The Envelope Logo

Gold Derby

Tom O'Neil has the inside track on Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and all the award shows.

« Previous Post | Gold Derby Home | Next Post »

Grammy predix for best album: Lady Antebellum, Lady Gaga, Eminem

October 25, 2010 |  1:11 pm

Lady Antebellum Lady gaga sadeOur Grammy seers David "Guru" Schnelwar and Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch agree on what four of the five nominees will be for album of the year: "The Suburbs" (Arcade Fire), "Recovery" (Eminem), "Need You Now" (Lady Antebellum) and "Soldier of Love" (Sade). Guru opts for "The Fame Monster" (Lady Gaga) in the fifth slot while DoubleD says it will be "Live at the Troubadour" (James Taylor and Carole King).

I'm shocked that DoubleD doesn't have "Fame Monster" in his high five. He's wrong about that. I say that either "The Suburbs" or "Soldier of Love" will be snubbed and the survivor will be pitted against "Fame Monster," "Recovery," "Need You Now" and "Troubadour."

Also see their predix for best new artist and best record of the year.

"The Suburbs," Arcade Fire
"Recovery," Eminem
"Need You Now," Lady Antebellum
"Live at the Troubadour," James Taylor and Carole King
"Soldier of Love," Sade

"Revolution," Miranda Lambert
"The Fame Monster," Lady Gaga
"The ArchAndroid," Janelle Monae
"The Blueprint 3," Jay-Z
"Backspacer," Pearl Jam

(Long shots)
"New AmErykah Part 2: Return of the Ankh," Erykah Badu
"My World 2.0," Justin Bieber
"Brothers," Black Keys
"Crazy Love," Michael Buble
"Clapton," Eric Clapton
"Going Back," Phil Collins
"World Gone Crazy," Doobie Brothers
"Thank Me Later," Drake
"Plastic Beach," Gorillaz
"The Imagine Project," Herbie Hancock
"The Element of Freedom," Alicia Keys
"Confessions," Liza Minelli
"Teenage Dream," Katy Perry
"Band of Joy," Robert Plant
"Commitment," Seal
"Raymond v. Raymond," Usher
"Contra," Vampire Weekend

DOUBLED'S COMMENTARY: Eminem and Lady Antebellum have the best-selling albums of the year, so they'll easily get in since the industry wants to celebrate artists who actually can still sell records. The other three spots will be filled by critically acclaimed veterans with gold or platinum albums (James Taylor/Carole King, Sade) and either critically acclaimed "under the radar" artists (Arcade Fire, Janelle Monae, Miranda Lambert) or rock veterans (Pearl Jam). This category could really go either way since the industry agrees that it has been a pretty lousy year for album sales.

"The Suburbs," Arcade Fire
"Recovery," Eminem
"Need You Now," Lady Antebellum
"The Fame Monster," Lady Gaga
"Soldier of Love," Sade

"B.O.B. Presents the Adventures of Bobby Ray," B.O.B.
"The Blueprint III," Jay-Z
"To the Sea," Jack Johnson
"Teenage Dream," Katy Perry
"Live at the Troubadour," James Taylor and Carole King

(Long shots)
"Thank Me Later," Drake
"The Element of Freedom," Alicia Keys
"Revolution," Miranda Lambert
"The ArchAndroid (Suites II and III)," Janelle Monae
"The Resistance," Muse
"Raymond v. Raymond," Usher

GURU'S COMMENTARY: The past three years, the Grammys have nominated one album from each genre. If the pattern continues, then I expect Eminem to represent the rap field. Eminem is a previous two-time nominee in this category for "The Marshall Mathers LP" (in 2000) and "The Eminem Show" (in 2002).  Jay-Z has yet to be nominated for album of the year. It is very likely this year that the one-from-each-genre pattern could be broken and there may be two rap albums nominated for album of the year. It has happened twice previously with Eminem's "The Eminem Show" and Nelly's "Nellyville" in 2002, and in 2003, album of the year winner Outkast 's "Speakerboxxx/The Love Below" and Missy Elliot's "Under Construction. 

Lady Gaga was nominated for album of the year and is likely to remain for her followup EP "The Fame Monster." It would be similar to Michael Jackson's "HIStory: Past, Present and Future" album of the year nomination (in 1995), which was a greatest hits album sold with a second disc of new material. Lady Gaga will represent the Pop field.  Other pop field possibilities are James Taylor and Carole King's "Live at the Troubadour, " Katy Perry's "Teenage Dream"  and Jack Johnson's "To The Sea."

Lady Antebellum's "Need You Now" was the biggest-selling album of 2010 until Eminem dethroned them. Expect Lady Antebellum to represent the country field.  Miranda Lambert's "Revolution" is the only other strong country competitor.

Sade is a veteran and is possible to represent the R&B Field. Other possibilities in R&B are Alicia Keys' "The Element of Freedom," Usher's "Raymond v. Raymond" and Janelle Monae's "The ArchAndroid (Suites II and III)."

The critically acclaimed "The Suburbs" by Arcade Fire hopes to get upgraded and represent the alternative field for album of the year.  Muse's "The Resistance" is also possible to represent the rock field.

Photos: Lady Gaga (Interscope), Sade (Sony), Lady Antebellum (Capitol), Arcade Fire (Merge)

Get Gold Derby on Twitter. Join the Gold Derby Group at Facebook. Become friends with Tom O'Neil on Facebook. Get Gold Derby RSS feed via Facebook. RSS Feedburner. RSS Atom.

The comments to this entry are closed.


Recovery - Eminem
Teenage Dreams - Katy Perry
The Suburbs - Arcade Fire
Band of Joy - Robert Plant
Live at the Troubador - Carole King & James Taylor
The ArchAndroid - Janelle Monae

Possibles: Alicia Keyes, Lady Antebellum, Sade

Lady Antebellum will take Song of the Year and sweep the Country field.

Sade will have a better chance in either the Pop Album or R&B Album category.

Live at the Troubador has a better chance at Best Album because NARAS loves honoring its veterans including these two Pop icons of 70s with their treasure trove of hits.

Band of Joy has a chance at Best Album...critically acclaimed, NARAS has more love for Plant as a solo artist than Led Zeppelin days and also their love for T-Bone Burnett.

Katy Perry has a better chance at Pop Vocal or Pop Song and Record of the Year.

Lady GaGa is just re-hash of The Fame and that's soooo last year. She'll cop a Best Dance Recording trophy as a consolation prize.

Arcade Fire will win the Best Alternative category.

Over all I prefer to go with Janelle Monae who put out the most interesting and appealing CD this year. A Best New Artist win would be well deserve given the slim pickings of entries. But Arcade Fire, King/Taylor or Eminem or Plant would be fine choice for Best Album.

A Justin Bieber nom and/or win will be the lowest-point and lamest choice ever!

Eligibility ended September 30th. Not to mention that The E.N.D. by the Black Eyed Peas was riding on the success of Boom Boom Pow and I Gotta Feeling which ruled the singles charts for 16 consecutive weeks.

I'm just hoping Miranda Lambert gets in for at least Song of the Year for "The House That Built Me" which is easily the best written country song of the year, if not of any genre.

My question is, what about Kanye? I am sure they will get the "Black Eyed Peas" treatment like last year when they came out late in the year. I kind of for see a lot of late albums to make it.

Sales won't matter after this week when Taylor Swift blows away everyone's album sales.

LUNGS are ineligible!

Huh? What? Liza Minnelli for "Confessions" on the the "long Shot" list but No Barbra Streisand anywhere for her #1 CD "Love is the Answer" as a possibility?

That triumphant Streisand set produced by Diane Krall was her best work since the Broadway Album" think again people. The Streisand pipes and vocal interpretations are still incomparable. Diana Krall found just the right element for Barbra to reinvent herself!

I just hope Arcade Fire gets in. They can nominate Ke$ha for all I care so long as Arcade Fire gets in.



In Case You Missed It...

Stay Connected:

About the Blogger

Pop & Hiss



In Case You Missed It...