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Grammy predix for best album: Lady Antebellum, Lady Gaga, Eminem

October 25, 2010 |  1:11 pm

Lady Antebellum Lady gaga sadeOur Grammy seers David "Guru" Schnelwar and Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch agree on what four of the five nominees will be for album of the year: "The Suburbs" (Arcade Fire), "Recovery" (Eminem), "Need You Now" (Lady Antebellum) and "Soldier of Love" (Sade). Guru opts for "The Fame Monster" (Lady Gaga) in the fifth slot while DoubleD says it will be "Live at the Troubadour" (James Taylor and Carole King).

I'm shocked that DoubleD doesn't have "Fame Monster" in his high five. He's wrong about that. I say that either "The Suburbs" or "Soldier of Love" will be snubbed and the survivor will be pitted against "Fame Monster," "Recovery," "Need You Now" and "Troubadour."

Also see their predix for best new artist and best record of the year.

ALBUM OF THE YEAR: DOULBED'S PREDIX
(Front-runners)
"The Suburbs," Arcade Fire
"Recovery," Eminem
"Need You Now," Lady Antebellum
"Live at the Troubadour," James Taylor and Carole King
"Soldier of Love," Sade

(Possible)
"Revolution," Miranda Lambert
"The Fame Monster," Lady Gaga
"The ArchAndroid," Janelle Monae
"The Blueprint 3," Jay-Z
"Backspacer," Pearl Jam

(Long shots)
"New AmErykah Part 2: Return of the Ankh," Erykah Badu
"My World 2.0," Justin Bieber
"Brothers," Black Keys
"Crazy Love," Michael Buble
"Clapton," Eric Clapton
"Going Back," Phil Collins
"World Gone Crazy," Doobie Brothers
"Thank Me Later," Drake
"Plastic Beach," Gorillaz
"The Imagine Project," Herbie Hancock
"The Element of Freedom," Alicia Keys
"Confessions," Liza Minelli
"Teenage Dream," Katy Perry
"Band of Joy," Robert Plant
"Commitment," Seal
"Raymond v. Raymond," Usher
"Contra," Vampire Weekend

DOUBLED'S COMMENTARY: Eminem and Lady Antebellum have the best-selling albums of the year, so they'll easily get in since the industry wants to celebrate artists who actually can still sell records. The other three spots will be filled by critically acclaimed veterans with gold or platinum albums (James Taylor/Carole King, Sade) and either critically acclaimed "under the radar" artists (Arcade Fire, Janelle Monae, Miranda Lambert) or rock veterans (Pearl Jam). This category could really go either way since the industry agrees that it has been a pretty lousy year for album sales.

ALBUM OF THE YEAR: GURU'S PREDIX
(Front-runners)
"The Suburbs," Arcade Fire
"Recovery," Eminem
"Need You Now," Lady Antebellum
"The Fame Monster," Lady Gaga
"Soldier of Love," Sade



(Possible)
"B.O.B. Presents the Adventures of Bobby Ray," B.O.B.
"The Blueprint III," Jay-Z
"To the Sea," Jack Johnson
"Teenage Dream," Katy Perry
"Live at the Troubadour," James Taylor and Carole King

(Long shots)
"Thank Me Later," Drake
"The Element of Freedom," Alicia Keys
"Revolution," Miranda Lambert
"The ArchAndroid (Suites II and III)," Janelle Monae
"The Resistance," Muse
"Raymond v. Raymond," Usher



GURU'S COMMENTARY: The past three years, the Grammys have nominated one album from each genre. If the pattern continues, then I expect Eminem to represent the rap field. Eminem is a previous two-time nominee in this category for "The Marshall Mathers LP" (in 2000) and "The Eminem Show" (in 2002).  Jay-Z has yet to be nominated for album of the year. It is very likely this year that the one-from-each-genre pattern could be broken and there may be two rap albums nominated for album of the year. It has happened twice previously with Eminem's "The Eminem Show" and Nelly's "Nellyville" in 2002, and in 2003, album of the year winner Outkast 's "Speakerboxxx/The Love Below" and Missy Elliot's "Under Construction. 

Lady Gaga was nominated for album of the year and is likely to remain for her followup EP "The Fame Monster." It would be similar to Michael Jackson's "HIStory: Past, Present and Future" album of the year nomination (in 1995), which was a greatest hits album sold with a second disc of new material. Lady Gaga will represent the Pop field.  Other pop field possibilities are James Taylor and Carole King's "Live at the Troubadour, " Katy Perry's "Teenage Dream"  and Jack Johnson's "To The Sea."

Lady Antebellum's "Need You Now" was the biggest-selling album of 2010 until Eminem dethroned them. Expect Lady Antebellum to represent the country field.  Miranda Lambert's "Revolution" is the only other strong country competitor.

Sade is a veteran and is possible to represent the R&B Field. Other possibilities in R&B are Alicia Keys' "The Element of Freedom," Usher's "Raymond v. Raymond" and Janelle Monae's "The ArchAndroid (Suites II and III)."

The critically acclaimed "The Suburbs" by Arcade Fire hopes to get upgraded and represent the alternative field for album of the year.  Muse's "The Resistance" is also possible to represent the rock field.

Photos: Lady Gaga (Interscope), Sade (Sony), Lady Antebellum (Capitol), Arcade Fire (Merge)

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