It doesn't matter anymore that Hugh Laurie ("House") won TV drama actor of 2006 and 2008 at the SAG Awards. He won't even be nominated at the next batch of kudos to be bestowed by the Screen Actors Guild on Jan. 30, according to our pundit Rob Licuria (AwardsHeaven).

Rob boots Laurie from his lineup of five projected nominees in favor of Steve Buscemi ("Boardwalk Empire"). Rob also predicts Gabriel Byrne ("In Treatment"), Bryan Cranston ("Breaking Bad"), Michael C. Hall ("Dexter") and Jon Hamm ("Mad Men"). Hall won last year.

Memo to Hugh Laurie: Don't give up all hope. Our other pundit, Chris "Boomer" Beachum, includes you in his high five along with Byrne, Cranston, Hall and Hamm.

Below, Boomer breaks down the race for us, according to front-runners, possible contenders and long shots.

BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Front-runners
Simon Baker, "The Mentalist" *
Steve Buscemi, "Boardwalk Empire"
Gabriel Byrne, "In Treatment"
Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad" *
Matthew Fox, "Lost"
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter" *
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men" *
Hugh Laurie, "House" *
Terry O’Quinn, "Lost"
Aaron Paul, "Breaking Bad"

Possible
Kyle Chandler, "Friday Night Lights"
Michael Emerson, "Lost"
Denis Leary, "Rescue Me"
Bill Paxton, "Big Love"
Kiefer Sutherland, "24"