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Tom O'Neil has the inside track on Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and all the award shows.

Category: Black Eyed Peas

Grammy experts' smackdown: Will Taylor Swift or Kings of Leon win best record and song?

January 28, 2010 |  6:29 am

You've read who our forum moderators Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch and David "Guru" Schnelwar and I believe will win the top four Grammy Awards this Saturday. Now let's go to the videotape. Darrin and I recently got together in Los Angeles to connect with David (who's on the East Coast) via webcam. Check out our first two clashes below. David believes that Taylor Swift will prevail in races for best record and song with "You Belong With Me." Darrin and I say the champ will be "Use Somebody" by Kings of Leon, but we all agree that Beyoncé may be a threat too.

Check out their detailed written analysis of the best-record contest here, plus see what we think about the contests for best album, best song and new artist.

Our first video slugfest below is over the best-record contest. Below that, best song.


RELATED LINKS

Will Taylor Swift or Kings of Leon win the award for best record at the Grammys?

Prediction: Taylor Swift will grab Grammy crown for best album of the year

Grammy battle over best song: Taylor Swift, Beyoncé or Kings of Leon?

Will the Zac Brown Band or Keri Hilson win the Grammy for best new artist?

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Prediction: Taylor Swift will grab Grammy crown for best album of the year

January 26, 2010 | 10:35 am

While our forum moderators Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch and David "Guru" Schnelwar disagree strongly on who will win the Grammy Award for best record of the year on Sunday (CBS, 8 p.m. ET/PT), they're in perfect harmony on who will claim the crown for best album: Taylor Swift.

Check out what we all think about these Grammy battles: best record, best song and best new artist.

Taylor swift

ALBUM OF THE YEAR
"I Am ... Sasha Fierce" -- Beyoncé
"The E.N.D. (Energy Never Dies)" -- Black Eyed Peas
"Big Whiskey and the GrooGrux King" -- Dave Matthews Band
"The Fame" -- Lady Gaga
"Fearless" -- Taylor Swift — Guru, DoubleD

GURU'S COMMENTARY: As I predicted, this is the third year in a row that each nominated album is from a different genre field:  Beyoncé (R&B), Black Eyed Peas (pop), Dave Matthews Band (rock), Lady Gaga (dance) and Taylor Swift (country).

The third time was the charm for Beyoncé and the Black Eyed Peas finally to be nominated for album of the year, but I do not think they are going to win.

Lady Gaga's meteoric success has continued to get bigger and bigger lately. It will be interesting to see if the Grammys finally honor dance music in the top categories.

The Dave Matthews Band is a strong possibility to win, but it failed to receive expected nominations for best rock song and best rock performance by a duo or group with vocals.

Taylor Swift's "Fearless" was the biggest-selling album of 2009 and will in all likelihood win this.

DOUBLED'S COMMENTARY: Despite its multiple hit singles, the Black Eyed Peas won't be winning such a prestigious category. Their album received terrible reviews across the board.

Gaga is out too; voters usually don't award lightweight dance/pop in this category (and new artists rarely win here anyway).

Continue reading »

Will Taylor Swift or Kings of Leon reign at the Grammys?

January 21, 2010 |  7:20 am

Gold Derby's resident Grammy experts — forum moderators David "Guru" Schnelwar and Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch — clash over who they predict will win the Grammy Award for best record of the year on Jan. 31. Personally, I agree with DoubleD that Kings of Leon will prevail, but that tune's old news, and the group lacks the perky sex appeal of Taylor Swift, who seems to rule joyously over all musicdom these days. So Guru maybe is right. I just happen to think that voters will give Taylor the award for best album plus a few more trophies in the lower-tier categories and consider that sufficient reward. Frankly, "You Belong With Me" just strikes me as being too artistically lightweight to be given such a prestigious prize. "Use Somebody" is a haunting masterwork.

Taylor swift grammys kings of leon news

BEST RECORD OF THE YEAR: DOUBLED'S PREDIX
Beyoncé, "Halo"
Black Eyed Peas, "I Gotta Feeling"
Kings of Leon, "Use Somebody" -- X
Lady Gaga, "Poker Face"
Taylor Swift, "You Belong With Me"

DOUBLED'S COMMENTARY: In this category, Grammy voters favor rock bands and pop-rock songs with live instruments. Kings of Leon should easily win here unless Swifts wins as part of a coronation sweep.


RECORD OF THE YEAR: GURU'S PREDIX
"You Belong With Me" - Taylor Swift --X

GURU'S COMMENTARY: This is the fourth time Beyoncé has been nominated for record of the year ("Say My Name," "Crazy in Love" and "Irreplaceable"). "Halo" is not as big a hit as her previously nominated songs. Her bigger hit "Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It)" was submitted for song of the year, not record of the year.  I think this was a strategic mistake and lessened her chances of winning this category.

This is the third nomination for the Black Eyed Peas for record of the year ("Where Is the Love" and "Let's Get It Started"). "I Gotta Feeling" opened the Grammy nominations prime-time TV special and was the theme song of the show.  The Black Eyed Peas had a noteworthy year by having a combined Billboard Singles Chart run of 20 six weeks for their songs "Boom Boom Pow" and "I Gotta Feeling."  However, they received no music-video rotation on MTV or VH1. I gotta feeling that the Black Eyed Peas are not going to win in this category.

Continue reading »

Who'll nab Grammy bids for best album: Lady Gaga, Taylor Swift, Black Eyed Peas, U2 or Green Day?

November 24, 2009 |  6:44 am

Our forums moderator David "Guru" Schnelwar and I have already dished who we think will score bids for best record of the year when Grammy nominations are unveiled on Dec. 2. Below, we duke it out over best album and add the views of our other forums moderator Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch. See his text write-up below; he'll join us in the future for video slugfests. We all agree that top contenders for this Grammy trophy include Beyonce, Black Eyed Peas, Green Day, Kanye West, Lady GagaTaylor Swift, U2 and Whitney Houston.


BEST ALBUM Dortch O'Neil Schnelwar
"The E.N.D.," Black Eyed Peas  

X

 
"Together Through Life," Bob Dylan    

X

"21st Century Breakdown," Green Day

X

X

X

"The Fame," Lady Gaga

 

X

"BlackSummers' Night," Maxwell

X

X

X

"Twang," George Strait

X

 

 
"Fearless," Taylor Swift

X

X

X  

"No Line on the Horizon," U2

X

 

 



ALBUM OF THE YEAR: SCHNELWAR'S PREDIX
FRONT-RUNNERS
"Together Through Life," Bob Dylan
"21st Century Breakdown," Green Day
"The Fame," Lady Gaga
"BlackSummers' Night," Maxwell
"Fearless," Taylor Swift

POSSIBLE
"I Am...Sasha Fierce," Beyonce
"The E.N.D. (Energy Never Dies)," Black Eyed Peas
"I Told You So," Whitney Houston
"No Line On The Horizon," U2
"808's And Heartbreak," Kanye West


ALBUM OF THE YEAR: DORTCH'S PREDIX
FRONT-RUNNERS
"21st Century Breakdown," Green Day
"BlackSummers' Night," Maxwell
"Twang," George Strait
"Fearless," Taylor Swift
"No Line on the Horizon," U2
 
POSSIBLE
"Black Ice," AC/DC
"I Am . . . Sasha Fierce," Beyonce
"The E.N.D.," Black Eyed Peas
"Big Whiskey & the Groogrux King," Dave Matthews Band
"Together Through Life," Bob Dylan
"Relapse," Eminem
"I Look to You," Whitney Houston
"The Fame," Lady Gaga
"Dark Horse," Nickelback
"Working on a Dream, Bruce Springsteen
"808s & Heartbreak," Kanye West
"It's Blitz!" Yeah Yeah Yeahs
 
DOUBLED'S COMMENTARY: This category is ridiculously weak this year. ANYONE could get a nomination. Swift is in for obvious reasons and I think the country voting bloc will get George Strait, a well-respected veteran, a nod here as well. Maxwell will get the R&B vote over Beyonce and Whitney Houston since his album has been so well received. Past nominees/winners Green Day and U2 are likely, but I wouldn't be surprised if Lady Gaga or even the BEPs replaced them. Even an under-the-radar act like Yeah Yeah Yeahs, whose album is critically acclaimed, could surprise with a nod here.

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Who'll nab bids for best record at the Grammys: Kings of Leon, Lady Gaga, Taylor Swift, Black Eyed Peas?

November 22, 2009 |  3:15 pm

Who'll nab Grammy bids for best record of the year when nominations are announced Dec. 2? Below, I square off with predix against our Grammy forum moderators David "Guru" Schnelwar and Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch. Schnelwar was available for a video chat about this contest; we'll catch up with Dortch later via webcam. Meantime, his views are written below. All of us agree that top contenders include Beyonce, Black Eyed Peas, Green Day, Kings of Leon, Lady Gaga, Taylor Swift and U2.


(NOTE: Apologies for a bizarre scratching noise that can be heard here and there in the video. I don't know what it is!)




BEST RECORD Dortch O'Neil Schnelwar
"I Gotta Feeling,"  Black Eyed Peas

X

X

X

"21 Guns," Green Day    

X

"Use Somebody," Kings of Leon

X

X

X

"Poker Face," Lady Gaga

X

X

"Pretty Wings," Maxwell

X

 

   

"Run This Town," Jay-Z featuring Rihanna and Kanye West  

X

 
"You Belong With Me," Taylor Swift

X

X

X


RECORD OF THE YEAR: SCHNELWAR'S PREDIX
FRONT-RUNNERS
"I Gotta Feeling," Black Eyed Peas
"21 Guns," Green Day
"Use Somebody," Kings Of Leon
"Poker Face," Lady Gaga
"You Belong With Me," Taylor Swift

POSSIBLES
"Halo," Beyonce
"Run This Town," Jay-Z featuring Rihanna and Kanye West
"Hot N Cold," Katy Perry
"Working on a Dream," Bruce Springsteen
"I'll Go Crazy If I Don't Go Crazy Tonight," U2


*****

RECORD OF THE YEAR: DORTCH'S PREDIX
FRONT-RUNNERS
"I Gotta Feeling," Black Eyed Peas
"Use Somebody," Kings of Leon
"Poker Face," Lady Gaga
"Pretty Wings," Maxwell
"You Belong With Me," Taylor Swift
 
POSSIBLES
"Halo," Beyonce
"Blame It," Jamie Foxx
"You Found Me," The Fray
"21 Guns," Green Day
“Kids,” MGMT
“Fireflies,” Owl City
"Heartless," Kanye West
"Get on Your Boots," U2


"I Gotta Feeling" spent 14 consecutive weeks at No. 1 on the Hot 100. The last song that accomplished that feat, Mariah Carey's "We Belong Together," garnered a nod here. I think the BEPs are in, as is Lady Gaga, who is having a banner year.


The remaining nominees will be a mix of pop/rock and urban artists, though I have a sneaky suspicion NARAS will dig the more traditional sounds of Maxwell. Look for some surprising general-field love for him. Taylor Swift and Kings of Leon are safe bets here, but Owl City's No. 1 hit "Fireflies" is peaking right during Grammy voting, so watch out. Voter faves like U2, Kanye, Beyonce, etc., could show up here too.


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Grammy predix: Taylor Swift, Lady Gaga and Black Eyed Peas will be nominated for best record of the year

September 3, 2009 | 10:39 am

Since Grammy nominations for best record of the year are chosen by a secret committee of 25 people with uncertain tastes and agendas, they're not easy to predict. However, our kudos prophets David "Guru" Schnelwar and Darrin "DoubleD" Dortch, who moderate our forums, agree on three of the final five contenders: Black Eyed Peas ("Boom Boom Pow" or "I Gotta Feeling"), Lady Gaga ("LoveGame" or "Poker Face") and Taylor Swift ("Love Story" or "You Belong With Me").

I agree with DoubleD that Kings of Leon's "Use Somebody" is also a front-runner. Guru has it ranked merely as a possibility, but I'll be flabbergasted if it's not nominated in November. (I think it would win if voting occurred right now.) Awards will be presented on Jan. 31.

So . . . hmmm . . . maybe these nominees actually will be easy to predict this year, after all? Check out DoubleD's and Guru's predix for best album of the year here.

Taylor Swift Lady Gaga Grammys

RECORD OF THE YEAR: DOUBLED'S PREDIX
(Front-runners)
"Boom Boom Pow" or "I Gotta Feeling," Black Eyed Peas
"Blame It," Jamie Foxx
"Use Somebody," Kings of Leon
"Poker Face," Lady Gaga
"Love Story" or "You Belong With Me," Taylor Swift
 
(Possible)
"Hometown Glory," Adele
"Halo" or "Single Ladies" (if eligible), Beyonce
"You Found Me," the Fray
"21 Guns," Green Day
"Pretty Wings," Maxwell
"Heartless," Kanye West
"Get On Your Boots," U2
 
DOUBLED'S COMMENTARY: I'd be surprised if the Black Eyed Peas and Lady Gaga weren't nominated for best record. Their songs have been ubiquitous this year. Plus, the Peas are past nominees in this category, and Gaga is this year's biggest breakout star.

After that, this category is up for grabs. Jamie Foxx or Maxwell will probably represent the R&B vote; my money's on Foxx since "Blame It" was such a huge hit. Earlier this year, Kings of Leon beat out some heavyweights (including Coldplay, Eagles, AC/DC and Radiohead) for the rock duo/group Grammy. "Use Somebody" is currently exploding on radio; it's in the top five on the Billboard Hot 100 and has brought the underrated band some surprising commercial success.

Finally, Taylor Swift is, arguably, the biggest pop/country star on the planet right now, and her country singles have done extremely well on the pop charts; she's a safe bet. If any of those choices fall though, expect any of the past nominees for record of the year — Beyonce, Kanye, U2, Adele, Green etc. — to return. Or the Fray's hugely popular "You Found Me" could surprise, though I suspect it'll end up in the song-of-the-year category instead.


RECORD OF THE YEAR: GURU'S PREDIX
(Front-runners)
"Halo"  or "Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It)," Beyonce
"Boom Boom Pow" or "I Gotta Feeling," Black Eyed Peas
"21 Guns," Green Day
"Love Game" or "Poker Face," Lady Gaga
"Love Story" or "You Belong With Me," Taylor Swift

(Possible)
"Knock You Down," Keri Hilson featuring Ne-Yo & Kanye West
"Run This Town," Jay-Z featuring Rihanna & Kanye West
"Use Somebody," Kings of Leon
"Hot 'N' Cold" or "Waking Up in Vegas," Katy Perry
"Working on A Dream," Bruce Springsteen
"Get On Your Boots" or "Magnificent" or "I'll Go Crazy if I Don't Go Crazy Tonight," U2
"Heartless," Kanye West 
 
GURU'S COMMENTARY: Taylor Swift is the biggest country crossover artist since Shania Twain.  Swift started 2009 off with "Love Story" and now is getting huge airplay for "You Belong With Me."
 
Two-time record-of-the-year nominees the Black Eyed Peas just made Billboard Hot 100 chart history for "Boom Boom Pow" and "I Gotta Feeling," being No. 1 for a total of 20 weeks. The only negative is that both songs were not played on VH1.

2005 record-of-the-year winner Green Day is hoping for its third nomination in this category.

Continue reading »

Taylor Swift, Green Day and Kanye West will nab noms for best album, our Grammy seers say

August 24, 2009 |  9:27 am

Since the cut-off date for Grammy eligibility is approaching (Aug. 31), it's time for award nuts like us to start predicting the top races. Sure, nominations won't be revealed until December, but, hey, that just means we have more time to noodle, argue, harrumph and pontificate.

Of course, nobody's better at that than David "Guru" Schnelwar and Darrin "Double D" Dortch, moderators of our Grammy forums. Below, they offer their early forecast for the album of the year category. Curiously, they agree on three of five nominees: Green Day's "21st Century Breakdown," Taylor Swift's "Fearless" and Kanye West's "808s & Heartbreak."

While reading their expanded views, keep in mind the voting process used by the National Academy of Recording Arts & Sciences. All 16,000 members may cast ballots for the top four awards known as the general field — best record, song, album and new artist — but their input only has partial weight. They merely whittle down the list of contenders in each race to a top 20. Thereafter, music of those finalists is listened to by a secret committee of 25 music experts who gather in a Los Angeles hotel for a weekend and choose the final five in those four categories.

Taylor Swift Lada Gaga Kanye West

ALBUM OF THE YEAR: GURU'S PREDIX
(Front-runners)
"Together Through Life," Bob Dylan
"21st Century Breakdown," Green Day
"The Fame," Lady Gaga
"Fearless," Taylor Swift
"808s & Heartbreak," Kanye West
 
(Possible)
"Black Ice," AC/DC
"I Am . . . Sasha Fierce," Beyonce
"The E.N.D. (Energy Never Dies)," Black Eyed Peas
"Big Whiskey & The GrooGrux King," Dave Matthews Band
"Relapse," Eminem
"I Look to You," Whitney Houston
"BLACKsummers'night," Maxwell
"Lotus Flower," Prince
"Working on a Dream," Bruce Springsteen
"No Line on the Horizon," U2
"Wilco (The Album)," Wilco

GURU'S COMMENTARY: In the past two years, the album of the year race has had a single representative from each genre.

Example: In 2008 — Robert Plant & Alison Kraus (folk), Coldplay (rock), Lil Wayne (rap), Ne-Yo (R&B) and Radiohead (alternative).

Example: In 2007 — Herbie Hancock (jazz), Foo Fighters (rock), Vince Gill (country), Kanye West (rap), Amy Winehouse (pop)

This pattern is not set in stone, but I expect that this year will be no different.

Taylor Swift's "Fearless" is the biggest-selling album of 2009. Swift performed on the 2008 Grammy nomination special and telecast without any nominations. That is usually a good indicator. I expect Taylor Swift to represent the country field in the album of the year race.

Continue reading »

PODCAST: 'Guru' speaks! Behold, this year's first gutsy Grammy predix!

October 10, 2007 |  3:40 pm

Bruce

As everyone in our message boards knows, forums moderator David "Guru" Schnelwar is really an ultimate Grammy Guru — a bona-fide expert, David is. If no one has yet, officially, given him that title, then I do so right now at the same time I implore him to, please . . . HELP! Tell us, David: What's going to be nominated for the top three races: record, album and new artist of the year?

The eligibility period just passed at the end of September. Nominations aren't due out till Dec., 6, but you know award lunatics like us — we can't wait till then to start prognostication. Gotta know now, now, now.

Here, below, is the text rundown. David and I also had a separate chat on the phone, which I recorded and turned into a nifty podcast that you can listen to and I recommend that you do so — CLICK HERE! (Note: You may need to hold down your computer's control key while clicking!

HERE ARE THE PREDICTIONS (AND WORDS) OF DAVID 'GURU' SCHNELWAR:


RECORD OF THE YEAR
Feist - "1234"
Rihanna f/ Jay - "Umbrella"
Bruce Springsteen - "Radio Nowhere"
Kanye West - "Stronger"
Amy Winehouse - "Rehab"

Other Possibilities
Beyonce - "Irreplaceable"
Nelly Furtado - "Say It Right"
Maroon 5 - "Makes Me Wonder"
Corinne Bailey Rae - "Like A Star"
Gwen Stefani f/ Akon - "The Sweet Escape"

This was a unpredictable year of music until we came closer to the end of the eligibility period.

Bruce Springsteen has been nominated previously three times for record of the year ("Born in the U.S.A.," "Dancing in the Dark" and "Streets of Philadelphia") and has never won. In the past eight years, four rock songs have won record of the year.

Rihanna f/ Jay-Z - "Umbrella" is too big a song to ignore. Several Best Rap/Sung Collaboration winners have been nominated in this category. ("Dilemma," "Crazy in Love," "Where is the Love" and "Yeah").

Kanye West is the biggest Rap artist out there and has the momentum to get nominated for his hit "Stronger."

Amy Winehouse's "Rehab" created a tremendous buzz because of its lyrics. It looks like a serious contender.

Feist's "1234" after months of airplay on VH1 and now on a very catchy iPod commercial, may now be a real possibility.

Continue reading »

First Grammy predictions are in!

January 3, 2006 |  3:23 am

U2 How to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb

Let's all sing the praises of Chris Willman of Entertainment Weekly for being the first topnotch music pundit to tell us who he's predicting will win eight leading Grammy races on Feb. 8.

Unfortunately, we don't know why Chris is making these forecasts. "I'm up in the mountains with the barest of Internet access!" he said by email over the holiday weekend, so we didn't press him to elaborate. We'll bug him later when he comes down from the mountaintop, hopefully with some clay tablets offering divine insight.

Meantime, "here goes nothing," Chris says most modestly. I advise all skeptics to take his gutsy forecasts seriously, however. In February 2004, when Chris and I competed against a half dozen other Grammy gurus at GoldDerby.com, he won.

RECORD OF THE YEAR
X - "We Belong Together," Mariah Carey
"Feel Good Inc.," Gorillaz featuring De La Soul
"Boulevard of Broken Dreams," Green Day
"Hollaback Girl," Gwen Stefani
"Gold Digger," Kanye West

ALBUM OF THE YEAR
"The Emancipation of Mimi," Mariah Carey
"Chaos and Creation in the Backyard," Paul McCartney
"Love, Angel, Music, Baby," Gwen Stefani
X - "How to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb," U2
"Late Registration," Kanye West

SONG OF THE YEAR
"Bless the Broken Road"
"Devils & Dust"
"Ordinary People"
X - "Sometimes You Can't Make It on Your Own"
"We Belong Together"

BEST NEW ARTIST
Ciara
Fall Out Boy
Keane
X - John Legend
Sugarland

BEST R&B ALBUM
"Illumination," Earth, Wind & Fire
"Free Yourself," Fantasia
X - "Unplugged," Alicia Keys
"Get Lifted," John Legend
"A Time to Love," Stevie Wonder

BEST MALE POP VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Jack Johnson, "Sitting, Waiting, Wishing"
Paul McCartney, "Fine Line"
Seal, "Walk on By"
X - Rob Thomas, "Lonely No More"
Stevie Wonder, "From the Bottom of My Heart"

BEST FEMALE COUNTRY VOCAL PERFORMANCE
Emmylou Harris, "The Connection"
Faith Hill, "Mississippi Girl"
Gretchen Wilson, "All Jacked Up"
X - Lee Ann Womack, "I May Hate Myself in the Morning"
Trisha Yearwood, "Georgia Rain"


BEST RAP SONG
"Candy Shop," Curtis Jackson & Scott Storch, songwriters (50 Cent featuring Olivia)
X - "Diamonds from Sierra Leone," D. Harris & Kanye West, songwriters; (J. Barry & D. Black, songwriters) (Kanye West)

"Don't Phunk with My Heart," William Adams, Printz Board, Stacy Ferguson & George Pajon, Jr., songwriters; (Kalyanji Anandji, Full Force & Indeewar, songwriters) (The Black Eyed Peas)

"Hate It or Love It," Curtis Jackson, A. Lyon, Jayceon Taylor & M. Valenzano, songwriters; (Baker, Felder & Harris, songwriters) (The Game featuring 50 Cent)

"Lose Control," M. Elliott, C. Harris & G. Isaacs III, songwriters; (J. Atkins, R. Davis & C. Hudson, songwriters) (Missy Elliott featuring Ciara & Fat Man Scoop)

Photo: Music reporter Chris Willman believes U2's "Atomic Bomb" will decimate the competition in the album and song of the year contests.
(Interscope Records)


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