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Emmy predix: Jane Lynch looks like lock to win for 'Glee'

August 4, 2010 | 12:08 pm

Our Emmy gurus Chris "Boomer" Beachum and Rob Licuria (AwardsHeaven) are in agreement that veteran comedy actress Jane Lynch will win her first Emmy Award for her supporting work on the rookie hit "Glee." Beyond this top pick, they rank the other nominees with both believing Julie Bowen from another freshman series -- "Modern Family" -- to be a strong contender.

Below is their in-depth analysis of this contest. Rob and Boomer also share their insights on guest drama actor, guest drama actress, guest comedy actor and guest comedy actress. And the three of us weigh in on the top drama series and comedy series races as well as best TV movie, best reality/competition show and best reality show host.

Jane_Lynch_Madonna_Glee_April14news COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS: BOOMER'S PREDIX
1. Jane Lynch, "Glee" ("The Power of Madonna")
2. Jane Krakowski, "30 Rock" ("Black Light Attack")
3. Julie Bowen, "Modern Family" ("My Funky Valentine")
4. Holland Taylor, "Two and a Half Men" ("Give Me Your Thumb")
5. Kristen Wiig, "Saturday Night Live" ("Host: James Franco")
6. Sofia Vergara, "Modern Family" ("Not in My House")

BOOMER'S COMMENTARY: Jane Lynch wins the Emmy for this category within the first three minutes of the Madonna-themed episode and then just keeps adding on funny scene after funny scene. She also gets to star in a shot-for-shot remake of the famous "Vogue" music video. Easy prediction and a well-deserved victory after many years of great comedic performances.

I imagine actresses over 35 on this judging panel will be enthralled by Jane Krakowski's episode in which she faces the perils and horrors of moving from the ingenue to mother stage of an acting career. She has so many funny moments, it is kind of a shame she will probably never win for this role. Julie Bowen gives a charming performance on a Valentine's Day-themed episode where she and her husband go on a date and pretend to pick up each other in a bar. It's a nice blend of sparkling dialogue and physical humor.

Holland Taylor has already received several nominations for this character but no wins. I liked some of her previous submissions much more than this one, which is somewhat on the dry-humor side rather than physical. Kristin Wiig has only two moments on her episode that might appeal to voters (the Lawrence Welk parody and her impersonation of Kate Hepburn), but it can't top the other ladies in this category.

Sofia Vergara made a major error on her episode choice, in which she has little to do other than react to a stuffed dog butler in her home. She has such a high industry buzz right now, a win could have been possible with the right choice.

JaneLynch.glee.photo COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS: ROB'S PREDIX
1. Jane Lynch, "Glee" ("The Power of Madonna")
2. Julie Bowen, "Modern Family" ("My Funky Valentine")
3. Kristin Wiig, "Saturday Night Live" ("Host: James Franco")
4. Holland Taylor, "Two and a Half Men" ("Give Me Your Thumb")
5. Jane Krakowski, "30 Rock" ("Black Light Attack")
6. Sofia Vergara, "Modern Family" ("Not in My House")

ROB'S COMMENTARY: I think the episodes in this category are not nearly as strong as the comedy supporting actors' choices. Right off the bat, Sofia Vergara either isn't sure how the process works or simply is not interested in winning an Emmy this year. Her performance in her chosen episode is negligible, to say the least. And Vergara has some episodes in the can that make her very competitive.

Ditto for Jane Krakowski, who I found to be irritating in this episode. Not funny at all in my mind, and this is coming from a fan of hers. I'm not sure any actors from "30 Rock" are going to win this year, what with the relatively weak material they were given in the substandard fourth season. Similarly, Holland Taylor's nomination smacks of a filler to me. She has a couple of good scenes and is generally a well-liked veteran and excellent actress, but this performance is nothing to write home about.

Kristin Wiig is always impressive in "SNL" as the best actor/chameleon on the show. The Lawrence Welk sketch as well as the riotous "Weekend Update" appearance are hilarious. But I kept thinking she might not have had enough for a win here, especially because her submission last year was superior and obviously not enough for the win. Julie Bowen is usually saddled with the "straight man" role in "Modern Family," so I was hoping she would choose this episode, where she has great moments. Her scenes with Ty Burrell are perfectly executed, and she has great writing to work with here. Definitely in play to win this.

However, it appears that nothing is going to stop Jane Lynch from finally — after years and years of toiling in smaller, unrecognized parts as a true underrated comedy icon — claiming a win as a comedic actress. Maybe her character, Sue Sylvester, is a little one-note. Maybe this Madonna tribute episode is silly and pointless. But does that matter? She hits it out of the park, practically munching on the scenery as the crazy Madonna-loving Cheerios coach, not to mention the shot-for-shot remake of the classic 1990s hit "Vogue." It will be a huge upset if Jane Lynch doesn’t win this category.

Photos: Jane Lynch in "Glee." Credit: Fox.

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Comments

in this category, for me it's jane vs. jane ... jane lynch of glee or jane krakowski of 30 Rock. The buzz for Jane Lynch's signature role is so great, but I think the submission is not her strong episode, but hey she got her Madonna Vogue secret weapon here. And meanwhile Jane Krakowski here is also in the running after last year in which she submits a wrong episode (her team shoulda submitted Jackie Jormp Jomp instead of The Ones), in Black Light Attack proves she can be wacky and funny like the rest. Boomer is right, Jane Lynch is a locked , sealed and destined to win this category, though.


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