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Tom O'Neil has the inside track on Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and all the award shows.

Category: All My Children

Daytime Emmy predictions: 'Guiding Light' star Crystal Chappell will win best actress

June 23, 2010 |  6:50 am

Over the last month, many posters in our forums volunteered to view the episodes submitted to Daytime Emmy judges as examples of their best work. In an earlier post, they made informed predictions covering whidh show will win best drama series. Below, our poster named GL Fan and our message-boards moderator Matthew "Boidiva02" Cormier analyze and forecast the best-actress derby. Both agree that past winner of best supporting actress, Crystal Chappell ("Guiding Light"), will prevail in lead. See analysis of other categories in our special forum

Crystal chappell emmy

BEST ACTRESS: GL FAN'S PREDIX
(Ranked by likelihood to win)
1.) Crystal Chappell, "Guiding Light"
2.) Maura West, "As the World Turns"
3.) Michelle Stafford, "The Young and the Restless"
4.) Bobbie Eakes, "All My Children"
5.) Sarah Brown, "General Hospital"

GLFAN'S COMMENTARY: All of this year's nominees are previous nominees in either the lead, supporting or younger actress categories. In fact, the only person in this category without a bronzed winged lady is "All My Children's" Bobbie Eakes. It doesn't look like Ms. Eakes will be taking home the Emmy this time around either, but her competition isn't nearly as severe as it has been in the past. Emmy heavy-hitters like Kim Zimmer, Susan Flannery, and Erika Slezak aren't on 2010's final ballot of five. What is even more shocking is that only two of these ladies had that "it" moment in their tape — you know, that shocking revelation that makes a tape jump alive from the regular boring hum drumness that can put Emmy voters to sleep after watching so many tapes.

Previous supporting-actress Emmy winner Crystal Chappell has one of those tapes. Her declaration of love to her "friend" Natalia is not only one of the most talked about moments in soaps last year, it's also one of the best played in all of these leading ladies' reels. Coupled with her poignant monologue in the graveyard and two earlier scenes with Jessica Leccia's Natalia and Emmy winner Justin Deas' Buzz, Chappel's tape is wrought with that soap-opera angst. The writing is surprisingly strong and gives the actress something to really sink her teeth into. It is in that tombstone monologue and later that pivotal scene where Olivia admits to Natalia on her wedding day that she is in love with her that Chappell shines brightest and secures this award.

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Inside track: Daytime Emmy race for best drama series

June 22, 2010 | 10:19 am

In anticipation of the Daytime Emmys this weekend, our forum posters have carefully evaluated the sample episodes submitted by nominees to the judges. We created a whole new message board just for that analysis. Below: discussion from that forum over what show will win best drama series. Matthew "Boidiva02" Cormier predicts "The Bold and the Beautiful" will prevail. Our poster known as BC picks "General Hospital."

General Hospital Bold and the Beautiful Daytime Emmy predictions

BEST DRAMA SERIES: MATTHEW "BOIDIVA02" CORMIER'S PREDIX
(Ranked by likelihood to win)
1. "The Bold and the Beautiful"
2. "The Young and the Restless"
3. "General Hospital"
4. "All My Children"

In most years, this is a race between two series: "General Hospital" (ABC) — which usually wows viewers with a specially produced stunt-laden, special-effects-driven episode — and CBS' "The Young and the Restless," which usually produces some big, heartfelt family drama featuring death and heartbreak to balance each other. This year is not like that at all. The two front-runners this year don't even include ABC's highest-rated soap opera. Instead, the nominees are CBS' "The Bold and the Beautiful" and "The Young and the Restless," and ABC's recently transported-to-Los Angeles "All My Children," which scored a pretty surprising nomination over fellow ABC soap "One Life to Live." ("One Life to Live" had been critically acclaimed all year long.) Also nominated is the previously mentioned "General Hospital," which is not a factor in the race at all this year.

If I were a betting man, my money this year would be on "The Bold and the Beautiful," which last year made history by becoming a victor for the first time. It also become the first half-hour soap opera to win this award since "Ryan's Hope" won in 1979.

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Daytime Emmy nominations snub Anthony Geary and (oh, no!) poor Betty White

May 12, 2010 |  9:48 am

The soap operas leading the Daytime Emmy nominations are "General Hospital" (18) and "The Young and the Restless" (16). Also up for best drama series: "All My Children" and "The Bold and the Beautiful." "Glaring omissions," according to Nelson Branco of TV Guide Canada: "One Life to Live" and "Days of Our Lives."

Daytime Emmy nominations

Major snubs are the big story. Among stars who failed to reap bids are some past Daytime Emmy super-champs like Anthony Geary of "General Hospital," who holds the record for most victories among lead actors (six), five-time winner David Canary of "All My Children" and four-time victor Susan Flannery of "The Bold and the Beautiful." Four-time winner Ellen DeGeneres isn't nominated for best TV talk-show host, but that's because the four-time past champ withdrew her name from competition this year. DeGeneres' self-titled talk show was entered in the program race and did receive a bid.

Oh, yeah, and Susan Lucci ("All My Children") wasn't nominated either, but that's become routine in recent years. Three-time champ Christian LeBlanc ("The Young and the Restless") didn't make the cut either, but he didn't submit his name for competition.

It's shocking that Betty White wasn't nominated for one of the most prominent story lines in soaps over the last year. She portrayed the nasty mother of Stephanie (Susan Flannery) on "The Bold and the Beautiful," who ultimately died in her daughter's arms. Given her recent success hosting "Saturday Night Live," there's been a strong push for White to emcee the Daytime Emmy ceremony to be aired on June 27 by CBS. Now that seems unlikely.

However, the current crop of Daytime Emmy nominations does welcome lots of newcomers, including "The Dr. Oz Show" (best talk show) and Bonnie Hunt (talk show host).

See a full list of nominees here. Below are some sample views of our forum posters. See more here.

BC: No East Coast soaps (although "AMC" is nominated for last year, which was produced in NYC). For the first time in seven years, we'll have a new winner for lead actor … "GH" will win Series for sure.

Addie Love: Lead actress: Love all the nominations. Glad to see Cooper and Flannery left. I think Maura West will take it.

jurisdoctor07: These Emmys are random. "Wheel of Fortune" gets shut out year after year, and now it suddenly has four nominations?

Allan: Biggest disappointment: "Days of Our Lives" should be best show in a landslide and its failure to garner a series nod is disgraceful.

Continue reading »

'Daytime Emmys will go on' … and with a new voting system

March 18, 2010 |  1:06 pm

"Daytime Emmys will go on, but on which network remains a question," says Variety. "The New York-based National Academy of Television Arts & Sciences is in negotiations with at least two networks, according to sources. What is likely is that the ceremony will air June 27 (a Sunday) in the West, likely at the Las Vegas Hilton."

Emmy 19

That's good news because some cynics claimed that the award show might not find any telecaster after its precipitous Nielsen fall in recent years. Back in 2000, the awardscast drew 13 million viewers on ABC. In 2008, it drew just 5.4 million on the same TV network. When it moved to cable last year, landing on the CW, it was seen by merely 2.7 million.

"The program didn't even manage a 1.0 rating among adults 18-49, squeaking out an anemic 0.6/2. Among adults 25-54, the show did just a bit better at a 0.8/2," adds Variety.

Variety also reports that the Daytime Emmys have changed the voting system used to determine who prevails in the acting races.

"The previous procedure included a pre-nomination process in which each soap opera selected two (occasionally three) actors for each performing category," notes the trade paper. "Then, those performers would submit a reel of their work to determine who the final nominees (and winners) would be.

Continue reading »

Daytime Emmys narrow down field with pre-nomination ballot

March 2, 2010 |  1:25 pm

Daytime Emmys The list of performers who made the semi-final cut for consideration for the Daytime Emmys has been released. As per the announcement from the TV academy: "A preliminary drama performer ballot containing each of the six performer categories was assigned to all registered, eligible peer voters from NATAS and the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences. This ballot contained the full list of all entrants submitted from each show and each voter was entitled to select as many candidates as they believed worthy of Emmy consideration. The candidates below who received the highest number of votes for each show in each category now advance to the final at-home screening round. This round, due to be conducted in March and April, 2010, will determine both nominees and winners." See the list at WeLoveSoaps.

However, it turns out the nominating process was even more complex than detailed above. Our good pal Nelson Branco pens a column for TV Guide Canada devoted to daytime dramas and what follows are his initial comments on the nominating process:

Game change, much? Every year, NATAS changes their controversial rules in order to ensure the most accurate results, but it appears one modification may have actually -- egad! -- worked in the Academy’s favour this time. While some, if not all soaps, still bloc-voted in some manner (a few actors told Soapgeist they were unaware of the rule changes and only voted in their in-studio pre-nom vote and not the real ballot -- d'oh!), the majority of show runners were shocked to see who made the industry approved pre-nom ballot after the reveal Friday.

As we all know, certain agendas, politics, and personal issues interfere with nominating the most deserving of performers (for example, Eric Braeden and Trevor St. John), but it was a different story this year when the soap business voted and not just the individual show casts.

Nelson then delineates the differences between the individual show votes and the industry-wide one using "One Life to Live" as an example. He concludes:

By letting the industry vote, it’s clear which pre-nominees have the best chance of earning final nominations without getting anyone’s hopes up unfairly. It’s too bad Trevor St. John, who consistently failed to win the support of his cast come Emmy time, didn’t throw his name in for contention because he’s highly respected and loved by other soaps.

However, this “new” rule doesn’t always work for everyone. Over the weekend, Soapgeist learned that Y&R king Eric Braeden did submit himself for Emmy consideration but failed to show up on the pre-nom ballot.

Below are some reax from our forum posters. See more here.

OLTLfan: Happy to see both Kish boys, Smith, VerDorn and Woods and Kirsten. I can't believe Eddie Alderson didn't make it. And how'd Slezak make it in over Lozano and Strasser without any material?

EmmyLoser: Overall, I really like these! Great to see Sharon Case make the cut in lead for "Y&R," and I think Haiduk and Mitchell are the right choices in the tough battle for supporting actress slots at "Y&R." I'm also happy Minshew is competing in lead. Betty White is on fire, and I'm loving it.

East/west: I would've not prenom Thorsten. John Aniston is a surprise and if tradition is correct he’ll be nominated, b/c so far a veteran "Days" actor has been nom here …. Florencia Lozano should've been here instead of Erika Slezak … Jeanne Cooper needs to stop.

OTHER POSTS:

Prediction: Sandra Bullock will beat Megan Fox for the Razzie

Taylor Swift, Carrie Underwood vie for ACM entertainer of the year award

Get drunk, win Oscar

Can Evan Lysacek win 'Dancing With the Stars' that elusive choreography Emmy?

ABC '20/20' Oscar TV special: 'Before They Were Famous'

Gold Derby nuggets: Oscars selling out ads | Sasha Stone: 'Avatar' to win | 'The Hurt Locker' also top pick for top pic

'Precious' sweeps NAACP Image Awards

ASC focused on 'The White Ribbon'

'The Hurt Locker' sounded like a winner to CAS

'The Hurt Locker' debate: accuracy vs. entertainment

Poll: Do you prefer Sacha Baron Cohen as Oscar host?

Gold Derby nuggets: Oscars odd couple | 'Lost' actors find new work

Will 'The Hurt Locker' team be punished for breaking Oscar rules?

'Hurt Locker' producer apologizes for his 'extremely inappropriate' e-mail

Photo: Emmy Awards statue. Credit: NATAS

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Gold Derby nuggets: 'Avatar' & 'Hurt Locker' win with guilds | Barbara Walters ends Oscars specials | Emmy champ David Canary leaving 'AMC'

February 15, 2010 |  4:29 pm

The Hurt Locker poster • The Art Directors Guild went with the only Oscar nominees contending in the categories of fantasy film -- "Avatar" -- and period picture -- "Sherlock Holmes" -- at its 14th annual kudosfest Saturday. No contemporary films -- including category winner  "The Hurt Locker" -- are in the running at the Oscars, where "The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus," "Nine" and "The Young Victoria" round out the field. Last year "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" won with both groups, while in 2007 "Sweeney Todd" won the Oscar and "There Will Be Blood" took the ADG period prize. ADG

• "The Hurt Locker" edged two of its editing Oscar rivals -- "Avatar" and "District 9" -- as well as "Star Trek" and "Up in the Air" to win the drama category at the 60th annual American Cinema Editors awards on Sunday. The Oscar editing race also includes the cutters for "Inglourious Basterds" and "Precious." Since 1990, the film that came up with the ACE went on to win best picture 13 times. In three of the five years when the ACE barometer was wrong, the editing winner was at least a contender for best picture. The exceptions -- in 2007, when neither "The Bourne Ultimatum" nor "Sweeney Todd" made the final five at the Oscars, and 1999, when the same fate befell "The Matrix" and "Being John Malkovich." The other ACE winners -- "The Hangover" (comedy), "Up" (animated) and "The Cove" (documentary). ACE

Brent Lang reports from Monday's Oscars nominees luncheon: "Directors, actors, and actresses from several of the top films in contention for Academy Awards this year took time out from what was being billed as an informal get together (albeit it one with a red carpet and security worthy of a State of the Union address) to answer questions from a gaggle of reporters about the Oscar ride, getting into character and, of course, what they planned to wear on the big night." Among the tidbits he heard: "Christoph Waltz admits his language skills help with seduction. Vera Farmiga urges flyers not to get behind her baby carriage during check-in. Woody Harrelson isn't clearing off space on his trophy shelf. Carey Mulligan has been stalking Kathryn Bigelow and bumping asses with Quentin Tarantino." THE WRAP

Barbara-walters-mickey-rourke • News doyenne Barbara Walters announced on "The View" Monday morning that her upcoming Oscar night gabfest will be the last after a 29-year run. Her final guests will include Oscar front-runners Sandra Bullock ("The Blind Side") and Mo'Nique ("Precious"). As per the press release, "Walters launched her Oscar night special in 1981 with interviews from Hollywood superstar Brooke Shields and her mother, Teri, country singer Loretta Lynn, 'Dallas' actress Linda Gray, music icon Ringo Starr and model/actress Barbara Bach." The Oscar connection that year was that Sissy Spacek would win the lead actress Academy Award for playing Lynn in "Coal Miner's Daughter." Today Walters said, “This special has been a labor of love for 29 years. I will always remember when Hugh Jackman gave me a private lap dance, or sitting down with the legendary Bette Davis, or being taught to tango by Al Pacino. It’s those priceless moments that have made this special the Oscar tradition that it has become, but I truly feel enough is enough.”

Michael Cieply sat down with rookie producers for the Oscars Bill Mechanic and Adam Shankman. "A film producer by trade -- his 'Corlaine' was nominated this year as best animated feature -- Mr. Mechanic has become the Oscar show’s time cop. The 24 awards, he said, will be allotted four and a half minutes each, for a total of one hour and 48 minutes, if all the speeches are tight. The show’s 13 'acts' -- the singing, dancing and jokes -- get 31 minutes in all. 'How do we get rid of things nobody notices?' is Mr. Shankman’s description of Mr. Mechanic’s favorite question about the show. One such cut: What the two of them describe as introductions of introductions, something Mr. Mechanic found, in an intensive review of the last 13 shows, can add 15 minutes to a broadcast." NEW YORK TIMES

Scott Feinberg has two in-depth interviews with Oscar lead actor contenders Jeff Bridges ("Crazy Heart") and Colin Firth ("A Single Man"). Scott chatted with both of them in the green room of the Lobero Theatre just before their respective tributes from the Santa Barbara filmfest. AND THE WINNER IS

David Canary Emmy Awards • Five-time Emmy champ David Canary is leaving "All My Children" after 27 years. Playing twins Adam and Stuart Chandler netted the actor 11 nominations. But now that the ABC soap has shifted from shooting in Gotham to the L.A., Canary is flying the coop. As Allison Walman writes, " Losing Canary is a major blow. He is not the kind of actor who can be replaced with another star. That doesn't mean the soap won't try, but the scuttlebutt is that when David stops shooting in March, Adam will leave Pine Valley alive. As such, the door will be left open in case Canary changes his mind or chooses to return for a visit ... maybe even an extended visit that would be a story arc?" TV SQUAD

Steve Pond reports that double Oscar nominee Kathryn Bigelow ("The Hurt Locker") has her next job lined up -- "directing the pilot for 'The Miraculous Year,' a potential HBO series created, written and executive produced by John Logan. The series is reportedly a character-driven, contemporary look at the arenas of art and theater -- or, as HBO describes it, 'an examination of a New York family as seen through the lens of a charismatic, self-destructive Broadway composer.'" And, Pond says, "After shooting the pilot, Bigelow is expected to re-team with 'Hurt Locker' screenwriter Mark Boal on 'Triple Frontier,' which is set in a South American hotbed of drugs and crime near the borders of Paraguay, Brazil and Argentina. THE ODDS

Top photo: "The Hurt Locker" poster. Credit: Summit

Middle photo: Barbara Walters and Mickey Rourke on the 2009 Oscar night special. Credit: ABC

Bottom photo: David Canary at the 28th annual Daytime Emmy Awards. Credit: NBC

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Transcript: Our chat during the Daytime Emmy Awards

August 29, 2009 |  9:42 pm

Emmy white bar

More than 600 people joined the chat session we conducted live during the Daytime Emmy telecast on Sunday night. Check out the transcript below.

Here is our exclusive report on who won and what occurred during the ceremony. If you're curious to know who we expected to win in advance of the show, snoop through our posters' predix in these categories: best drama series, lead actor, lead actress, supporting actor, supporting actress, younger actor, younger actress, talk show (entertainment). talk show (informative), talk show host, game show, drama writing, drama directing

See more about the Daytime Emmy in our forums, which are always buzzing with chat about all showbiz awards.

RELATED POSTS

Slugfest at the Daytime Emmys: Christian LeBlanc vs. Anthony Geary

Truly bold Daytime Emmy predix: 'Bold and the Beautiful' will win best drama for the first time ever

Who'll win Daytime Emmy for best supporting actor: Van Hansis or Vincent Irizarry?

Daytime Emmy diva smackdown: Who'll win supporting actress?

Darin Brooks vs. Bryton McClure for Daytime Emmy as best younger actor

Julie Berman or Rachel Melvin to win Daytime Emmy as best younger actress?

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Daytime Emmy predix: 'One Life to Live' or 'All My Children' to win best directing?

August 29, 2009 |  6:42 pm

Our posters Daniel "742" Montgomery and Matthew "Boidiva02" Cormier completely — as in totally, utterly — disagree when handicapping the Daytime Emmy race for best soap directing. They give the three contenders opposite ranking.

Also check out our posters' predix in these races: best drama series, lead actor, lead actress, supporting actor, supporting actress, younger actor, younger actress, talk show (entertainment). talk show (informative), talk show host, game show, drama writing, drama directing. See more Daytime Emmy predix in our forums.

One life to live all my children daytime emmys news

BEST DRAMA SERIES DIRECTING: 742's PREDIX
(Listed by likelihood of winning)
1. "One Life to Live"
2. "Days of Our Lives"
3. "All My Children"

742'S COMMENTARY: Herein lies a battle for the soul of daytime drama ... OK, maybe not, but this race does present an interesting microcosm of daytime's best and worst impulses. It's obvious to me which show should win, but less obvious which will.

"All My Children" delivers a stunt: A tornado is a-comin' to Pine Valley, and its citizens are scattered about town in various forms of distress. The direction emphasizes the production values, and that's unfortunate. The episode is a showcase for lousy CGI, unconvincing green-screen backgrounds, and people and objects falling down in slo-mo. The performances were clearly an afterthought. Even consummate pros like David Canary and Darnell Williams seem like they can scarcely remember their lines. "AMC" was surely inspired by "General Hospital," which has had much success at the Emmys by submitting episodes of hotel fires and train crashes, and Emmy voters liked this mishmash enough to nominate it, so it might win just on the basis of being the most directed.

"One Life to Live" submitted a gimmick. As Rex (John-Paul Lavoisier) is treated for a gunshot wound, he dreams that he is a contestant on a game show to prove he is a worthy father (the dream scenes were filmed on the set of "Who Wants to Be a Millionaire?"). There are moments of visual wit (Rex's life-support monitors transition into game-show monitors) and emotional impact (an overhead shot of a prayer circle), but overall I wasn't impressed. It feels like little more than an excursion to a neighboring set ("OLTL" and "Millionaire" both film in Manhattan), making what should be a life-or-death struggle more an exercise in quirkiness. But perhaps I'm missing something. This episode won the Directors' Guild of America Award.

"Days of Our Lives" submitted good storytelling. Period. To compare it to "AMC" and "OLTL's" submissions is an object lesson in how to do more with less. "Days" also submitted a catastrophic event: an impending plane crash. But unlike "AMC," "Days" keeps it simple. I counted only two sets: the interior of the plane and an office on the ground where family and friends wait for news. Intense turbulence is suggested by effective rattling noises from the fuselage. The emotional urgency is sold by the actors, shown frequently in tight, evocative close-ups. There are no ostentatious effects, no sparks flying, no pyrotechnics, no exterior shots of a CGI plane plummeting. You don't need them. You could have filmed these scenes in a cardboard box and the cast and crew could have sold it.

Continue reading »

Poll: Who'll win the Daytime Emmy for best actress?

August 26, 2009 |  4:51 pm

Bold and the Beautiful One Life to Live

The winner this Sunday will be Susan Haskell ("One Life to Live"), according to our forum posters Matthew "Boidiva02" Cormier and Michael "Emmyloser" Jenkins. Read their expanded views here. Agreeing with them is Nelson Branco of TV Guide Canada, who crows, "Haskell's visceral, jaw-dropping performance is the kind of acting the Academy typically prefers to honor."

But beware: Upsets happen all the time in this race and, as Branco points out, four-time past champ Susan Flannery ("The Bold and the Beautiful") is a formidable dark horse. However, Branco insists that Jeanne Cooper ("Young and the Restless") is really the most deserving nominee. "Cooper was truly the best actress of 2008. Period," he says. "Thanks to her dual role as Kay and Marge, 20-year-old flashbacks and a date with a bottle of whiskey, La Cooper should be taking home her third Emmy Award. (She won last year and she also earned a Lifetime Achievement Award.)"

Also nominated are Debbie Morgan ("All My Children") and Maura West ("As the World Turns"). West pulled off an upset victory just two years ago. What do you think of their chances now?

RELATED POSTS

Slugfest at the Daytime Emmys: Christian LeBlanc vs. Anthony Geary

Truly bold Daytime Emmy predix: 'Bold and the Beautiful' will win best drama for the first time ever

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Daytime Emmy predix: 'One Life to Live' star Susan Haskell will win best actress

Daytime Emmy diva smackdown: Who'll win supporting actress?

Darin Brooks vs. Bryton McClure for Daytime Emmy as best younger actor

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Photo credits:  ABC, CBS 

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Daytime Emmy predix: 'One Life to Live' star Susan Haskell will win best actress

August 26, 2009 |  1:36 pm

Most of our gurus disagree over who'll win this Sunday night at the Daytime Emmys, but Matthew "Boidiva02" Cormier and Michael "Emmyloser" Jenkins concur on who'll prevail in the top diva smackdown: Susan Haskell ("One Life to Live").

Also check out our posters' predix in these races: best drama series, lead actor, lead actress, supporting actor, supporting actress, younger actor, younger actress, talk show (entertainment). talk show (informative), talk show host, game show, drama writing, drama directing. See more Daytime Emmy predix in our forums.

Susan_haskell_One Life to Live

BEST ACTRESS: EMMYLOSER'S PREDIX
(Ranked by likelihood of winning)
1. Susan Haskell, "One Life to Live"
2. Debbie Morgan, "All My Children"
3. Maura West, "As the World Turns"
4. Jeanne Cooper, "The Young and the Restless"
5. Susan Flannery, "The Bold and the Beautiful"

EMMYLOSER'S COMMENTARY: Unlike last year, where the nominees largely underwhelmed with their submissions, these ladies greatly impressed in half as many episodes. This is a great race with five strong submissions, and against weaker competition I can see myself voting for any of them. This is the kind of competition the Daytime Emmys should be about in every category.

To pick a winner, though, I have to go with Susan Haskell. While I had a hard time wrestling her name away from Debbie Morgan's and Maura West's, there's an undeniable gravity to her reel, a power in her performance I can't not root for. Haskell meets the material head on, as Marty discovers the man she's fallen in love with has held her captive, kept her from her son, and orchestrated and participated in her rape years earlier. It's a horrifying realization, and Haskell, rather than deliver mere highly emotional reactions, draws out the horror and the madness of everything that's happened to her. The reel is not only riveting, it's easy to follow, and makes you long to see what comes next. The heft of this material and the strength of the performance may make this reel unstoppable.

Debbie Morgan seems likely to benefit more from the intangibles of Emmy voting than any of the other ladies, and that's why I give her the number two slot. She had year-long buzz for Angie and Jesse's reunion early last year. Her win would be most historic, as she'd be the first African American winner in this category. And while all of the ladies here have Emmys already, it's been the longest since she won hers. Of course, I don't mean to ignore her performance, which is wonderful. Most of the punch comes at the beginning and end of the reel, but the middle doesn't fall flat. After a year of buzz, though, it may leave some voters a little disappointed.

Maura West is largely underestimated in this race, maybe because she won this award two years ago with a much more in-your-face version of the scenario she submits here, Carly and Jack admitting the reasons they can't be with each other. It may be because her show's writers gave her mostly recycled story lines in 2008. West has a great charm on screen, no matter what she or her character is doing, which for the first half of the reel I thought was the saving grace. But once Carly and Jack actually start to discuss their failed and unsustainable relationship, West is fantastically moving. She makes Carly every bit the manipulator she's accused of being, but she makes you feel for her anyway. She is, as Jack says during one scene, a force of nature. If voters compare this reel to the one she submitted two years ago, she won't stand a chance against Haskell or even Morgan. Taken on its own, however, it has a real shot.

Jeanne Cooper and Susan Flannery are a couple of steps behind the others. Both give excellent performances, but neither has enough in her reel to put her in the top tier. Jeanne Cooper does a great job of giving two distinct characters in ritzy Katherine and country gal Marge, but there's nothing else in her reel that sizzles. Typically, a double role is a huge advantage, but the dual role is all that puts Cooper in the race. If these characters were being played by different actress, this reel would not be up for Emmy consideration for anyone. It's also less advantageous than it could be because Marge and Katherine are really only dealing with each other. Cooper interacts mostly with herself.

Susan Flannery, likewise, does a great job as Stephanie has to accept that the love of her life is dying. It's a nice change of pace for Flannery, who more often than not is bullying and bulldozing her way through Emmy reels. But there is just not enough of a spark here to make her a real threat to the top three.

BEST ACTRESS: BOIDIVA02'S PREDIX
(Ranked by likelihood of winning)
1. Susan Haskell, "One Life to Live"
2. Susan Flannery, "The Bold and the Beautiful"
3. Jeanne Cooper, "The Young and the Restless"
4. Debbie Morgan, "All My Children"
5. Maura West, "As the World Turns"

BOIDIVA02'S COMMENTARY: It's the battle of the Susans in this race. You have clear-cut front-runner Susan Haskell submitting a powerhouse tape in which Marty, after months of laying in bed with amnesia, finally remembers some of the truths about her life, including the fact that her former rapist is the man that has nursed her back to health and made her fall in love with him. Marty discovers Todd's many lies, including the fact that she has a son Todd never told her about. She goes through many expressions and emotions that are evident on her face and body but not overly done. Haskell's expertise as an actress is clear as she successfully moves from one emotion to the next.

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Who'll win Daytime Emmy for best supporting actor: Van Hansis or Vincent Irizarry?

August 16, 2009 |  7:08 pm

After examining the same sample episodes (also known as "reels" and "tapes") being evaluated by Daytime Emmy judges, our two gurus have drastically different views of who'll win best supporting actor

Our forums poster Michael "Emmyloser" Jenkins bets on Van Hansis ("As the World Turns"), but our forums moderator Matthew "Boidiva02" Cormier insists that Hansis has nothing in his reel that suggests he can win. Meantime, Boidiva02 picks Vincent Irizarry ("All My Children") for a "natural and effortless" performance, but Emmyloser pooh-poohs same and insists Irizzary has "no chance of winning this category."

Also check out our posters' predix in these races: best drama series, lead actor, lead actress, supporting actor, supporting actress, younger actor, younger actress, talk show (entertainment). talk show (informative), talk show host, game show, drama writing. See more Daytime Emmy predix in our forums.

Van Hansis As the World Turns All My Children Vincent Irizarry

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: EMMYLOSER'S PREDIX
1. Van Hansis, "As the World Turns"
2. Bradford Anderson, "General Hospital"
3. Jeff Branson, "Guiding Light"
4. Vincent Irizarry, "All My Children"
5. Jacob Young, "All My Children"

EMMYLOSER'S COMMENTARY: Rightly, the Emmy should go to Van Hansis. His is the strongest and most complete reel, with a clear story that's well conveyed. Hansis makes us feel every emotion Luke feels and makes those emotions relatable. As an out and proud gay student, Luke has the most rooting value of all the characters, especially given the recent explosion of gay characters in daytime. Hansis is probably also perceived as overdue, which won't hurt him at all.

Bradford Anderson and Jeff Branson make strong candidates as well. Anderson may appeal to voters because his is the only light reel in the bunch and is quite funny at times, though it may be too short to make an impact. Branson's acting throughout his reel is excellent, even if extremely subtle, but the episode feels too much like we've just entered a conversation halfway through. Nonviewers aren't given enough context to understand the character's motivations or state of mind, so the work is difficult to fully appreciate.

Despite all the voter support "All My Children" seemed to get this year, Vincent Irizarry and Jacob Young should have no chance of winning this category. Irizarry's episode has a good arc, but he plays it flatly. There's nothing interesting in the performance. Young doesn't adequately convince us of what his character, JR, is saying. This is not a man who is losing the love of his life.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: BOIDIVA02'S PREDIX
1. Vincent Irizarry, "All My Children"
2. Jeff Branson, "Guiding Light"
3. Van Hansin, "As the World Turns"
4. Jacob Young, "All My Children"
5. Bradford Anderson, "General Hospital"

BOIDIVA02'S COMMENTARY: Vincent Irizarry is the veteran actor in this group, and I believe he will prevail because of this fact. The character he portrays, David, is distraught and suicidal after his daughter Babe's death and is about to kill himself when Krystal, Babe's mother, persuades him to spare his life. After she does so, they rehash old wounds and eventually make peace with his actions and the consequences therefore of his life.  His performance is one that shows an experienced actor overcoming writing that was somewhat abrupt.  His performance felt natural and effortless despite writing that called for too many emotions to overlap.

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Truly bold Daytime Emmy predix: 'Bold and the Beautiful' will win best drama for the first time ever

August 11, 2009 | 11:14 am

If our pundits are correct, a breakthrough will occur at the Daytime Emmys on Aug. 30. After airing 22 years on CBS, "The Bold and the Beautiful" will finally claim its first victory as best soap. "The Bold and the Beautiful" has only been nominated for the top Daytime Emmy several times and it's never been given much hope to win in the past because of its screen-time disadvantage. It's a half-hour series competing against one-hour rivals.

Susan Flannery Bold and the Beautiful

However, two gurus from our forums believe it will prevail: our moderator Matthew "Boidiva02" Cormier and poster Edward "Bamaed" Applegate. They arrived at this decision based upon careful scrutiny of the same sample episodes submitted by nominees to Emmy judges. Below, their analysis, starting first with Boidiva02. Read more noodling on this race and others in our forums.

BEST DRAMA SERIES: BOIDIVA02'S PREDIX
(Ranked in likelihood of winning)
1.) "The Bold and the Beautiful" 
2.) "Days of Our Lives"
3.) "All My Children"

BOIDIVA02'S COMMENTARY: After viewing the tapes for this category, I believe that the only show worthy of a win is "The Bold and the Beautiful," which submitted two excellent episodes about the suicide of Storm Logan.

In the episodes, Katie Logan (Heather Tom) is in the hospital after being shot by her brother Storm (by accident) and needs a new heart to survive. After all possibilities have been exhausted and Katie is still without a heart, a guilt-ridden Storm takes a gun to his head and kills himself, after leaving a note expressing he wants his heart to be transplanted into his sister.  Katherine Kelly Lang as Brooke Logan is the centerpiece of these episodes. She is the one who finds Storm (her brother) following his death and is the last one to have seen him alive -- when she became angry with him, thinking he had purposely shot Katie.

The episodes use some very effective acting to make the characters come to life. A flashback sequence, which utilizes childhood home videos of him and his sisters, effectively captures Storm's anguish in making his decision to kill himself for his sister's sake. The last few moments of Storm's heart being transplanted into Katie and then finally beating are a fitting end to  an emotional hour. This is the only Emmy submission that resonates after you've watched the tapes.

"All My Children" submitted an episode in which a tornado hits Pine Valley. Although it's a good example of special effects and is done well in that regard, the overall result is boring, with too many characters  shown on screen without any powerful moments or any big effect. It could have been a masterful submission but, with special effects at center stage, no character interaction is strong enough to capture viewers' attention. The most affecting moment comes near the end of the tape, when, after the storm has passed, J.R. Chandler's wife, Babe, and son, little Adam, are trapped underneath some rubble. The only way to save little Adam is to move a piece of rubble that has trapped Babe. However, removing it would kill her. In this moment, Amanda Baker as Babe and Jacob Young as J.R. do a good job of showing an emotional current that lingers. But this lackluster tape doesn’t have any true emotional arch and fails to make a lasting impact in the way that "B&B's" tape did.

"Days of Our Lives" did a wonderful job of matching "B&B's" tape, with an episode that very well could have been produced as a prime-time drama episode. In the show, various citizens of Salem are trapped inside a plane that has been rigged with a bomb. They are losing oxygen and have almost no fuel left. They're about to crash.  During the chaos, Kayla's father, Shawn, decides to take off his oxygen mask to save it for other people, and he ends up dying because of it. This is one of a handful of affecting moments that take place on this plane. The timing is right on, and it has all the makings of a great episode, but ultimately the character interactions are just too few and far between. It's a solid effort, but I don’t think it will match "B&B's" bold choices.

Both "Days" and "Bold" make strong episode selections, and it will come down to viewer preference. Some will prefer the more heartfelt writing of "Bold" and others the more action-packed writing of "Days." In the end, I think CBS will win.   If "AMC" wins, it is not based on watching these tapes at all.

BEST DRAMA SERIES: BAMAED'S PREDIX
1.) "The Bold & the Beautiful"
2.) "Days of Our Lives"
3.) "All My Children"

BAMAED'S COMMENTARY: To me, this should be clear cut. All three shows sent in a spectacle but done in three completely different ways. "B&B" should win by a mile. Despite the fact that it starts off with Ronn Moss trying to emote (painful), then William deVry comes on screen and grounds everything in realism. This is true soap opera. It involves family, drama, tragedy, history and repercussions. The acting, writing and direction were spot-on perfect. The shock of Storm's suicide wasn't over the top. It was touching and sad. But to use that as a springboard to save Katie was brilliant. Katherine Kelly Long played comfortably numb to perfection. A mix of stunt with family drama, which was done well. It should win.

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