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Category: Holly Hunter

Emmy predix: Best TV drama actress

April 14, 2010 |  1:13 pm

Our resident Emmy seers Chris "Boomer" Beachum and Robert "Rob L" Licuria (AwardsHeaven.net) agree on four of the six stars who'll be nominated for best drama actress: Kyra Sedgwick ("The Closer"), January Jones ("Mad Men"), recent Golden Globes and SAG Awards champ Julianna Margulies ("The Good Wife") and Glenn Close ("Damages"), who's gone undefeated in this Emmy race for the past two years.

For the final two slots, Boomer picks Mariska Hargitay ("Law & Order: SVU") and Melissa Leo ("Treme"), while Rob opts for Sally Field ("Brothers & Sisters") and Anna Paquin ("True Blood"). Hargitay and Field are perennial nominees, so it'd be surprising to see either of them missing from the next category lineup. Nearly all Emmy gurus believed Paquin would reap a nom last year, especially since the Oscar champ ("The Piano") has been nommed by the TV academy in the past ("Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee") and this Emmy category had just been expanded from five nominees to six. But Paquin got skunked, probably because of voters' bias against vampire fare. (Sarah Michelle Gellar was never nommed for "Buffy the Vampire Slayer.")

The Good Wife Juliana Margulies Glenn Close Damages TV news

It's interesting that Boomer and Rob agree on the addition of Jones, who's been snubbed by Emmy voters in the past despite being nominated in the lead race at the Golden Globes. To boost Jones' odds, costar Elisabeth Moss (nommed last year) graciously just dropped down to supporting.

Rob and Boomer also agree on who's out front to win. They both rank Close first to prevail in this category for a third year in a row (Close also won an Emmy in 1995 for appearing in TV flick "Serving in Silence: The Margarethe Cammermeyer Story") while ranking Margulies in second place.

Check out Boomer's and Rob's other early predix in these races: lead drama actor, best drama series, and best comedy series.


BEST DRAMA ACTRESS: ROB'S PREDIX
1. Glenn Close ("Damages")
2. Julianna Margulies ("The Good Wife")
3. Kyra Sedgwick ("The Closer")
4. Sally Field ("Brothers & Sisters")
5. January Jones ("Mad Men")
6. Anna Paquin ("True Blood")

Alternates: Jeanne Tripplehorn ("Big Love"), Mariska Hargitay ("Law & Order: SVU")

ROB'S COMMENTARY: I am pretty comfortable with this lineup, with question marks on January Jones (only because she has failed at the last two attempts, and last year she was almost seen as a fait accompli) and Anna Paquin, who might capitalize on the white-hot fever pitch buzz for "True Blood" at the moment.

Jeanne Tripplehorn might upset, although she wasn't given as much to do this time around as last season (when she was snubbed). Typically, however, we might see the return of old faithfuls like Mariska Hargitay or even Holly Hunter.

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Gold Derby's official racetrack odds: Who will win the Emmys

September 19, 2008 | 10:50 am

OK, you've seen who all of the experts predict will win the Emmys (CLICK HERE), including me, but you haven't yet seen my careful breakdown of all contenders in each top category. Below: Gold Derby's racetrack odds. Please note: they're issued for entertainment purposes only and should not be used for gambling. Missing are the two reality races, but soon I'll add those odds too. Right now I haven't finished watching all of the episodes each nominee submitted to Emmy judges as samples of their best work.

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My evaluations rely heavily on episode submissions. For example, note that I think "Saturday Night Live" is a real threat to "The Daily Show," which has won best variety series five years in a row. Granted, "SNL" hasn't won since 1993 and I still put "Daily Show" out front, but "SNL" submitted the same blockbuster episode that's likely to pay off with a win for Amy Poehler as best supporting actress: Tina Fey's return as host. Jon Stewart's episode is fantastic too — it's 20 minutes of ranting against the White House (of course) followed by a brief, fun chat with Judd Apatow.

But I don't think, like many of my peers, that Tina Fey will win best comedy actress. Three of her opponents submitted episodes that involved some element of split personality and that usually pays off with a victory. (Never again wonder how Lindsay Wagner won best drama actress for "The Bionic Woman" in 1977 — that's when she suddenly discovered her evil twin, remember?) In this year's derby, America Ferrera goes bonkers when sprayed with a poisoned perfume, Christina Applegate goes psycho when she hears the song "We've Got the Beat" on the radio and Julia Louis-Dreyfus, pumped up on testosterone, threatens to kick the "sorry, tanned, bleach-blonde, Botoxed" butts of rival school moms. The reason I give the best odds to Ferrera is because she stars in a one-hour program. The longest shows usually win — as Ferrera proved last year.

To see a full list of all episode submissions, CLICK HERE. Click through the subsequent pages of that forum to read the predix of our posters based upon what they think of those episodes. If you're curious to see what episodes were entered at past Emmy derbies, CLICK HERE. Remember: actors submit one sample episode; ditto for contenders for best variety and reality series. Nominees for best comedy and drama submit six that are paired off into three groupings that are randomly submitted to voters. Actors vote on actors, writers on writers, everybody gets to vote in the program categories. Roughly 250 to 300 voters volunteer to judge submissions in the races for best comedy and drama series. The typical acting category has about 50 to 75 judges.

BEST DRAMA SERIES
"Mad Men" - 5/4
"Damages" - 7/5
"Lost" - 8/1
"House" - 9/1
"Dexter" - 10/1
"Boston Legal" - 50/1

BEST COMEDY SERIES
"30 Rock" - 1/3
"The Office" - 8/5
"Entourage" - 20/1
"Curb Your Enthusiasm" - 30/1
"Two and a Half Men" - 40/1

BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Bryan Cranston, "Breaking Bad" - 2/1
James Spader, "Boston Legal" - 11/5
Jon Hamm, "Mad Men" - 13/5
Hugh Laurie, "House" - 8/1
Michael C. Hall, "Dexter" - 8/1
Gabriel Byrne, "In Treatment" - 35/1
(NOTE: I changed this prediction from James Spader to Bryan Cranston on Sept. 19.)

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Glenn Close, "Damages" - 2/1
Mariska Hargitay, "Law and Order: S.V.U." - 3/1
Sally Field, "Brothers and Sisters" - 7/2
Holly Hunter, "Saving Grace" - 4/1
Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer" - 9/2

BEST COMEDY ACTOR
Alec Baldwin, "30 Rock" - Even
Steve Carell, "The Office" - 5/2
Lee Pace, "Pushing Daisies" - 7/2
Tony Shalhoub, "Monk" - 6/1
Charlie Sheen, "Two and a Half Men" - 50/1

BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
America Ferrera, "Ugly Betty" - 2/1
Christina Applegate, "Samantha Who?" - 7/3
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "New Adventures of Old Christine" - 5/2
Tina Fey, "30 Rock" - 3/1
Mary-Louise Parker, "Weeds" - 50/1

BEST MINISERIES
"John Adams" - 1/2
"Cranford" - 7/5
"Tin Man" - 30/1
"The Andromeda Strain" - 40/1

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Veterans rule the Emmy nominations for best drama actress

July 17, 2008 |  3:16 pm

Before today, the five women competing for lead actress in a drama series had tallied up an impressive 28 Emmy nominations among them. All but Kyra Sedgwick ("The Closer") have won at least one Emmy and Sally Field ("Brothers & Sisters") and Mariska Hargitay ("Law & Order: SVU") are both previous champs in this category.

Holly_hunter_the_piano_oscar

Field's other two Emmys (out of seven noms) came for starring in the telefilm "Sybil" in 1977 and guesting on "ER" in 2001. Glenn Close ("Damages") won her only Emmy (out of 10 noms) for starring in the 1995 telefilm "Serving in Silence" while Holly Hunter ("Saving Grace") won two Emmys (out of 5 noms) for headlining the telefilms "Roe vs. Wade" (1989) and "The Positively True Adventures of the Alleged Texas Cheerleading-Murdering Mom" (1993).

1993 was a great year for Hunter as she won her only Oscar as well for her starring role in "The Piano" and picked up a second supporting nod for "The Firm." Hunter has two other Oscar noms (1987 lead -- "Broadcast News;" 2004 supporting –- "Thirteen") for a total of four. Field has only two Oscar nominations but she won both times for her leading roles in "Norma Rae" (1979) and "Places in the Heart" (1984). While Close lost all five of her Oscar bids, she is one of the rare performers to win lead Tony Awards for both plays ("The Real Thing," 1984, and "Death and the Maiden," 1992) and a musical ("Sunset Boulevard," 1995).

While Sedgwick has not won an Emmy yet (her two previous nods were for the first two seasons of "The Closer"), she did pick up her first Golden Globe (out of 5 noms) last year for the series. Close won that same award this year for "Damages" adding to the one (out of 6 noms) she won in 2005 for the telefilm "The Lion in Winter." Close has lost all three of her movie Globe races. Hunter won her only movie Globe (out of 3 noms) for "The Piano" and has lost all four of her TV Globe races. Field won her only movie Globes (out of 7 noms) for the same roles that won her those Oscars and she has lost both of her TV Globe bids. While Hargitay won her only Globe race in 2005 for "SVU," this year marks her fifth consecutive year as an Emmy nominee for the show.

(Miramax)


VOTE: Who'll win Emmys as TV's best drama actor and actress?

July 15, 2008 | 12:43 pm

Remember, we don't want to know who you want to win, but who you predict will prevail! Show us what a brilliant kudos forecaster you are! That's a dare!

Drama - actress


Emmy pundits' predix smackdown: Tom vs. Ray

July 15, 2008 | 12:35 pm

Ray Richmond of the Hollywood Reporter and I don't really hate each other, though I'm sure it might look like that when we get into our frequent slugfests over award predix. In fact, I absolutely love beating up on Ray more than any other journalist — really, and that's saying something. Here we go at it over what will be nominated for Emmys this Thursday morning and, to prove what a noble gent I am, I let Ray have the first word (so that I — ha, ha, ha — could have the last . . . well, at least until nominations come out).

BEST COMEDY SERIES
RAY: "Curb Your Enthusiasm," "Family Guy," "The Office," "Pushing Daisies," "30 Rock"
TOM: "Curb Your Enthusiasm," "The Office," "Pushing Daisies," "30 Rock," "Two and a Half Men"

RAY: Yes, "Family Guy" makes the cut -- not necessarily because it deserves to, but because the TV Academy loses its marbles every once in a while. And this is that once. The only other question is whether "Pushing Daisies" gets pushed out by its ABC sister "Ugly Betty," but Betty has so dropped from the radar I'm thinking not. "Weeds"? Only if Woody Harrelson takes over the voting process from those bean counters in suits.

Ray_vs_tom_emmy_slugfest

TOM: Obviously, Ray, you were partying with Woody when you made these Emmy predix if you really think that "Family Guy" will get in over "2.5 Men." The latter's been nominated every year that the TV academy has had these panels — that is, the last two years. The last (and ONLY) time a cartoon sneaked into this comedy lineup was "The Flintstones" MORE THAN 45 YEARS AGO — back before computers, cable TV and double Pinkberry scoops — when the Emmy counters were using real beans.

BEST DRAMA SERIES
RAY & TOM: "Boston Legal," "Damages," "Grey's Anatomy," "House," "Mad Men"

RAY: "Mad Men" and "Damages" are locks. "House" probably is too. I'm thinking "Grey's" gets in over "Lost." "Boston Legal" is in because it is written that David Kelley shall always be in the running in some fashion. "The Wire"? No matter how deserving, it's probably a miracle it made it even this far.

TOM: Uh-oh. Ray and I are in total agreement here. Why does that terrify me so?

BEST DRAMA ACTOR
RAY: Bryan Cranston ("Breaking Bad"), Michael C. Hall ("Dexter"), Jon Hamm ("Mad Men"), Hugh Laurie ("House"), James Spader ("Boston Legal")
TOM: Michael C. Hall ("Dexter"), Jon Hamm ("Mad Men"), Hugh Laurie ("House"), Denis Leary ("Rescue Me"), James Spader ("Boston Legal")

RAY: Spader's a lock because he talks so slowly and intensely, it seems, but he ain't winning this time. Hamm's the one to beat seemingly. And the AMC momentum with "Mad Men" could — I pray — carry Cranston in. He is SO deserving. But he could get beaten out by Byrne, just because he's Gabriel Byrne. Hall deserves a nom for sure, and Laurie has deserved to win for three years running. He still does. But he won't. But if he doesn't get nominated, I say firebomb the ATAS headquarters and let's just start over.

TOM: Yeah, Hamm, Laurie and Spader are in. Ray (amazingly) is right about those, but he's wrong about Spader not winning again. Come on, Spader's NEVER LOST. He's gone three for three in this race and the reason he won repeatedly in the past was because writer/producer David E. Kelley kept penning him those grandstanding speeches he'd spew to juries at the end of each episode of "Boston Legal" that he submitted to Emmy judges. This year Spader submits his BIGGEST speech doozy ever — in which he chews out the whole U.S. Supreme Court. How can Hollywood lefties NOT vote THAT? READ MORE

As for Ray's deluded hope that Cranston will get in — well, I'd cheer that if it happened, but it won't. Cranston would have to rank in the top seven or so places in the popular vote and I think that's unlikely for a new, lowly rated, cable show about a guy toying with crystal meth and terminal cancer. Denis Leary's been nommed consistently for the past three years, surviving all wacky, radical changes in the voting process. I see no reason why he suddenly gets bumped now.

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
RAY & TOM: Glenn Close ("Damages"), Minnie Driver ("The Riches"), Sally Field ("Brothers & Sisters"), Holly Hunter ("Saving Grace"), Kyra Sedgwick ("The Closer")

RAY: This is probably the easiest major category to handicap. It's difficult for me to see it being anyone other than Close, Driver, Field, Hunter and Sedgwick, though Arquette or Moss could pull an upset if enough of their relatives are permitted to vote (and Moss surely would deserve it). Field could also be victimized by backlash to last year's dead-on but controversial acceptance speech ("You gagged me, you really gagged me!"). Close will win, however. End of story.

TOM: Ray and I are in agreement again. Shoot me.

BEST COMEDY ACTOR
RAY: Alec Baldwin ("30 Rock"), Steve Carell ("The Office"), Larry David ("Curb Your Enthusiasm"), Lee Pace ("Pushing Daisies"), Tony Shalhoub ("Monk")
TOM: Alec Baldwin ("30 Rock"), Steve Carell ("The Office"), David Duchovny ("Californication"), Lee Pace ("Pushing Daisies"), Charlie Sheen ("Two and a Half Men")

RAY: Baldwin was jobbed last year in favor of "Extras' Ricky Gervais, and everyone knows it. Probably won't happen again. He and Carell are slam dunks, as is Shalhoub. David only seems to generate greater affection for his misanthropic "Curn" role as the years pile up, so he's likely in too along with the charming Pace (who could be edged out by Emmy darling Garrett, but I don't think so).

TOM: Ray may have blundered upon a smart set of predix here and he may even out-score me because — what the heck — I feel like throwing some Emmy dice. Betting against Shalhoub to return may be foolish. He's been nommed for the last five years, winning three times (2003, 2005, 2006), but his episode entry this year is a bit weak ("Mr. Monk and the Naked Man"), which will bring down his typical judges' score. And I think his popular-vote score will be down, too, because he's old news. Sure, Duchovny's old Emmy news too — he used to be nommed routinely for "The X-Files," so we know that voters love him — and now his comeback in new series "Californication" is sexy.

KEEP READING - CLICK HERE!

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Seven Emmy geniuses predict Thursday's award nominations

July 14, 2008 |  3:24 pm

Somehow I've managed to coax six suckers brilliant kudos seers to join me in predicting the Emmy nominations that will be announced this Thursday morning: Michael Ausiello (EW.com), Matt Webb Mitovich (TVGuide.com), Marc Berman (MediaWeek), Ray Richmond (Hollywood Reporter) and our two resident Emmy gurus — our forums moderators Robert "Rob L" Licuria (AwardsHeaven.net) and Chris "Boomer" Beachum. To see how we fared predicting the Emmy top 10 lists, CLICK HERE! Below: how we size up the races for best drama and comedy series. To see our predix for best lead actor and actress, CLICK HERE!

Drama_series_1

Comedy_series

KEEP READING - CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR PREDIX FOR BEST ACTOR AND ACTRESS IN DRAMA AND COMEDY SERIES!

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Did a photo snafu cause Emmy to snub Calista Flockhart, Ellen Pompeo and Matthew Fox?

July 13, 2008 |  5:12 pm

Were some shocking omissions from the Emmy top 10 lists due to the lack of a photo next to their names on the official eligibility lists (SEE HERE) that voters used as a reminder of contenders when checking off ballots? One of the most notable snubbees tells Gold Derby, "Yes!" and blames the TV academy.

The lists appeared online and did not include pix of these stars who got snubbed: Calista Flockhart ("Brothers & Sisters"), Matthew Fox ("Lost"), Kelsey Grammer ("Back to You"), Ellen Pompeo ("Grey's Anatomy") and Kate Walsh ("Private Practice"). flockhart, Fox and Pompeo made the Top 10 lists last year. Grammer and Walsh weren't eligible in this category.

Many other stars didn't have their photos posted when voting began, but scrambled to provide them and they were added later. The rep of one snubbed star claims the academy's request for a photo was not included on the entry form, but "buried" in supplemental material. The TV academy denies that. Whatever the case, there were lots of photos missing on the ballot and that might have affected the outcome.

Matthew_fox_ellen_pomeo_calista_flo

On the first day of voting an academy member called me as he looked over the lists, which had lots and lots of missing pix at that early point. He harrumped in a very catty voice, "I don't see a photo of Matthew Fox! He lost my vote! Hey, what's up with Ellen Pompeo? Too lazy to bother, honey? Well, screw you — I'm voting for Jeanne Tripplehorn!" Clearly, that voter was putting on an exaggerated act for comic effect, but there was obvious truth to his tantrum. When looking over those loooooong lists, your eye obviously goes to ones with photos.

Although that didn't hurt some big-name contenders. None of these stars posted pix, but they made the top 10 runoffs: Patrick Dempsey ("Grey's Anatomy"), James Spader ("Boston Legal"), Mariska Hargitay ("Law & Order: SVU"), Charlie Sheen ("Two and a Half Men"), Holly Hunter ("Saving Grace"), and Eva Longoria ("Desperate Housewives").

A rep for one of the snubbed stars cited above insists, "There was no mention of the requirement of a photo on the two-page entry form, although that form does mention the need for contenders to submit a DVD, episode info, payments, etc. — in other words, most other key details. The photo requirement is buried on page 40 of the 69-page rules book."

When I asked the TV academy for a response, a spokesman said: "In the instructions included with the entry form: 'Performer Awards (Unless otherwise specified below, DVDs and Headshots are due at the time of entry. Please refer to the rules and procedures for specific instructions.' When the producers proofs were sent out for final ballot adjustments, entrants without headshots were noted and requests were made for the photos.

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Drama divas in Emmy smackdown: Glenn Close, Holly Hunter, Mary McDonnell

July 10, 2008 |  9:03 pm

To predict who'll be nominated on July 17 for best lead drama actress, we must first review how Emmy voting works. Accountants combine how contenders performed during a popular vote of the academy's actors (which determined the Top 10 lists) with the scores that judges gave to their sample episode submissions.

Based upon their A-list rank and the strength of the performances they gave in their sample episodes, Holly Hunter ("Saving Grace"), Glenn Close ("Damages") and Kyra Sedgwick ("The Closer") will be nominated. However, Hunter and Close may have trouble winning because their characters can be unsympathetic.

Glenn_close_sally_field_holly_hunte

It's easy to predict that Elisabeth Moss ("Mad Men") will not make the Emmy cut. Being an unknown in a new TV series portraying a role that probably belongs in the supporting category, not lead, suggests that she probably landed in the bottom half of the popular vote. That means she needs a strong episode entry to compensate and she didn't submit it.

But the fates of the other six gals in this category is befuddling. Jeanne Tripplehorn ("Big Love") and Mary McDonnell ("Battlestar Galactica") probably scored low in the popular vote, but their episode entries are fantastic. Will their latter scores be sufficient to pull them up into one of those two remaining open slots, assuming that Hunter, Close and Sedgwick get in?

Just as they handicapped the race for lead actors in a drama series, our forum moderators and special Emmy seers now track the fillies: Chris "Boomer" Beachum and Robert "Rob L" Licuria (AwardsHeaven.net — read Hollywood Reporter's profile of Rob HERE).

Rob and Boomer mirror the actual voting process to rank these women. First, they calculate the order of the top 10 semifinalists as determined by the popular vote by the TV academy's actors' branch. Then they predict how the panel judges scored the sample episode entries. They combine these two results on a 50-50 basis, just like the accountants do, to determine the final ranking of the nominees.

For example, both Boomer and Rob thought Glenn came in first with both the popular vote and the judges so her total score is two. Remember, just like in golf, the lower the score the better the result.

How Rob ranks the popular vote outcome — 1.) Glenn Close 2.) Kyra Sedgwick 3.) Sally Field 4.) Holly Hunter 5.) Minnie Driver 6.) Mariska Hargitay 7.) Patricia Arquette 8.) Jeanne Tripplehorn 9.) Elisabeth Moss 10.) Mary McDonnell

Here's how Boomer thinks the pop vote went down — 1.) Glenn Close 2.) Kyra Sedgwick 3.) Sally Field 4.) Holly Hunter 5.) Mariska Hargitay 6.) Minnie Driver 7.) Patricia Arquette 8.) Elisabeth Moss 9.) Jeanne Tripplehorn 10.) Mary McDonnell

My opinion: I think Rob and Boomer rank Kyra Sedgwick too high.

How Rob thinks the judges ranked episode entries — 1.) Glenn Close 2.) Jeanne Tripplehorn 3.) Mary McDonnell 4.) Kyra Sedgwick 5.) Holly Hunter 6.) Sally Field 7.) Minnie Driver 8.) Mariska Hargitay 9.) Patricia Arquette 10.) Elisabeth Moss

Here's how Boomer ranks the judges' views of the episodes — 1.) Glenn Close 2.) Kyra Sedgwick 3.) Mary McDonnell 4.) Sally Field 5.) Mariska Hargitay 6.) Jeanne Tripplehorn 7.) Elisabeth Moss 8.) Holly Hunter 9.) Patricia Arquette 10.) Minnie Driver

My opinion: Both of our gurus rank Sally Field's episode way too high. Compared to last year, Field hands in a rather lightweight turn now. Certainly, Hargitay's perf is superior and maybe Driver's too. Boomer's wrong and Rob's right about Tripplehorn's eppy — it gets a high rank.

For specific info and excellent analysis of the sample TV episodes, I recommend that you CLICK HERE to read what our post RyanB wrote in our forums. (Well done, Ryan!)

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS: ROB'S PREDIX
(Top five = nominees)
1.) Glenn Close, "Damages" ("Pilot") — 2 points
2.) Kyra Sedgwick, "The Closer" ("Manhunt") — 6 points
3.) Sally Field, "Brothers & Sisters" ("History Repeating") — 9 points
3.) Holly Hunter, "Saving Grace" ("Tacos, Tulips, Duck & Spices") — 9 points
5.) Jeanne Tripplehorn, "Big Love" ("Take Me As I Am") — 10 points
6. Minnie Driver, "The Riches" ("Dead Calm") — 12 points
7.) Mary McDonnell, "Battlestar Galactica" ("Faith") — 13 points
8.) Mariska Hargitay, "Law & Order: SVU" ("Undercover") — 14 points
9.) Patricia Arquette, "Medium" ("Aftertaste") — 16 points
9.) Elisabeth Moss, "Mad Men" ("The Hobo Code") — 16 points

KEEP READING - CLICK HERE!

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