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Tom O'Neil has the inside track on Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and all the award shows.

Category: Californication

Do early awards foretell Emmy luck for 'Glee'?

March 24, 2010 |  9:13 am

Thanks go to our forums poster thedemonhob for compiling a nifty list of TV awards info that's helpful as we spy the Emmy derby ahead. As all awardologists know, precursor prizes can strongly affect the big trophy contests. Therefore, it's important to know, for example, how "Curb Your Enthusiasm" fared in the past as we size up its future potential. It's easy to forget how formidable it might be considering that it had to sit out last year's derby because new episodes didn't air during the eligibility period. But check out the list below and note that it's been nominated for best comedy series five times.

Glee TV Fox news

Also, it's helpful to project the Emmy prospects of "Glee," which skews much younger than the demo of the typical TV academy voter. Below are two sample categories: best comedy series and lead actor. Info on the Golden Globe and guild awards applies only to the past year; all past Emmy noms and wins are noted.) Other top Emmy races are featured in the forum discussion too.


  • "Californication" (PGA nom)
  • "Curb Your Enthusiasm" (2008, 2006, 2004, 2003 and 2002 noms, WGA nom, SAG nom)
  • "Entourage" (2009, 2008 & 2007 noms, GG nom, PGA nom)
  • "Family Guy" (2009 nom)
  • "Glee" (GG win, WGA nom, SAG win)
  • "How I Met Your Mother" (2009 nom)
  • "Modern Family" (GG nom, WGA nom, SAG nom)
  • "The Office" (2006 win, 2009, 2008 & 2007 noms, GG nom, PGA nom, SAG nom)
  • "30 Rock" (2009, 2008 & 2007 wins, GG nom, PGA nom, WGA win, SAG nom)
  • "Weeds" (2009 nom, PGA nom)


  • Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock" (2009 & 2008 win, 2007 nom, GG win, SAG win)
  • Steve Carell, "The Office" (2009, 2008, 2007 & 2006 noms, GG nom, SAG nom)
  • Larry David, "Curb Your Enthusiasm" (2006, 2004 & 2003 noms, SAG nom)
  • David Duchovny, "Californication" (GG nom)
  • Thomas Jane, "Hung" (GG nom)
  • Matthew Morrison, "Glee" (GG nom)
  • Jim Parsons, "The Big Bang Theory" (2009 nom)
  • Tony Shalhoub, "Monk" (2006, 2005 & 2003 wins, 2009, 2008, 2007 and 2004 noms, SAG nom)
  • Charlie Sheen, "Two and a Half Men" (2009, 2008, 2007 and 2006 noms, SAG nom)


Can Rosie O'Donnell grab her old Emmy crown from Ellen DeGeneres?

Upcoming Emmy diva smackdown: 'Nurse Jackie' vs. 'United States of Tara'

Emmy predix for best drama series: 'Breaking Bad,' 'Damages,' 'Dexter,' 'Mad Men' and ...?

Photo: Fox

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As usual, Showtime launches first major campaign of Emmy season

March 12, 2009 |  5:50 pm

Awards-savvy Showtime is the first network to launch its Emmy campaign this year by continuing the digital innovation it introduced last year. Again TV academy members may watch episodes of Showtime's Emmy contenders on line.

Showtime claims that last year's Internet campaign "resulted in academy members tuning in at a rate of approximately four full episodes per member," according to Richard Licata, executive VP of corporate communications. Result of the awards push: 21 Emmy bids, including an historic bid for "Dexter," which joined "Damages" and "Mad Men" as the first non-HBO cable series to be nominated for best drama or comedy series.

On Feb. 28, a new version of the site was unveiled for this year's derby and last week the network shipped out its campaign box directly to voters' homes and offices. Inside each box is a passcode that grants voters access to the "online screening room" (which promises broadcast quality viewing) plus there are four DVDs that include three sample episodes of "Californication" (201, 204, 210), "United States of Tara" (101, 102, 103) and "Weeds" (401, 402, 413). Also inside: two sample episodes of "Brotherhood" (304, 308), "Dexter" (305, 310) "The L Word" (601, 606), "Penn & Teller: Bull…!" (603, 604) "Secret Diary of a Call Girl" (201, 202), "This American Life" (205, 206) and "The Tudors" (301, 302) and one sample episode of "Tracey Ullman's State of the Union" (201).

In April, Showtime will heighten its digital innovation by making its episodes accessible to Emmy voters via iPhones and iPodTouch devices.



Peek inside Showtime's campaign box for 2008-2009 SAG Awards

See Showtime's campaign box for 2008 Emmys

See Showtime's campaign box for 2007 Emmys

Emmy voters view 10,000 Showtime eppys in 10 days (2008)

Photo: Showtime

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Alec Baldwin, Steve Carell, Larry David and Lee Pace will be nommed for best comedy actor

July 16, 2008 |  9:22 am

Just as they did with the drama series lead-acting races, our Emmy prophets and forum moderators — Chris "Boomer" Beachum and Robert "Rob L" Licuria ( — tackled the comedy contenders too. Hampered by the slight handicap of knowing only eight of the top 10 funnymen, our intrepid pair plugged away and agree on the top two nominees: Alec Baldwin ("30 Rock") and Steve Carrell ("The Office") –- and think newcomer Lee Pace of "Pushing Daisies" is on track for a nod also. Beyond that, the field is rather muddy with a trio of semifinalists tying for third place on Boomer's list and fifth place with Rob.


However, both agree that "Everybody Loves Raymond" three-time supporting actor winner Brad Garrett is in last place and unlikely to score his first lead nod for "'Til Death." On the bubble are three-time winner Tony Shalhoub ("Monk") and three-time loser Larry David ("Curb Your Enthusiasm") while Charlie Sheen ("Two and a Half Men") and David Duchovny ("Californication") may be out of the running. Well, at least that's what Boomer and Rob say. I disagree. I expect to see Duchovny nominated.

To find the final five nominees, Boomer and Rob follow the actual voting process. First, they predict the order of the semifinalists as determined by the popular vote by the TV academy's actors' branch.

Here's how Boomer thinks the popular vote tallied — 1. Steve Carrell 2. Alec Baldwin 3. Larry David 4. Lee Pace 5. David Duchovny 6. Charlie Sheen 7. Tony Shalhoub 8. Brad Garrett

How Rob ranks the popular vote outcome — 1. Alec Baldwin 2. Steve Carrell 3. Tony Shalhoub 4. Charlie Sheen 5. Lee Pace 6. Larry David 7. David Duchovny 8. Brad Garrett

My opinion: Boomer has Larry David ranked too high and Charlie Sheen too low. Rob has Shalhoub ranked too high and Duchovny too low.

Here's how Boomer ranks the judges' views of the episodes — 1. Alec Baldwin 2. Steve Carrell 3. Charlie Sheen 4. Tony Shalhoub 5. Lee Pace 6. Larry David 7. David Duchovny 8. Brad Garrett

How Rob thinks the judges ranked episode entries — 1. Alec Baldwin 2. Lee Pace 3. Steve Carrell 4. David Duchovny 5. Larry David 6. Tony Shalhoub 7. Charlie Sheen 8. Brad Garrett

My opinion: 1. Alec Baldwin 2. Lee Pace 3. Steve Carell 4. Tony Shalhoub 5. David Duchovny 6. Charlie Sheen 7. Larry David 8. Brad Garrett

They combine these two results on a 50-50 basis, just like the accountants do, to determine the final ranking of the nominees. The lower the score the higher the chance of being nominated.

(Top five = nominees)
1. Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock" ("Rosemary's Baby") — 2 points
2. Steve Carrell, "The Office" ("Goodbye, Toby") — 5 points
3. Lee Pace, "Pushing Daisies" ("Pie-Lette") — 7 points
4. Tony Shalhoub, "Monk" ("Mr. Monk and the Naked Man") — 9 points
5. Larry David, "Curb Your Enthusiasm" ("The Bat Mitzvah") — 11 points
5. David Duchovny, "Californication" ("The Last Waltz") — 11 points
5. Charlie Sheen, "Two and a Half Men" ("Is There a Mrs. Waffles?") — 11 points
8. Brad Garrett, "'Til Death" ("Swimming With Starks") — 16 points

Rob's commentary: This will be another close race. Despite not even knowing who the last two contenders are, I think that these will likely be the nominees, with Duchovny and Sheen close behind, should the tie result in more than five nominees. I have a good feeling about Pace being nominated in what many will see as a bit of a surprise. Maybe we should call this race off anyway, because it’s more of a Baldwin vs. Carrell showdown isn’t it?

(Top five = nominees)
1. Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock" ("Rosemary's Baby") — 3 points
1. Steve Carell, "The Office" ("Goodbye, Toby") — 3 points
3. Larry David, "Curb Your Enthusiasm" ("The Bat Mitzvah") — 9 points
3. Lee Pace, "Pushing Daisies" ("Pie-Lette") — 9 points
3. Charlie Sheen, "Two and a Half Men" ("Is There a Mrs. Waffles?") — 9 points
6. Tony Shalhoub, "Monk" ("Mr. Monk and the Naked Man") — 11 points
7. David Duchovny, "Californication" ("The Last Waltz") — 12 points
8. Brad Garrett, "'Til Death" ("Swimming With Starks") — 16 points

Photos credits: ABC, USA Network

Seven Emmy geniuses predict Thursday's award nominations

July 14, 2008 |  3:24 pm

Somehow I've managed to coax six suckers brilliant kudos seers to join me in predicting the Emmy nominations that will be announced this Thursday morning: Michael Ausiello (, Matt Webb Mitovich (, Marc Berman (MediaWeek), Ray Richmond (Hollywood Reporter) and our two resident Emmy gurus — our forums moderators Robert "Rob L" Licuria ( and Chris "Boomer" Beachum. To see how we fared predicting the Emmy top 10 lists, CLICK HERE! Below: how we size up the races for best drama and comedy series. To see our predix for best lead actor and actress, CLICK HERE!




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Cable stars make a historic breakthrough in Top 10 Emmy lists

July 3, 2008 |  1:18 pm

Not only is there lots of great Emmy news in the Top 10 lists for best comedy and drama series — "The Wire," "Mad Men," "Damages," and "Family Guy" — but, as of this counting, cable stars have nabbed 18 of the 40 slots for lead actor and actress in a comedy and drama series. That's up from 11 last year.

We still need to fill in two slots for lead comedy actor (it used to be three, but we just learned that "Til Death's" Brad Garrett is in), but so far we already have 38 of the 40 entries in those top acting lineups. So we're nearly done with our snooping. Looks like cable TV has made historic inroads and the TV academy must be cheered for the increasing presence of excellent cable fare in a traditionally broadcast-heavy contest.


As Lisa de Moreas points out in her Washington Post column today (CLICK HERE): "Last year only three of the 10 contenders for a nomination in the drama-series lead actress competition came from cable. This year only three are actresses in broadcast TV series."

Among the most notable entries in the acting Top 10s are three nice surprises certain to make TV critics cheer: Sarah Silverman of Comedy Central's "The Sarah Silverman Program," Bryan Cranston of AMC's "Breaking Bad" and Mary McDonnell of SciFi's "Battlestar Galactica." Plus there are the new cable contenders we expected and are happy to behold: Jon Hamm and Elisabeth Moss ("Mad Men"), Glenn Close ("Damages"), David Duchovny ("Californication") and Gabriel Byrne ("In Treatment"). And lots more in the supporting slots.

The TV academy is experimenting with a relatively new voting process involving these semifinalist runoffs, so it's naturally gun-shy about publicly releasing any info. They did so by officially unveiling the best-series lists, but didn't divulge the acting lineups. So Gold Derby did it for the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences. (We have yet to receive a thank-you note.)

The reason: We want people to see how heroically the TV academy is increasing its process of insisting on careful scrutiny of contenders. Forget the Oscar, Grammy and Tony, the Emmy is the only showbiz peer-group award that demands its voters actually see what they're voting on and there's something fantastically noble about that. Prior to three years ago, nominees were chosen strictly by a popular vote and only the final five in each race were subjected to the same careful judging process that calls for voters to watch representative episodes submitted by contenders as examples of their best work, then sign an affidavit attesting that they viewed everything required before inking their ballots.

The Emmy isn't just any award, it's the most important showbiz prize on the planet because it weighs the work of the most powerful medium in the world: TV. The Oscar is more glamorous and esteemed only because we're a nation of film snobs. We call movies the silver screen, but dismiss TV — which we take for granted, like family, because we view it in our underwear at home while crunching Fritos — as the boob tube. In fact, some episodes of "Mad Men," "Dexter" and "Damages" were better than most, if not all, of the flicks that just won Oscars, right?

I, hereby, officially apologize to the TV academy for outing them these last three years by disclosing the Top 10 lists, but I did it out of profound admiration. I love the Emmy — it's my favorite award by far — and, arguably, it's the most important because, by giving underdogs a serious shot at winning, it's running the fairest contest and one that, in the end, makes an invaluable contribution to the world's most powerful medium.

Bottom line: TV's Golden Girl rescued many brilliant, low-rated TV shows that probably would've been canceled if they hadn't won Emmys, including "Cheers," "All in the Family," "Hill Street Blues," "Picket Fences" and "Cagney and Lacey." In more recent years, it didn't, alas, save "Arrested Development," but by hailing it as best comedy series of 2004, Emmy bought it a few more years on the air when it was nominated again (and again) for that high prize before the network ax dropped. Everyone — except, no doubt, David E. Kelley — got upset when "The Practice" beat "The Sopranos" in the latter's first year, but that helped to keep a show on TV that morphed into "Boston Legal," which was nominated for best drama series last year and will probably be again this year.

The TV academy, let's recall, is an academy: a place meant to encourage intense debate, which is often heated, yes, and unpleasant for academy staffers. But the reason we have award contests, I maintain, is not to dole out fake gold statuettes, but to encourage a public discussion of what makes, in this case, the best TV. That means we must open up the voting process for everyone to see at every stage that voters are involved so we voice our own views, however harsh. Throughout my two-decades-long career of chronicling awards as a journalist, I've always found that the more TV critics, for example, can see the Emmy process up close, the more they appreciate TV's Golden Girl.

Usually, TV critics beat the bejesus out of the Emmys, but they do so, frankly, because they don't understand what's going on. When nominations come out and their favorite shows and stars aren't on the list, they immediately start hurling nuclear weapons of mass destruction, which has made Emmy chiefs war weary over the years and thus leery about sharing any information they don't have to. But I'm trying hard to force them to disclose everything — just like the Oscars and Daytime Emmys (overseen by a different TV academy), which disclose all contenders in every race that involves a runoff.


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Emmy episodes: 'Californication,' 'Dexter,' 'Weeds,' 'The Tudors'

May 5, 2008 |  9:16 pm

Best Drama Series ("The Dark Defender")
Lead Actor: Michael C. Hall ("There's Something About Harry")
Supporting Actor: David Zayas ("There's Something About Harry")
Supporting Actor: Erik King ("There's Something About Harry")
Supporting Actor: James Remar ("There's Something About Harry")
Supporting Actor: C.S. Lee ("The British Invasion")
Supporting Actress: Jennifer Carpenter ("Left Turn Ahead")
Supporting Actress: Julie Benz ("Waiting to Exhale")
Supporting Actress: Lauren Velez ("Resistance Is Futile")
Guest Actor: Keith Carradine ("Morning Comes")
Guest Actress: Jaime Murray ("Morning Comes)
Directing: Keith Griffin Gordon ("The Dark Defender")
Directing: Tony Goldwyn ("An Inconvenient Lie")
Directing: Marcos Siega ("Resistance Is Futile")
Directing: Steve Shill ("The British Invasion")
Writing: Clyde Phillips ("Waiting to Exhale")
Writing: Tim Schlattmann ("The Dark Defender")
Writing: Melissa Rosenberg ("An Inconvenient Lie")
OTHER CATEGORIES: Art Direction, Casting, Cinematography, Single-Camera Picture Editing, Prosthetic Makeup, Music Composition, Sound Editing, Special Visual Effects


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Showtime actors: Category placements

April 28, 2008 | 11:17 am

Lead Actor: David Duchovny
Supporting Actor: Evan Handler
Supporting Actress: Natascha McElhone, Madeleine Martin, Madeline Zima
Guest Actress: Paula Marshall, Judy Greer, Rachel Miner, Pamela Adlon

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