Judi Dench ("Return to Cranford")
Maggie Smith ("Capturing Mary")
 
ALTERNATES: Tammy Blanchard ("Amish Grace"), Romola Garai ("Emma"), Winona Ryder ("When Love Is Not Enough: The Lois Wilson Story"), Jill Scott ("Sins of the Mother"), Ruth Wilson ("The Prisoner")


BEST REALITY TV / COMPETITION SHOW
"The Amazing Race"
"American Idol"
"Dancing With the Stars"
"Project Runway"
"Top Chef"

ALTERNATES:
"The Biggest Loser," "Celebrity Apprentice," "Hell's Kitchen," "So You Think You Can Dance," "Survivor"


BEST REALITY TV HOST
Phil Keoghan ("The Amazing Race")
Ryan Seacrest ("American Idol")
Tom Bergeron ("Dancing With the Stars")
Heidi Klum ("Project Runway")
Jeff Probst ("Survivor")

ALTERNATES: Tyra Banks ("America's Next Top Model"), Cat Deeley ("So You Think You Can Dance"), Chris Harrison ("The Bachelor"), Cesar Millan ("The Dog Whisperer"), Padma Lakshmi and Tom Colicchio ("Top Chef"), Mike Rowe ("Dirty Jobs"), William Shatner ("Shatner's Raw Nerve"), Allison Sweeney ("The Biggest Loser")


BEST REALITY PROGRAM
"Antiques Roadshow"
"Dirty Jobs"
"The Dog Whisperer"
"Intervention"
"Kathy Griffin: My Life on the D-List"

ALTERNATES: "Ace of Cakes," "Addicted," "Celebrity Rehab With Dr. Drew," "Extreme Makeover: Home Edition," "Jamie Oliver's Food Revolution," "Mythbusters," "Penn & Teller ...," "Who Do You Think You Are?"


BEST VARIETY SERIES
"The Colbert Report"
"The Daily Show"
"Late Show With David Letterman"
"Saturday Night Live"
"Tonight Show with Conan O'Brien"

ALTERNATES: "Jimmy Kimmel Live," "Late Night With Jimmy Fallon," "The Mo'Nique Show," "Real Time With Bill Maher," "Tonight Show With Jay Leno," "Tracey Ullman's State of the Union"

RELATED POSTS

Tom O'Neil "fearless, 100% accurate" Emmy nomination predictions

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Rob Licuria's Emmy nomination predictions

Pundits' slugfest: Emmy nominations predictions -- best drama actor

Pundits' slugfest: Emmy nominations predictions -- best drama series

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Pundits' slugfest: Emmy nominations predictions -- best drama actress

Photo: Academy of Television Arts & Sciences

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Comments

There is no category for Supporting Actor/Actress for a miniseries unless I missed it in the overall nominations announced today. Of course they have to submit themselves genius. How do you expect the academy to know who is eligible and not? And ontop of that what category to nominated the person in. Use your head.

Such a shame David Tennant will likely not be nominated for his jawdropping performance in the PBS/Royal Shakespeare Company's Hamlet. Being British and not well known in America, and of course being Shakespeare, I doubt it will be given much consideration by the judges, but it is an incredible production and one of the most charismatic, accessible performances I've ever seen.

matt bomer should get a nomination. he make "white collar" so sexy!!!!!!!!!!!

@La Zuzu: Great question, but sadly, I have no clue. NONE. There are just some shows that Emmy voters simply don't get. They didn't get THE WIRE. They didn't really get THE SHIELD. They've never gotten FNL. And, I bet, they won't get TREME. I can't explain it, but that's how they are. Quite frustrating.

@Ambivalentman: No, Lithgow does have his nomination (and win) locked up, but he was submitted as a GUEST ACTOR, not SUPPORTING. Which is smart, because now he's sure to win. Terry O'Quinn has Supporting Actor locked up/

Is it just me or did he pick every single person possible just so he can "claim" that he said they would be nominated?

So sad that only one Friday Night Lights actor is mentioned (Kyle Chandler). Chandler, Connie Britton, and Taylor Kitsch have delivered stunning performances for 3 years without the slightest industry recognition. Let's hope Zach Gilford has better luck in the Guest Actor category...

It's too bad that the "People's Choices" for best Drama and their outstanding actors are passed up every year-where's the love for "NCIS" (Mark Harmon and Michael Weatherly, anyone?) as well as the best procedural-"CSI-Crime Scene Investigators! Can anyone ignore the great performances of Lawrence Fishburne, George Eads and Paul Guilifoyle? Or the riveting guest appearances of Gena Rowlands and Ralph Waite on "NCIS" and Bill Irwin on "CSI"? For these memorable shows to be ignored by all but the viewers renders the Emmy to nothing but an elitist award for Cable!

The Emmys are a farce if John Noble from "Fringe" doesn't get a nom for "Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series".

@Free, thanks for the warning. But why is that? (I followed the link, and all I could find is that the Emmy folks *are* ignoring FNL, not *why* they are ignoring it.) Is everyone mad that Peter Berg trusts the actors so much? Are they upset about the cooperation between NBC and um, its cable partner on the show? (Dang, space brain again!) What is up?

Is there a reason you didn't include John Lithgow for his performance on "Dexter?" He should have a nomination in the supporting actor, drama category locked up. Is there something I'm missing, though? Is he going to get a nod for acting in guest star on a dramatic series? As much as I love "LOST," "Breaking Bad" and "Mad Men," Lithgow's performance as the Trinity Killer was the most engaging acting I've seen on television in years.

I agree with Mark, I can't understand the possible nomination of Christine Baranski, of course a great actress, without the one of Archie Panjabi: she is just amazing and plays a really important character, the opposite and complementary of Alicia Florrick played by J. Margulies. A relationship as the one between Patty Hewes and Ellen Parsons in the third season in Damages for example.
Don't forget her, Emmy's jury !

An award in which you have to submit yourself for consideration undermines the very concept of awards. Only in Hollywood does one need to, quite literally, toot their own horn in order to get a "job well done" from their peers!

I wanna know why FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS does NOT get any recognition? Can you please explain that? You should write a nice article about it. Do you honestly think there are any actors right now on television that are giving better performances than Kyle Chandler and Connie Britton? Honestly? Theirs is the most realistic portrayal of modern life in America. And on a side note, the supporting cast is amazing. Zach Gilford's performance in THE SON. I mean, if that didn't bring you to tears, I don't know if you have a heart? I am a HUGE (HUGE) LOST and DAMAGES fan, but those 3 actors you mentioned doesn't hold a thing on Gilford's performance. Let's be honest, FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS, is one of the best television shows of all time. Fricken Emmy voters need to wake up.

I'm really hoping that Julia Louis-Dreyfus will get the nod for the last season of Old Christine - she was truly fantastic in that role and had some extremely strong episodes this year!

Also hoping to see Ray Romano or Andre Braugher sneak into the acting race - they are doing phenomenal work on Men of a Certain Age!

I think the Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series is a little off. I think my beloved Khandi Alexander, Christina Hendricks and Archie Panjabi (not Christine Baranski, who is wonderful on "The Good Wife" but not as electrifying as Panjabi) will definitely make the list. Some of the usuals may not make it. I do sincerely hope that Emmy does its "a year or so too late" honor and finally reward the very deserving and magnificent Vanessa Williams for the wonderful work she has done on "Ugly Betty" as a whole. I also hope the always consistent and charming Kyra Sedgwick finally gets her due as well. Finally, Terry O'Quinn has that Emmy locked up! There is no one able to compete against him that was better this year.

Is Deadliest Catch not eligible for a reality program or did they not submit themselves?

I like your choices of Timothy Olyphant and Katey Sagal and hope that David Duchovny scores a nod too.

Can we please have some love for Nelsan Ellis?! PRETTY PLEASE!!!!!!!!!

@Tab: Yeah, I agree. Much more interested in supporting performances and writing/directing than any of the reality stuff.

What about supporting actor/actress in a TV movie/ Miniseries?? Much more interested in that than the silly reality crap!

Interesting that you don't think Ian McKellen will get in. Nice predix overall.

And @ La Zuzu: It's not that FNL isn't worthy. It's that the Emmys like to ignore it

http://hubpages.com/hub/My-Official-2010-Emmy-Nomination-Predictions

Are you kidding me? Not a single nomination for Friday Night Lights or any of the many wonderful actors on it? What is going on here?

I pray your Katey Sagal prediction is true. She SO deserves it. I am sick of them sucking up to former Oscar winning movie star has beens on medicore shows like Holly Hunter and Sally Field. Why not reward a TV veteran like Sagal who is long overdue for recognition and who is doing the best work of her career?


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